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@mjnblack Honest question: even if you take the maximal/harsh utilitarian pov as 100% legitimate, , how come the potential future "meaningful experiences" of a child aren't weighed ?

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@SlangsOnSports A lot of replies around Cam w/ fewer IP per game, which is totally valid. Yet neglecting that '68, '63, and '66 were the 1st, 4th, and 8th lowest ERA seasons since '63. '26 has 1.2 more earned runs per game that '68. Different advantages and disadvantages.

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@AndyMasley @MichaelTontchev To be fair, I think critics of the time thought Foucault was unbearably and intentionally opaque as well

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@shegone03 I believe both the indisputable fact that pitchers are throwing harder *and* change in measurement techniques exaggerate the increase in velo, to be clear.

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@CodifyBaseball Agree that pitchers are throwing harder. Also think people should accept and be transparent that change in measurement method makes the perceived gains seem larger than the real gains. BP article from 2020:

https://t.co/4GKEXmZMGQ

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@mike_petriello I agree "no new blood/ideas" is not a successful way to run any organization and evolution is required to sustain success.

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@kozy_shack Regardless, the functional takeaway *could be* swinging harder is better, but it *could also* be simply making contact on the pull side is better.

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@kozy_shack ...lowering the average % max EV for higher swing speeds, but when good contact is made on pull side the xwOBACON more than makes up for the weak contact. Or better xwOBACON can be achieved on lower EV pulled balls.

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@danielopezdiaz @BarnHasSpoken2 My point is that you shouldn't use FIP from a single inning to make that point, not that there weren't bad plays. Using FIP in this context at best doesn't mean anything and at worst exaggerates the issue. But you're right, both those plays weren't great.

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@enosarris Love the work. Wondering how Cease can be 145th ranked P with a -$2.4 value (Steamer), and be 30th on this list. Is this an example of wanting to "sit down and have a beer" with the projections and ask them what's going on? Just taking last year and extrapolating too hard?

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@RobertStock6 Velocity has undoubtedly gone up, but there is *something* there based on measurement technique (ie ft from plate), written up here by Baseball America: https://t.co/WT8SYCrqFF

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@jjcoop36 @enosarris I agree with the main point velo matters, but shouldn't the velo groups be a bit more similar? Is it realistic that a P throwing 88-92 would be able to add 10-6 ticks of velo? I feel like comparing 98+ to 92-96 is more realistic (but I'm not in player dev)

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@mike_petriello When looking at the next incremental player as an upgrade to an existing roster, does wOBA "shape" matter? E.g. an already slugging lineup is better benefitted by higher OBP other things equal.

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@RobertStock6 Yankees radio broadcast just had this discussion, and according to them he goes by "Treviño"

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@baseball_ref Do you have a link link to an interactive plot? E.g. plotly or something similar