Prohibir, prohibir y prohibir, es lo único que saben hacer en este país. Las casas de apuestas no se cierran porque el estado pilla buena tajada, Polymarket como da libertad al funcionar con crypto hay que bloquearlo. Lo bueno es que en realidad no van a poder, $POLY es el futuro
Noticia importante.
Consumo bloqueará Polymarket por operar sin licencia.
Desde territorio español no se podrá acceder.
Se amparan en lo de siempre, protección al consumidor, regulación y lucha contra el fraude.
La realidad es otra:
Solary ganó el primer mapa y el 2-0 llegó a pagarse a 1,04. Pero dejaron escapar la ventaja de forma incomprensible para hacernos fallar el pick de @esctipster.
Finalmente ganaron 2-1, pero no nos sirve para sumar ❌
https://t.co/UMEDBSKUg9
Probablemente el principio que más dinero te va a hacer ganar, y es igual de aplicable al mundo de las apuestas:
"most people think trading is constant action. it's not. it's 99% waiting for your setup, 1% executing. that's why most people fail. they can't handle doing nothing"
sat next to a 20 year old guy on a plane who casually mentioned he made $4.5 million last year
didn't look rich
t-shirt
jeans
beat up backpack
i asked what he did
"i trade futures"
"full time?"
"yeah, about 3 hours a day"
"$4.5 million in 3 hours a day?"
"well, it's not really about hours, it's about decisions. i probably make 10-15 decisions per month that matter. the rest is just waiting"
"what do you mean?"
"most people think trading is constant action. it's not. it's 99% waiting for your setup, 1% executing. that's why most people fail. they can't handle doing nothing"
he pulled out his laptop
showed me his calendar
90% of trading days marked: "NO TRADE"
"this is march, see? 31 days. i traded 7 times. made $380k that month"
"7 trades made $380k?"
"yeah, because they were the RIGHT 7 trades. everyone else took 200 trades that month and lost money because they were WRONG trades. quality over quantity"
"how do you know which 7 to take?"
"i don't trade unless i'd bet my house on it"
"what?"
"every trade, i ask myself: would i bet my house on this setup? if the answer is no, i don't trade. most setups? the answer is no. but 7 times this month, the answer was YES"
he kept talking:
"the biggest mistake retail traders make is thinking they need to trade every day. you don't. you need to trade WHEN YOUR SETUP APPEARS. some months that's 15 times. some months that's 3 times"
"what about consistency?"
"consistency isn't daily trading. consistency is ONLY taking your setup. if your setup appears once a week, you trade once a week. if it appears 5 times in a day, you trade 5 times that day. the market doesn't care about your need for action"
"but i feel like i'm wasting time if i'm not trading"
"that's employee mindset. you think time = money. it doesn't. correct decisions = money. i make more doing nothing 24 days a month than you make forcing trades every single day"
he was right
i was trading out of BOREDOM
not opportunity
i tested this for 90 days:
BEFORE "house bet" filter:
- 156 trades
- 41% win rate
- -$3,800
AFTER "house bet" filter:
- 11 trades
- 73% win rate
- +$14,200
11 trades in 90 days
because i stopped trading
and started WAITING
the plane guy was right:
"most traders are addicted to action. they need to DO something. that's why they lose. the real money is in doing NOTHING until the perfect setup appears. but doing nothing feels like you're not working, so people force trades"
"how do you handle the boredom?"
"i have a life outside trading. i go to the gym. i read. i travel. trading is 3 hours a day MAX. the other 21 hours i'm living. you guys are staring at charts 12 hours a day hoping something happens. that's not trading. that's gambling addiction"
he closed his laptop
"here's the secret: the less you trade, the more you make. i know guys trading 500 times a month making $0. i trade 15 times a month making $400k. the difference? i'm SELECTIVE. they're ACTIVE. market rewards selectivity, punishes activity"
flight landed
he gave me his card
"if you want to make real money trading, stop trying to trade every day. start waiting for YOUR setup only. 90% of trading is waiting. 10% is executing. master the waiting and you'll make more money doing nothing than everyone else makes doing everything"
i never saw him again
but i think about that conversation every single day
the math is simple:
you're not paid by the trade
you're paid by the CORRECT trade
taking 200 trades with 40% accuracy = -$5k
taking 20 trades with 70% accuracy = +$50k
same account
different approach
completely different outcome
most of you are over-trading
thinking activity = profit
it doesn't
selectivity = profit
the traders making $500k+/year
they trade LESS than you
not more
they're better at WAITING
not better at TRADING
master the wait
make the money
THE RED BULL LEAGUE OF ITS OWN SCHEDULE 🚨
We have guaranteed banger matchups across the board and some new faces to watch out for on T1 and KC 👀
Munich | November 29th, 2025 #RedBullLeagueofItsOwn