EventBased

Reader of Tea Leaves
Former Institutional Trader | Currently Retail Retard

[Steven Huffman @Poeslawisalive]

Liberals are saying Trump’s Iranian Peace Deal is a thousand times worse than Obama’s deal.

Do the math. The 300 billion Trump is giving them is only 175 times more than the 1.7 billion Obama gave them. Adjusted for inflation, that makes this deal only 100 times worse.

Liberals love to exaggerate.

[Yet another commodity guy @tleilax___]

He's not wrong

[Andrew Fox @Mr_Andrew_Fox]

Why is Iran continuing to attack Israel through Hezbollah in Lebanon when they’re negotiating with Trump?

Modern chess was codified in Persia. The regime are trying to put Israel in a fork, where single piece simultaneously attacks two or more of the opponent's pieces.

Israel is going to be forced into a choice: split from Washington over Hezbollah in Lebanon, or accept the threat on their northern border.

Only one option Israel can choose, but it will exponentially increase their international isolation.

[هنر جنگ @dolfiniran]

۰۲:۴۲/ ۲۳ خرداد
برغم همه خبرهای نادرست موجود فرایند بررسی متن در تهران همچنان ادامه دارد و هیچ نسخه نهایی تولید نشده است.

[EventBased @Event_Based]

@Rory_Johnston Feels like semantics. They didn’t transfer, they unfroze the funds.

[Nostra, House of Gold @Nostre_damus]

In war, do you pay your enemy billions of dollars if you're winning?

[EventBased @Event_Based]

Gotta have tankers coming in to solve the problem. Tankers leaving is a band-aid in isolation.

#oott

[Global_Macro @Marcomadness2]

The Hormuz recovery

[Z4 Energy Research @ZmansEnrgyBrain]

wow if true, #oott

[HFI Research @HFI_Research]

"Iran’s security and military circles centered on the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps had yet to sign off on President Trump’s preliminary deal to wind down the war, mediators said Friday, a potentially significant stumbling block amid rising hopes of a breakthrough to end the three-and-a-half-month conflict."

WSJ

[EventBased @Event_Based]

@JehanzebAhmad10 Not true. There is no reroute for 20mbd Yanbu, Fujairah, et al can only handle, at best, about half.

[EventBased @Event_Based]

If you’d have told me last year that after the strait or Hormuz had been closed for 3 months, and front month was at 85, I would have laughed.

But here we are….

#oott

[EventBased @Event_Based]

This says it’s not real. Iran is not just going to give up their leverage for no reason. Money is not enough.

[Open Source Intel @Osint613]

Netanyahu's office says any Iran deal will also limit missile production and end Tehran's support for regional proxies.

[Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork]

Iranian Fars News claims Trump is trying to frame Iran as having “accepted” a deal under U.S. bombing pressure, while Tehran has not given a final response. According to the report, Qatar’s mediation led the U.S. to return to an earlier draft after Washington had sought new additions that Iran refused to review.
The outlet says Iran has not issued a final response, but that renewed review of the text is possible.

[هنر جنگ @dolfiniran]

۲۲:۲۷/ ۲۱ خرد��د
برخلاف ادعای ترامپ، هیچ متن توافقی میان ایران و امریکا نهایی نشده است.

[Gavin (humanist/acc) @GavMcCracken]

Iran & Israel both deny a deal is near.

I think SpaceX IPO tomorrow and possibly Pentagon staff went home that were needed to support strikes due to hazard scare.

Seems unlikely a deal is here.

[Don Johnson @DonMiami3]

SpaceX tomo, cannot have market wobbling into that event.

[EventBased @Event_Based]

Talk about cope

[U.S. Central Command @CENTCOM]

The Strait of Hormuz remains open for transit.

[Don Johnson @DonMiami3]

~3 weeks away from operating minimums in Cushing

[EventBased @Event_Based]

@DiveBomb321 Idk a lot of HFT is doing stuff like taking down Dec calls against august put spreads. Might have similar Greeks but, those two parties would never find each other.