@RemiSlowinski I actually don’t recommend unless you have deep pockets. I prefer to wait for the trend to turn higher. $UUP etf can be traded but if I get this signal it usually means I should just be holding more cash. For now I’m counting my money in gold and energy stocks
I truly think excess portfolio returns comes a lot more from position sizing than it does from finding good ideas. Yet as a collective we rarely spend time talking about how certain bets should be sized and often won’t even say what it should be after pitching a stock. We choose arbitrary percentages (5%, 10%, etc.) based on feeling (which implies an emotionally-biased decision, aka a horrible starting point). And all the while, most investors will agree the hardest part isn’t finding good ideas but navigating the trade-offs of concentration vs diversification. And no one can agree on the right answer. It’s almost paradoxical.
A Navy SEAL, a Fortune 500 CEO, and a chess grandmaster all read the same book.
None of them play tennis.
The Inner Game of Tennis by W. Timothy Gallwey is the best performance psychology book ever written.
Here are 10 best quotes:
@mark_dow@BehavioralMacro At least some of the effect that higher rates would have had on market and economy were dampened by the additional liquidity of fiscal stimulus
@RemiSlowinski Seems they’ve been mostly successful thus far, tho OPEC+ has played a big role in lower oil prices. However markets are dynamic and the admin doesn’t wield control over a large market