EVBettor

Spending countless hours analyzing Heads vs Tails

[Canzhi @canzhi]

I built a web app to find video for any NFL play based on a variety of filters https://t.co/CSsHsugYfR

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

@BradAllenNFL Definitley dont disagree. Just haven't seen a huge uptick yet (bad kicking?).

Could see a scenario like in baseball where OVERs hit at a high rate because Totals didn't adjust for launch angles.

Definitely with more offense friendly rules a macro theme to investigate more.

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

@BradAllenNFL Average total of 45.2 through 2 weeks is inline with past 3 seasons (average total has been 45)

O/U are 17-15 (53.1%) to the OVER so far in 2018.

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

@JustinZovas Simple bet sizing heuristics will get you to 99% of Kelly's goal (maximize gain/ minimize loss) without fooling yourself into believing you quantified your edge precisely.

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

@ReformedBroker @michaelbatnick More variance in NFL projections due to shorter season and fewer possessions / plays.

Even if you are a bad team in NFL, easier to make a turnaround by just being "lucky". Less likely in NBA.

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

Someone has to have the best record at meaningless preseason football.

John Harbaugh is 28-12 SU and 23-13-4 ATS in preseason football.

Signal or noise? #HallofFameGame

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

@Byeweekpicks Yea

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

"2018 NFL teams past, present, and Futures" - @thescorex https://t.co/gyCy0EPxjH

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

NFL #WildCardWeekend Totals have been 59% to the UNDER since 2000.

Only 3 of 17 seasons have seen a wild card weekend with more Overs than Unders.

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

“Don’t confuse brains with a bull market”

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

When $btc first started the primary use cases were buying drugs and gambling.

Cheers to the misfits who had to get their fix (and kept a balance).

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

“What the wise do in the beginning, fools do in the end.”

-WB

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

#Supercontest Lopsided Action:
- BUF
- LA
- CLE
- MIA

Consensus to be a contrarian this week. 🤔

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

"If you gave an investor the next day′s news 24 hours in advance, he would go bust in less than a year. "

https://t.co/bI3Xh1PNMn

Nobody ever takes victory laps for position sizing... but it's the only way you stay in the game.

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

NFC East has become a war of attrition... #Eagles will be put to the test in the 2H with two high-leverage bouts with #Cowboys remaining

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

@EconomPic Broken clock right twice a day. Just stay consistent.

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

@Barrakuda53 4th and < 3 is almost always a go from scoring standpoint. WP more situationally dependent.

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

Something to be keenly aware if you are predicting outcomes.

[EVBettor @EVBettor]

MLB/NBA more random now as higher variance game plans (launch angle/3 PT shot). NFL has seen more passing (higher EPA), but room for more.