Look, have I written as many theology books as the people on here? No, none. But do I have years of Greek, Hebrew, and Latin studies to back me up? Again, no. But have I at least been duly called by the church to speak authoritatively on these matters? Also, no.
This is the perfect European tweet. It is the Platonic ideal of contemporary European civilization. It is flawless in every way. I didn't think it could be done, but it has everything.
I am very concerned about these strikes in Iran. What if the Iranian government retaliates by funding a network of proxy militias across the Middle East, attacking US troops in the region, sponsoring terrorism against Israel and Saudi Arabia, and attacking vessels in the Red Sea?
This conversation will be up in next few minutes @schoolofwarpod. In meantime, a few early thoughts on the major combat operations unfolding in the MidEast:
1) CONTEXT. This round of violence is the latest--and perhaps the last--phase of the post-10/7 wars launched by Iran's proxy Hamas. The overwhelming trend of those wars has been the rise of Israeli power and the diminishment of Iran's. Should President Trump get his wish and regime change come to pass in Tehran, the *next* round of competition will be between Israel and Turkey.
2) SURPRISE. Despite weeks of rising tensions and general expectation of an American and/or Israeli attack, somehow yet again tactical/operational surprise was achieved--potentially resulting in the deaths of several senior regime officials targeted by the Israelis. The trick? Attacking this time in daylight.
3) AMBITION. The president's war aims cover: Iran's quest for the bomb; its missile program; its support for terror; its NAVY; and of course he left the door very wide open for the Iranian people and perhaps the Israelis to achieve regime change, while avoiding making it an explicit goal of American military action--a very Trumpy bit of nuance. Nevertheless, this is an extraordinary program for airpower alone, and suggests a sustained campaign. There is no historical example of regime-change by airpower alone (no, not even Milosevic.) Will the Iranian people be the "ground maneuver" element? That seems to be the president's desire--and perhaps it will be a long game going beyond a period of intense American military action.
4) RETALIATION. The Iranian response certainly suggests they believe they are now playing for all the marbles. Their strikes on American facilities across the region with ballistic missiles--and also on Israel--are not symbolic or token. They are meant to cause damage and casualties. They can take the intensity level higher through acts of terror. Their theory is if they kill Americans the American people and/or the president will lose heart. A dangerous game for them.
5) U.S.-ISRAEL COMBAT INTEGRATION. Because the frog has been boiled slowly on this in recent years it would be possible to pass by the fact that this is a joint and apparently fully integrated large scale U.S.-Israeli military operation. It goes well beyond the cooperation even in the 12-Day War. Stepping back, what a different world from that of the Gulf War, when the H.W. Bush administration was desperate to keep Israel *out* of the war against Saddam so as not to fracture the Arab coalition. This level of military/political/intelligence cooperation has been long in the making. A high point, or a sign of more to come?
One important thing Trump has done with the strikes on Iran is demonstrate U.S. strength. He stated red lines. Iran crossed them. U.S. retaliated in the time and place of its own choosing.
I don't like bombing Iran at all. I didn't like the mostly fake bombing last year.
No case was made for how this benefits Americans (because it doesn't).
It is a reward for a highly organized and well funded constituency that helped Trump get elected.
It would be nice if we could see rewards of similar scope. Things are indeed better but nothing of this magnitude has been done for us.
I guess this means we need our own highly organized, well funded constituency.
Do you really think wars would even happen if they didn’t conveniently create regional instability, a worsening refugee crisis and an economic windfall during rebuilding?
@jwcrapuchettes This is akin to saying that a thief is a property rights activist because he is seeking to acquire more property.
You can define globalism that way, but you will be draining it of all previous meaning, kind like the left does with the words Man and Woman.
@jwcrapuchettes Globalism seeks transnational laws, policies, and trade at the expense of national borders, law, and trade policy (e.g., UN vs US, international law vs US law).
Goals that expand or strengthen national borders are nationalist not globalist.
@ExcelcisPol@PolarisNatSec@MarkJCarney You have a deep misunderstanding of how treasury markets and sovereign debt work. There is no world in which China can bankrupt the US by selling US debt.
“The Barbarian hopes that he can have his cake & eat it too. He will consume what civilisation has slowly produced after generations of selection & effort but he will not be at pains to replace such goods nor has he a comprehension of the virtue that has brought them into being.”
After years of Canada's governing liberal elite insisting that the country is built on stolen native land, it would be extremely funny if Trump took them at their word and purchased the entire country from Chief Scamming Elk in exchange for a skidoo and a carton of smokes.