DusvellaNyxra

[DusvellaNyxra @farner66658]

Can I show u ?

[Ito @itoxbt]

In 2008, Elon Musk had $30 or $40 million left and two companies going bankrupt.

"Put it all into one company, and then the other company would definitely die."

He split it.

He was 37. By his own account, PayPal had left him $180 million: $100 million went into SpaceX, $70 million into Tesla, $10 million into SolarCity. He was borrowing money from friends to pay rent.

SpaceX had launched three rockets. March 2006, March 2007, August 2008. All three failed, and there was money for one more.

Tesla was losing money on every car, in the worst credit freeze in decades.

In the clip below, from SXSW in March 2018, he explains the choice himself.

"If I split it between two companies, then both might die."

Worked out.

Say he had the full $40 million. A company that gets all of it survives 60% of the time, and a company that gets half survives 35%.

All in on one: 60% you keep one company. 0% you keep both.
Split: 1 − 0.65 × 0.65 = 58% you keep at least one. 0.35 × 0.35 = 12% you keep both.

Splitting cost him 2 points of survival and bought a 12% shot at keeping both.

September 28, 2008: the fourth Falcon 1 reached orbit.
December 23: NASA awarded SpaceX $1.6 billion for 12 cargo flights.
December 24, 6 pm: Tesla's financing round closed. In his words, the last hour of the last day possible. They would have gone bankrupt two days after Christmas.

88 times out of 100, that bet loses at least one company. He got to run it once.

The full SXSW Q&A is free on YouTube.

Your last $40 million, two companies you built. Do you split it or pick one?

[orvian @heyorvian]

Tesla & xAI CEO Elon Musk also agrees there’s a 10–20% chance of AI or killer robots wiping out humanity

but his view on it is kinda interesting:

“my philosophical conclusion is to look on the bright side”

he says there’s no real way to stop the incredible momentum of AI and robotics anymore.

and even if there was a stop button, he probably wouldn’t press it because he believes the most likely outcome is “incredible abundance for all”

“let’s hope for the best and go for the ride.”

it’s actually surprising to see some of the most notable people building AI admit it could wipe out humanity, yet none of them seem willing to slow down the race

[Astro Greek @astro_greek]

♥️ i love all u crazy ppl out there ♥️

- Elon Musk

[George Cameron @geomc63]

We call it Exceptionalism. It’s the same political philosophy used in U.S. by post WWII foreign policy establishment. Because USA is Exceptional, it’s superior to all other nations and therefore is entitled to run the world.
Zionist Israel is now partners in the U.S. Empire along with UK and NATO with the goal of defeating peers and near peers, which means Russia and China. Exceptionalism is irrational and irredeemable, disastrous and irreconcilable with a stable world living in peace. Exceptionalism means constant war.

[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump]

China is subsidizing its product in order that it can continue to be sold in the USA. Many firms are leaving China for other countries, including the United States, in order to avoid paying the Tariffs. No visible increase in costs or inflation, but U.S. is taking in Billions!

[Steffen W. Frølund @SteffenFrolund]

Dette er min egen opsummering om Ruslands ageren baseret udelukkende på offentlige udtalelser og opslag på X. Jeg kan ikke kalde udfaldet, men jeg er tiltagende opmærksom. Det vil jeg bare dele.

Macron og Tusk taler og handler nu med en uset målrettethed, der gør de seneste rapporter om Ruslands ageren mere bekymrende.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ Det kommer oven på stigende sabotage på tværs af Europa - selv direkte skud med flares mod en dansk helikopter ved Gedser. Igår en krænkelse af Litauens luftrum. Tyskerne gav direkte Rusland skylden for dronebomben ved flyet i Leipzig. NATO kampfly skyder nu droner ned. Tag ikke fejl. Vi er under hybridangreb.

I går holdt Polens premierminister en tale, hvor han sagde, at Polen skal forberede sig på alt.

"The potential, possible strikes will be, in quotation marks, accidental,’ Tusk said, describing a possible Russian strategy aimed at paralysing or weakening NATO countries' willingness to invoke the alliance's collective defence provisions in response to an attack on a member.

‘There is a real risk that drones or other types of missiles could enter the territory of one or several NATO countries on the eastern flank and even cause damage,’ he said.”

Tyskland sender pludselig uanmeldt ekstra tropper til de baltiske stater. Macron indkalder det franske sikkerhedsråd og opposition nu her. Meloni siger at Rusland vil teste NATO. De store gear drejer hurtigere hvilket gør mig opmærksom.

