Instinct effectively forced the latest updates in ChatGPT work and Claude Cowork
The value of new startups is now measured in how much they help the frontier labs push out similar functionality. Massive net benefit to society if you are funding startups
Returns, probably not great (DPI basis)
Instinct is interesting. Won’t be a long post - but TLDR it’s just more aggressive in pursuing goals. Form factor makes a lot of sense but this won’t translate to business revenue which means OAI will copy them fast
Funny how the best companies in the world are getting slammed for bringing FCF to near zero and adding a bit of leverage
Wait till they find out what Software Private Equity firms are doing with PortCos
Imagine if the masses knew how capital allocation worked
The PE VP asking you to adjust assumptions to pass the IRR hurdle
The HF PM asking you why you didn’t account for the weather effect in a specific region
Little do they know….20-something year olds making wild guesses holds up the economy
I figure the 4 year college system is about to get massively disrupted
4 years is a lifetime in the AI era
Should be cycles of 6 months of study - 6 months of application otherwise the theory and practicality mismatch leave you with economically unviable skills
Per Bloomberg, Goldman, Blackstone and Apollo have been having "slow progress" on AI data center debt deals, but Jensen Huang decided to rush out the $500 billion announcement, which has "no obvious provenance."
So I guess it was all BS then?
https://t.co/5V9h5AMpes
Way more people will leave the labs soon to build “harnesses”, agentic loops, etc
The intelligence is there to automate most of white collar work. Maximizing harnesses will be the key to adoption