Just a reminder:
@Polymarket still isn’t generating revenue — yet it carries a $9B valuation. Zero fees, free access to forecast data… the core product is basically given away.
But the market priced it anyway. Information is the new superpower, and Polymarket has become a radically reliable source of it.
In today’s world, the one who controls information controls the game.
Just got approved for the Polymarket Partner Program!
Huge thanks to the team — excited to start contributing, promoting markets, and bringing more attention to the prediction meta.
Let’s make this era the Era of Polymarket.
Polymarket supercycle!
Congratulations to the first 100 traders accepted into our affiliate program.
We are now accepting applications for batch 2 — applications will be accepted on rolling & case by case basis:
https://t.co/cRPApM6rOy
According to Wormhole Scan, something big is happening.
61.6% of all outgoing liquidity is coming from Solana,
and 92.4% of all incoming liquidity is flowing straight into Base.
This isn’t a normal rotation — it’s a massive capital migration into a single chain.
Base is literally pulling liquidity out of the ecosystem, with Solana being the main source.
A flow imbalance like this almost never happens “for no reason.”
It looks like someone is positioning early for a major move.
With that in mind, I’d take a look at this Polymarket market:
“What price will Solana hit November 24–30?”
The ~75% probability on $140 looks like free money given the current on-chain flows.
The event ends in less than 7 days, and based on today’s liquidity dynamics,
this setup looks extremely attractive. (link in comm)
The Trump Approval (Nov 21) market is one of the cleanest statistical trades on Polymarket right now.
Current pricing:
<40.5 — 4%
40.5–40.9 — 7%
41.0–41.4 — 30%
41.5–41.9 — 41%
42.0–42.4 — 10%
42.5+ — 2%
Silver Bulletin’s trendline has been locked in a narrow band for weeks. No directional momentum, no structural poll shift, and revisions typically nudge toward the middle, not the extremes.
The market is clearly overweighting volatility and underpricing mean reversion.
My take:
The sweet spot is 41.5–41.9.
It already reflects 41% of the market — and even that might be cheap given SB’s historical finalization pattern. The trendline has been hovering right in that corridor, and unless a major poll shock drops before the next SB datapoint, the number will lock roughly where it has been drifting: ~41.6–41.8.
So my bet:
Long 41.5–41.9 YES.
Cleanest EV. Best alignment with SB methodology. Small risk of drift, high probability of landing in-band.
Quick rules recap:
The market resolves to Silver Bulletin’s approval rating for Trump on Nov 21, using the green trendline.
The value is finalized only once the next datapoint is posted.
Methodology changes don’t matter.
If SB dies, fallback is RCP.
Resolution uses one decimal place exactly as reported.
Sometimes the boring markets are the most profitable — this one looks like free money disguised as a range.
link in market in comment
I only trade on @Polymarket