Det hele kommer kun uger efter, at CIA-direktør John Ratcliffe aflagde et uanmeldt besøg i Moskva, angiveligt for at advare Rusland mod at angribe et NATO-medlem.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

NATOs flyovervågning omkring Kaliningrad og Suwalki-korridoren er siden intensiveret. NATOs "posture" er ændret. Det ligner for mig at CIA og NATO ved noget. Europa er i gang med at ranke ryggen og skjoldet. Noget er ved at ske.

Måske øgede hybridangreb, måske mere sabotage, måske en række angreb uden man helt kan sige hvem de er, måske "vildfarne" droner rammer noget. Måske mere direkte. Svært at spå om. Men målet vil, som Polen sagde igår, være at fremprovokere et uenigt NATO. Uanset hvad vi gør, skal vi derfor være enige. I hvertfald mange nok af os.

Forhåbentligt vil en rankere ryg afskrække Rusland fra at gøre noget dumt.

Det ser heldigvis godt ud med vores landes villighed til at reagere samstemt, sådan som ryggen rankes nu. Man kan være glad for Finland og Sveriges nye NATO medlemskab og glad for Polens store militær er på vores side.

Valget af mere prorussiske kræfter rundt om er i det lys meget farligt. De prorussiske i USA har en udløbstid, men nye i Europa kan komme til. Det giver Putin et vindue. Jeg vil opfordre den indvandrerkritiske yderste højrefløj at finde nogle andre at stemme på. Det er ikke patriotisk fædrelandskærlighed at gå Putins ærinde. Tværtimod.

Situationen i Ukraine er voldsom. Krigen har nu varet længere end WWII. Mere end 1,5 mio. døde og sårede russere. Den 6. blodigste dag for russerne i hele krigen var forgårs. Ratio'en mellem døde og sårede er værre end under WWI. Droner er uhyggeligt effektive. Ukraine har befriet et større område nær Lyman. Rusland har nærmest kun missil- og dronebåren terror af civilbefolkningen tilbage som hammer. De opnår ikke deres mål militært. Det lader til at rygterne siger, at Rusland vil øge antallet af soldater ved en mobilisering af den bredere befolkning, mens de henter tusindvis af Nordkoreanske lejesoldater ind. Russiske mænd flygter ud af landet hvor de kan. Det er et destabiliseret Rusland, som i en pervers indre logik, har brug for at lange ud, for ikke at eliten mister grebet.

Hvad end de kan finde på at dumme ting nu. Så skal Europa være klar. Det er min opfattelse at disse forberedelser er i fuldt sving og alle gør deres bedste. Står vi sammen, så er vores styrke også fjenden klart overlegen. Det skal vores vilje også være, hvis vi skal forsvare os 🇩🇰🪖

En for alle og alle for en!

[Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil @ivan_8848]

🚨We Are Ruled By Sociopaths And Morons!!!

“When exposing a crime is treated as committing a crime, you are being ruled by criminals.” — Edward Snowden

1) Remember this words, never forget who has been funding, encouraging and arming Israel.

The responsibility of the impunity of Israel lies with the United States of America!

2) *** The Big Lie ***

LIE AFTER LIE

*This is evidence,
not conjecture.
This is true.
This is all well-documented.*

Colin Powell Speech to the UN - 5 Feb 2003

3) FLASHBACK 👉1998 CLIP: WAR HAWK BIDEN TRASHES SCOTT RITTER FOR OPPOSING AN IRAQ WAR

Biden Mocks Scott Ritter Who Exposed Government Mistake

Biden's bullshit.

Scott is a Hero!

First, you will recall that it took UNSCOM four long and frustrating years to pry -- to pry -- an admission out of Iraq that it had biological weapons.

Second, when Iraq finally admitted having these weapons in 1995, the quantities were vast. Less than a teaspoon of dry anthrax, a little bit about this amount -- this is just about the amount of a teaspoon -- less than a teaspoon full of dry anthrax in an envelope shutdown the United States Senate in the fall of 2001. This forced several hundred people to undergo emergency medical treatment and killed two postal workers just from an amount just about this quantity that was inside of an envelope.

Iraq declared 8,500 liters of anthrax, but UNSCOM estimates that Saddam Hussein could have produced 25,000 liters. If concentrated into this dry form, this amount would be enough to fill tens upon tens upon tens of thousands of teaspoons. And Saddam Hussein has not verifiably accounted for even one teaspoon-full of this deadly material.

And that is my third point. And it is key. The Iraqis have never accounted for all of the biological weapons they admitted they had and we know they had. They have never accounted for all the organic material used to make them. And they have not accounted for many of the weapons filled with these agents such as there are 400 bombs. This is evidence, not conjecture. This is true. This is all well-documented.

