We all think we’re main characters. In one hand, we are for our own story. But that doesn’t mean story has happy ending.
It’s one written page in billions of it, with main purpose of it is driving other pages being written.
Nosso cérebro faz isso, mas não consegue completar a simples ação de ler, escrever e às vezes até falar em sonho. Fora o mistério dos celulares, por que ninguém sonha com eles? São tantas perguntas.
@mightydudbolt And men essentially don’t want women who like them only based on how they act towards them. They want to spoil a woman that actually likes them and not performative acts that can be replicated by any dude with few bucks in his wallets and few brain cells
@mightydudbolt Yeah, that’s what girls don’t get. You can go with a nice message. But nice is not attraction, it’s performative. And performing for someone just based on their looks is just nah. If you go with low key, low effort convo starter and girl is interested, it means she’s into you
Defining your own standards and shamelessly following your own inner truth is the most masculine thing you can do
Society wants you to remain a repressed little boy, enslaved by the spirit of the times
They want you to obey daddy (the personal father and the societal father) instead of your own soul
Most men are not living their own lives—they are acting out scripts inherited from parents, culture, fear, and the need for approval
The only approval you need is your own
There is only one true path for you, and it is your own
The deepest wish of the masculine is to be fully and authentically released into the outer world
@Getinwithgame Couldn’t be more wrong.
Her saying that shit is big for ego, but massive red flag. She’s probably in depressive state and the moment she snaps out of it or you do a small mistake, she’s gone.
CONDITIONS, NOT OPINIONS
When oil was trading at 59, I told you to load it. Not because of an opinion but because the conditions were obvious. I analyze conditions, not narratives. As you can see, that call was very right.
Today the same process points the other way.
All the pundits who never told you to buy oil at 58 are now screaming that oil is going to 140 and that the world is ending. They trade opinions. I watch conditions.
Let’s name the conditions.
Iran is running out of missiles. Today they fired one missile at Israel.
Iran has no production capacity to sustain a long conflict.
Iran has no navy capable of blockading the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran has no mines in the Gulf.
Right now the only real thing Iran can still do is fire drones at ships to damage them and scare traffic away. We already saw drones hit tankers and ports in the region. But this kind of harassment can only go on for so long before it’s neutralized or shipping resumes under protection.
The problem with ships crossing the strait right now isn’t even Iran. It’s insurance. Because of the chaos, insurers stepped back and ships hesitate to cross. That will be solved.
All the major powers in the world are united around one objective: keep the Strait of Hormuz open.
High oil hurts almost every advanced nation on earth. It damages growth, inflation, and stability. The world’s richest and most powerful countries want lower energy prices.
Iran is running out of options very fast. Their only real hope is panic.
This won’t last forever.
My catalyst right now is the release of strategic reserves. There is a big misunderstanding about how reserves actually work. Reserves are not meant to replace total production. They are meant to supplement supply during disruptions. Countries like the United States still have massive domestic production and access to imports, which means reserves don’t have to cover the entire market. They are released gradually to stabilize prices.
When reserves are used alongside ongoing production, they can last for a very long time and have a powerful effect on the market. That combination can push oil prices lower much faster than people expect and buy time for Israel and the United States to finish the work more calmly while the Strait of Hormuz is secured.
And when this is over, the panic premium disappears and a peace premium replaces it.
That’s when oil crashes.
Mark my words. The same conditions that created the opportunity at 58 are now pointing the other way.
Give it three to six months and I believe you will see oil sub 60.
Watch conditions. Ignore opinions.
While I believe this is true, it's too simplistic.
YTD but it's only 17th February.
Which data points suggest 2 and half months of YTD correlate with rest of the year?
If financial sector were to correct within second half of the month to positive YTD, does this imply positive SP500 outlook for the rest of the year?
What are the correlations between financials and SP500? How do they change with change in implied volatility of both?
With every scenario prediction I want to see a structured trade approach that will outperform SP500 ATM LEAPS.
Level out the playing field- both time and risk structure. And then we can talk.
After 60 years of watching markets I’ve found that the financial sector is traditionally the first sector to lead a new market move. Energy is traditionally the last.
Cool but would be nice to know HOW to stimulate SF1 after training.
My intuitive guess it comes from inner goal setting. If you're content with your looks, with no goal to 'chase', your body has no need to push for it.
Of course, this is over-time constant. One, two trainings don't matter in the long picture.
A signal in your brain - fired AFTER exercise - decides whether your body adapts at all.
Block it? Training did nothing.
Boost it? 2x the work output and 3x the endurance gains.
This might be the most important exercise paper in years. Here's what they found 🧵
'you know they're in their own head and not fully present w/ you'
so just like.. you analyzing their behavior while talking to them?
you write all of this but at the end it's just a projection of who you are. putting all other people in your small pocket boxes created based on your experiences.
you're just sentient, congrats.
This screams ' I am not profitable'.
Low timeframes present so many opportunities but you get hit by one variable called volatility. Your winning streaks are longer, your losing streaks are longer but it's not due to you or your strategy, but simply due to volatility.
Scalpers aka funds, or quants do not have strategies in term of price action but in price discrepancies or spreads across platforms. And they have it due to traders scalping price action.
Wednesday, 28th January. #ES
Looking at two possible trades.
1. Short liquidity grab if price takes out daily high ($7,043+)
2. Long setup as I believe orders might accumulate in the imbalance. Entry only on sweep of those orders.
Same mechanism for both. Let's see.