What is 🟩Cosmopolitan Regionalism🟩?
It doesn't come from a think tank white paper. It comes from watching what's actually being built right now, in real time, across Europe, the Middle East, and Washington. Here's what it means and why it matters. 👇
LOL! Starting now and until the end of time, Iran will blame the world for the lie and the trick of the $300 billion that Vance promised them and never paid up. It’ll be another talking point to avoid taking agency and blame others, like the Mosaddegh issue.
What GCC?
First, only two of six GCC nations run annual surpluses, others are in red ink. $300 billion is ginormous.
Second, the Gulf today has a huge problem with the bully Iran and will not help out with a cent of investment.
This money is as imaginary as the Saudi “one trillion” investment in the U.S. economy.
@Israel2252@ericweinstein@JDVance What he is maybe saying is that this is how far US can go for this round, both because the cognitive warfare is a dimension where our side lost and because nobody has the arsenal to keep Russia and Iran fronts open.
This take highlights the cognitive warfare dimension of the war, and one should consider the status of the missles stockpile as well.
Wanna have a sober rendering of the Iran MOU? Check my take:
https://t.co/Fh6r18yev1
WHY PRESIDENT TRUMP NEGOTIATED THE MOU.
I have been flooded with questions from the media and supporters including my own children about this question here is my understanding in a nutshell:
1. President Trump has not flipped or abandoned Israel. His support for the Jewish State and the Jewish People is incontestable. I have published a list of what he has done in his first term and thus far in this term.
2. President Trump has decided that winning the November midterms and preventing the Dems from taking control of Congress is of paramount importance given the certainty that if this were to happen the opposition will seek to impeach him and derail his Administration’s foreign and domestic policies for the balance of his second term. That the Democratic Party has lost its collective mind is also incontestable.
3. Because American voters vote their pocketbooks and not security and foreign policy issues and are tired of wars, in order to have a chance to win the Midterms, President Trump needs to put the Iran War on pause for the time being, reduce inflation, lower energy and food prices, keep the stock markets booming, stabilize world markets etc. This is how he sees American interests at this time and I agree.
4. The MOU is only an agreement to negotiate and to maintain a ceasefire for the time being . President Trump has all the cards and can determine how much he is willing to ease the US stranglehold on Iran and its proxies.
5. President Trump excluded Israel from the MOU which either by design or default gives Israel a free hand to protect its vital national security interests in Lebanon, Syria and even Iran.
6. I don’t like the content of the MOU or the tone of certain statements from the WH defending it, but that’s politics in an election year. The bottom line is the relationship between Israel and the U.S. is strong and inviolable. Israel will protect its interests and so will the U.S. protect the American public, including U.S. 750,000 U.S. citizens in Israel.
This is the only explanation that makes sense.
I have faith in President Trump, Prime Minister Netanyahu and Almighty God. Have a restful Shabbat and a great weekend.
@GOPIsrael@KaptanJustice That is a clear threat, add to this the real need of managing the missiles stockpile, that constrained the available attacks.
According to my research, it was bound to end like this:
https://t.co/dfvRj11yqX…
Ursula von der Leyen: Iran must change behaviour before any EU sanctions can be lifted
"The principle of sanctions is that we need real change on the ground before we can think about lifting them. Sanctions are in place to change behaviour. So if behaviour is changing credibly and verifiably, then you can lift sanctions", said von der Leyen, speaking at a press conference in Evian, France, ahead of the G7 summit.
@zriboua Proper assessment.
There are tectonic "invisible" pressure lines, beside the visible threats and kinetic factors that EVERY stakeholder is managing.
Check them out here: https://t.co/oXT6QnYIFn
The "deal" is a ceasefire extension of another 60 days with Iran agreeing for the first time to not weaponize the Strait of Hormuz and with U.S. sanctions in place against both IRGC and China. There are different interpretations of this, but "capitulation" or "end of the war" aren’t accurate ones.
@GOPIsrael@shanaka86 My research brought me to analyse the 7 core issues of the regional conflict that are somewhat tectonic as Israel security it's a behind the scene nobody is talking about:
https://t.co/oXT6QnYIFn
@MOSSADil The Iranian regime didn't win anything.
There are reasons to this MOU that goes beyond the desire of most of us.
Read them here: https://t.co/oXT6QnYIFn
@havivrettiggur 7 points that she'd light on the behind the "scenes", the rethoric and the desires. From Russia to China and the fundamental pillars of the world architecture. ⬇️
https://t.co/oXT6QnYIFn
فریپرس به نقل از برخی افراد در دولت ترامپ گزارش داد وزارت خارجه آمریکا تحقیقاتی را درباره تریتا پارسی، بنیانگذار نایاک و معاون اجرایی موسسه کوینسی، آغاز کرده و ممکن است برای لغو گرینکارت او و اخراجش از ایالات متحده اقدا�� کند.
طبق این گزارش، پارسی و افراد نزدیک به او بهروشنی تحقیق وزارت خارجه آمریکا را تهدیدی جدی میدانند.
فریپرس افزود لورا لومپ، مدیرعامل موسسه کوینسی، در ماه آوریل به کارکنان و حامیان مالی این اندیشکده گفت رییس هیئتمدیره این موسسه با درخواست او برای تامین هزینههای حقوقی جهت آمادگی برای مقابله با حمله اخراج علیه تریتا موافقت کرده است.
طبق این گزارش، موسسه کوینسی در حال استخدام یک وکیل مهاجرت است که توصیه کرده فورا یک دادخواست آزادی فوری برای او تهیه شود تا در صورت بازداشت ناگهانی پارسی از سوی مقامهای مهاجرتی، این دادخواست آماده باشد.
فریپرس افزود ��دیرعامل موسسه کوینسی دستکم بخشی از نظارت دولت بر پارسی را ناشی از فعالیتهای لورا لومر، فعال راستگرا، دانست که حملات آنلاین او افرادی را هدف میگیرد که به باور او به رییسجمهوری وفادار نیستند.
https://t.co/eGpoc7p7GJ
Donald Trump suggested that if the United States destroyed Iran's infrastructure, Washington would likely help pay to rebuild it, ABC News reported citing an interview with the US president.
"Somebody's going to have to build all that infrastructure, new bridges, new this, new that, new power plants," Trump said. "They're talking about a trillion dollars, probably more. And you know that's why we'll probably get involved in rebuilding, right, helping them rebuild."
Asked if that would be like a Marshall Plan for Iran, Trump responded, "Yeah," before adding: "But we'll get half their oil."
🎯STRUCK: Several infrastructure sites at the petrochemical complex in Mahshahr, in southwestern Iran.
These facilities were used by the armed forces of the Iranian terror regime to produce and export raw materials for weapons production.
The targeted infrastructure produced unique materials that serve as critical components for the development of ballistic missiles.
If you're Lebanese and still don't understand that your national interests are aligned with Israel and undermined by Iran, I don't know what to tell you.
Now, you probably think that you hate Israel because "Palestine." But remember, Palestinians seek their own interests and so should you.
Lebanese and Palestinian interest can converge or diverge. This time it happens that they diverge. No shame. No foul. Lebanon should seek its interests with the Jewish state. Be realistic. Be smart. Think of your interests, and let Palestinians (and Iranians) figure out their own.