Six sessions ago I timestamped our crash probability read on the S&P. Since then the Nasdaq has hit a new high, and the crash probability went up anyway. Breadth is worse. Credit volatility is moving while the VIX sleeps. 14 sessions left to find the fire. https://t.co/IKQvBzjQlU
The Octover Momentum Trade has largely played out. This is one of the ugliest-looking Bottom 20 leaderboards of the Aion Index that I’ve seen. Impressive stuff.
There's something happening in this community right now and I can feel it.
It's tighter than it's ever been. People who got tired of reading the news and being wrong. People who spent the year chasing headlines and have the account to show for it. I know it's been hard. A lot of retail got worked over this year and most of them don't talk about it.
What I can tell you is that the people in here stopped guessing. They look at the same panels I look at, they do the work, and they're positioned for what's coming. And what's coming is big. I won't say more than that here.
Keep the people around you who tell you how it is. The ones who show you their own work instead of shoving someone else's profits in your face. Anyone can repost a win. Very few can produce one.
I see it in every other community and I understand why, it's a marketing strategy. I've shown my own profits fewer than four times this year, on purpose. My job isn't to impress anyone. It's to perform. That's why it feels the way it does in here right now, and why Aion is different from anything else out there.
There's something happening in this community right now and I can feel it.
It's tighter than it's ever been. People who got tired of reading the news and being wrong. People who spent the year chasing headlines and have the account to show for it. I know it's been hard. A lot of retail got worked over this year and most of them don't talk about it.
What I can tell you is that the people in here stopped guessing. They look at the same panels I look at, they do the work, and they're positioned for what's coming. And what's coming is big. I won't say more than that here.
Keep the people around you who tell you how it is. The ones who show you their own work instead of shoving someone else's profits in your face. Anyone can repost a win. Very few can produce one.
I see it in every other community and I understand why, it's a marketing strategy. I've shown my own profits fewer than four times this year, on purpose. My job isn't to impress anyone. It's to perform. That's why it feels the way it does in here right now, and why Aion is different from anything else out there.
My third article is live inside the Aion Terminal.
Which Drain the Sink Flows Into: Rotation, Liquidity and the High Beta Complex.
On October 6, with $SPX at a record close, I called a selloff into late October, a bottom this week, a V, and a Q4 everything rally. The first half of that script has played. This is the second half.
What is in it: the good, the bad and the ugly of the October flush. The one variable the market sorted the AI complex on, and who is already standing behind the names it sold. The full leaderboard inversion across three timeframes, and the afternoon the beaten-down groups led the table for the first time since the top.
The index moved a couple of percent. The leaderboard underneath it inverted completely. Enjoy!
I know you guys want to spend the weekend talking about how neoclouds are going to zero with 100% certainty, but imagine missing the dip right before a massive revenue inflection point.
Anyways these companies are going bankrupt.