ESTE VEGA

I bet on things and build things. Sometimes the same things.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@roboPBOC Launchpads probably killed part of the old memecoin game. It's difficult to have lore when 8,000 replacements launched this morning.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@bitcoinjack Bitcoin surviving is expected. The interesting question is whether each attack makes the self-custody stack materially stronger.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@MINHxDYNASTY A good thesis with bad sizing is still a bad trade.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@sue_xbt Coin price is probably the least useful number in that comparison. Supply, monetary policy, fee capture and demand are where it gets interesting.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

Easy money is the best type of money. Red Sox -1.5 lands with absolute ease.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

Boston Red Sox -1.5. 2 units at 55c (1.81).

63-51 at home vs a 45-70 Sacramento side is a 70% spot before anyone throws a pitch.

Tolle (3.32 ERA, 103:27 K:BB, .269 xwOBA) against Perkins, 6.75 ERA with four homers in under seven innings across two recent outings.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@cryptohustler04 This is true

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

Try enough things and eventually one of them will start paying for all the bad ones.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@feez_baby @gavinmchughh Very nearly added Phillies as a parlay to Red Sox, thankfully talked myself out of it at the last minute. Red Sox -1.5 was free money.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

Uniswap’s new launchpad deployed 12,000+ tokens and did $150m+ on day one.

And somehow it still feels like nothing happened.

We have solved token creation so completely that 12,000 new coins can appear overnight without producing one new thing to care about.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@stevewilldoit Put it all on Red Sox -1.5 today

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

Claude feels materially worse right now. Not “slightly less clever”.

It is missing explicit instructions, hallucinating more often, and introducing mistakes into otherwise simple tasks.

Sort it out @AnthropicAI

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@WatcherGuru Bitcoin doesn’t need clarity but everyone trying to build a business around it does.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@stoolpresidente On the Sox -1.5 tonight. 63-51 at home against a 45-70 side, and the fly-ball arm they're sending into Fenway isn't going to close that gap.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@scottmelker Mostly agree. The end state probably isn’t teaching everyone entropy, it’s making a truly secure path that's boring enough they never have to understand it.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

Shorting $ARB from 0.0779.

Distribution has been confirming all week, OBV making new lows, and price drifted straight back into the EMA/VWAP cluster at 0.078 on thin volume and small bodies.

SL 0.0792. TP1 0.0765.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

Most people don't want more information. They want a cleaner reason to do what they already wanted to do.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@dogeofficialceo Just shut it all down now, I'm tired.

[ESTE VEGA @estevega_]

@blockchainchick This was enough for me, time to pack it up and go home