eventwaves

Matt |

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

No other industry is this entertaining

[New York Post @nypost]

Polymarket believes archrival Kalshi could be spying on its NYC offices, employees: 'Too many coincidences' https://t.co/xZ2kIFujKq

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

For this reason, I like that polymarket ties to market cap instead of share price for the IPO markets

[Frosen @Frosen]

Amended SpaceX S-1 was just published

Seems like the 'reference fully diluted share count' was off by 10%, Hyperliquid longs basically overpaid by 10%

Expected IPO price is $135/share

$SPCX

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@tsybka @betmoardotfun Can't stop the lotto buyers

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@DavidTaggart @kchoudhu I know quite a few people that worked there in the early days and they said it was nice

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

It’s fine to buy an old house

It’s fine to buy a condo

But don’t be dumb like me and buy an old condo

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@bookdepth I think the makers are willing to do bigger size if they know who they're trading against

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@JexTrade @Polymarket @PolymarketDevs @PolymarketTrade It's a great name

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@__Max__S__ @GaetenD And under their real name!

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@DustinGouker Too good

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@ContrarianCurse wait, they were up 8%, what did they say

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@FridayNtrades @deepvaluebettor @Polymarket They should increase the rewards if this is going to be an ongoing thing

Not much thought was put into pricing the underlying (because no volume/liquidity)

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@randori__ @TheStalwart That’s right

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@TheNotoriousSKi If SpaceX goes over 3T, I'll have no choice

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

Starting 'Cars & Bench' - where I measure how good LLMs are at predicting the closing price of car auctions.

More info below:

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@n0rulesnvr Yeah, I think normal cars there would be less variability in pricing, so less chances to differentiate

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@n0rulesnvr Thanks! Yeah, I wanted something that would be a little more repeatable

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

Post: https://t.co/B8PwHg0PGd

Site: https://t.co/pPptgk50dA

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@nickdevor_ @FalconXGlobal @intheanera There's not much liquidity in these markets (I know the person who is providing 90% of it)

[eventwaves @EventWavesIO]

@skyquake_1 Wouldn't most traders be trying to manipulate after the pricing?