Fab Fab

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@yashar @amyforsandiego The lady is right. I was interviewed for polls. They push you to the answer they want.

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@kenbensinger Can you let me know what is so ‘republican’ about Spencer Pratt’s program? I see only common sense measures.

Therefore, why would Democrats disgusted with the situation in LA not vote for Spencer Pratt? They are not robots.

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@isaiahrmartin Serious question to you smart man: what is ‘republican’ about Spencer Pratt’s program? I see only common sense ideas.

Let us know

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@XavierBecerra You have a terrible track record

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@wholemars Finding out yesterday at a party that a couple of friends who have Tesla (Y and 3) don’t even know there is a FSD subscription and you don’t have to buy it all at once. They were like “how much is it now? $8,000?”

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@JLMelenchon Mechancon pense que c’est un probleme de partage de richesses alors que c’est un probleme de creation de richesse. Il va defoncer l’economie encore plus.

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

here is another take. Iran is escalating because time plays against Iran and it is about to collapse economically. Closing the strait of Hormuz did not work as intended, and so now its last card is to wreck the gulf countries — this is why it is escalating solely against the Gulf countries, not against Israel.

PROOF:

Iran closed the Hormuz Strait expecting the worst supply shock in history would force the world and the U.S. into capitulation. Remember that analysts and traders were projecting $200-$300 oil in such a scenario.

But what has happened instead? The supply shock was absorbed!
- oil is barely above $100
- the U.S. became the first oil exporter in the world. In May it exported 2 Million barrels ie as much as all of 2025.
- China reduced its consumption by 40% (nobody saw that one coming).
- Russia was granted waivers to ship oil to India
- Venezuela is coming online
- new supply routes are being established.

Hormuz was Iran’s last card. It did not work.

They are gasping for air.

[Jeremy Padawer @JeremyCom]

The odds of Nithya Raman receiving 40% of the vote yesterday are “LESS LIKELY than picking ONE GRAIN OF SAND on Earth dozens of times in a row.” I believe elections tend to be fair. Someone help me make sense of math that seems impossible…

I ASKED CHATGPT -
“What is the statistical likelihood that 40% of votes from a “new batch” of ballots go to a candidate who received 24% of votes from all other batches that represented 95% of counted electorate. Give me a % odds.”

The Answer (Part 1) -
“Assuming the candidate’s “true” share is 24%, the odds that a random new batch lands at 40% or higher depends on batch size:
50 ballots
0.88%
100 ballots
0.028%
200 ballots
0.00004%
500 ballots
~0.00000000000018%
1,000 ballots
~0.0000000000000000000000000035%”

My follow up -
“Assume 40,000 ballots. Are the odds one in a billion? One in a trillion? Worse? This seems to be happening in Los Angeles Mayor’s race between Mayor Bass, Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman.”

The Answer (Part 2) -
“If the 40,000-ballot batch were drawn from the same population that produced 24% support in the other 95% of votes, then seeing 40% support in that batch would be far beyond “one in a billion” or “one in a trillion.”

75 standard deviations is in an entirely different universe.

The probability is approximately:

~10⁻¹²²⁰

or about

1 chance in 10¹²²⁰

That’s a number with roughly 1,220 zeros after the 1.

Statistically, if the batch were truly a random sample of the same electorate, the odds are so small that statisticians would effectively treat the event as impossible. The usual conclusion would not be “wow, what a lucky fluctuation,” but rather that the batch is not representative of the earlier ballots—for example, it came from a different geographic area, voting method, demographic group, or subset of voters.

So yes: much worse than one in a billion, much worse than one in a trillion, and vastly smaller than any probability encountered in ordinary statistical analysis.”

My follow up -
“More grains of sand on earth than the likelihood of this?”

The Answer (Part 3) -
“Yes. Much, much more.

Estimated grains of sand on Earth are often put around 10¹⁸ to 10²⁰.

Your odds example was roughly:

1 in 10¹²²⁰

So this is not just “less likely than picking one grain of sand on Earth.”

It’s more like picking the right grain of sand on Earth correctly over and over again dozens of times in a row.”

Sincerely,
Jeremy Padawer
https://t.co/POrFyAfNhH

@spencerpratt @BoredElonMusk @Hotshot_Movie @415FirePhoto
#losangeles #la #fyp #mayor

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@USAttyEssayli Our process is insane and lagging behind any developed country. The fact that officials are defending it is insane

[SCRIBEMOON @SCRIBEMOON]

@RonDeSantis I dropped my ballot on May 13 in a West LA drop box. Tracked it. Got confirmation of receipt on May 15th. It STILL HAS NOT BEEN COUNTED.
The official LA registrar spin to the local news is that these "are all late/day of ballots." THIS IS A LIE!

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

Spare us this bull shit Kaye. First you misrepresented the Palisades Fire victim like saying we don’t vote for Pratt (we overwhelmingly did). Now you defending an insane voting system lagging behind every developed nation.

All this for what? For the ideology that’s already proven to destroy LA?

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@Milajoy My home burned down and this feels like watching the Palisades burn down again. I am losing hope in CA.

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@GovPressOffice What a sad spectacle Gavin to see California lagging so much in best practice voting.

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@DrEliDavid 3. Patience is a virtue: He has information the blockade is working (and this is why Iranians are growing more aggressive)

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@Gfilche @Tesla I disagree. This is much better than having to press on the button to leave a message though.

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@Osint613 “God hardened the heart of Pharaoh”

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@BoredElonMusk Yes. It is undeniable.
So here is how it works: they’ve stashed money away for years so they can make it look good right around election time.

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

YOU DON’T KNOW ANYTHING. When leadership incompetence will result in your home being burnt down like mine was 16 months ago, or in your nanny being aggressed by a zombie in Venice like mine was 13 months ago, or in a zombie bursting in your living room at 8 pm while you are with your family like it happened to me 10 month ago, or in you ducking bullets during a gang shooting downtown by 16-year-old kids like it happened to me 6 months ago, THEN YOU CAN SPEAK.

Enough with people with no skin in the game lecturing us.

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@christopherrufo 👏

[Fab Fab @Fab_Fab]

@KayeSteinsapir KATE, THIS 👇. PLEASE STOP MISREPRESENTING Palisades Fire victims like you have been doing for 7-10 days. It’s disgusting. All this for ideological reasons, what a shame.

Palisades vote Pratt.

[Ian Miller @ianmSC]

In case you were wondering how much people in Pacific Palisades hate Karen Bass for allowing their town to the burn to the ground and how awful the "rebuilding" is going with her as mayor, Spencer Pratt is currently winning there by 46 points