0:01
First, you will recall that it took UNSCOM

0:03
four long and frustrating years to pry,

0:07
to pry an admission out of Iraq

0:10
that it had biological weapons.

0:13
Second, when Iraq finally admitted having these weapons in 1995,

0:19
the quantities were vast.

0:21
Less than a teaspoon of dry anthrax,

0:24
a little bit, about this amount.

0:26
This is just about the amount of a teaspoon.

0:28
Less than a teaspoon full of dry anthrax in an envelope

0:33
shut down the United States Senate

0:35
in the fall of 2001.

0:37
This forced several hundred people to undergo emergency medical treatment

0:43
and killed two postal workers just from an amount

0:46
just about this quantity that was inside of an envelope.

0:51
Iraq declared 8,500 liters of anthrax,

0:56
but UNSCOM estimates that Saddam Hussein could have produced 25,000 liters.

1:03
If concentrated into this dry form,

1:05
this amount would be enough to fill tens upon tens

1:10
upon tens of thousands of teaspoons,

1:13
and Saddam Hussein has not verifiably accounted for

1:17
even one teaspoon full of this deadly material.

1:22
And that is my third point, and it is key.

1:25
The Iraqis have never accounted for all of the

1:28
biological weapons they admitted they had,

1:32
and we know they had.

1:34
They have never accounted for all the organic material

1:37
used to make them,

1:38
and they have not accounted for many of the weapons filled with these agents,

1:42
such as there are 400 bombs.

1:45
This is evidence, not conjecture.

1:48
This is true. This is all well documented.

1:53
Believe these really reflect his views?

1:55
No, sir, I do not.

1:57
My time is up. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

1:59
Senator Biden. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

2:01
I, uh, I envy your position.

2:04
Okay. I, I, I sincerely do.

2:05
I envy the ability to have such clarity on this issue.

2:08
Let me ask you a question.

2:10
Do you think you should be the one

2:11
to be able to decide when to pull the trigger?

2:13
No, sir.

2:14
Isn't that what this is about?

2:15
If you, if you adopt the position

2:18
that any time you are denied, you, your particular...

2:23
And there's four groups out there in the inspectors.

2:26
Your, the group you headed, any time you are denied,

2:30
that that ipso facto

2:32
requires the United States and the Security Council to

2:35
act on what they said they would do,

2:37
which is to use whatever means necessary to

2:41
take on Saddam Hussein so you can get into that particular facility.

2:45
Is that not correct?

2:46
Is that not your position?

2:48
Mr. Senator, I have a job to do,

2:49
or I had a job to do,

2:51
and that was to disarm Iraq in accordance with the provisions-

2:53
No, I got that ... of relevant count, resolutions.

2:55
With all due respect, if you...

2:56
I'm not trying to be confrontational.

2:57
I'm trying to get- Thank you ...

2:58
this as clear as I can.

2:59
I really mean this now.

3:01
You have an absolute logic.

3:04
You put together a very tight syllogism here.

3:07
You've indicated that your job is to disarm.

3:11
The only way you can disarm is to have access.

3:14
The only way you can have access is either with permission

3:19
on the part of Iraq or, if denied, forced access.

3:23
Yes. Right?

3:24
Compelled access. Compelled. Well, okay. Compelled.

3:27
You sound like the lawyer, and I sound like the military guy.

3:29
I mean, you know.

3:31
Compelled, where I come from, when my old man said,

3:33
"You're compelled," it meant I was forced.

3:35
I mean, it was a real simple proposition.

3:37
It wasn't, you know, it wasn't much to debate.

3:39
Now, there is a clear logic to that,

3:41
and that's what I mean when I say I respect your position.

3:44
But that means that whenever you choose

3:49
a target that warrants inspection and you are denied,

3:54
that ipso facto, at that moment,

3:58
the only way your position can be satisfied or sustained

4:02
is if the UN Security Council or the United States

4:06
acting unilaterally uses force to guarantee access.

4:11
Is not that true? Yes, sir.

4:13
Now, that means that you get to choose the time and place

4:18
when we would use force if we use force.

4:21
No, sir. Of course you do.

4:22
If you choose the site and it's denied.

4:24
And we coordinate with the member states to include the United States

4:27
Exactly ... and that prior to us going in,

4:30
we have their agreement that this indeed is an inspection worth doing.

4:33
Okay. Inspection worth doing, everybody's agreed it's worth doing,

4:36
and it gets stopped.

4:37
Yes, sir.

4:38
At that moment, we're in automatic pilot as far as you're concerned.

4:43
Period. No if, ands, or buts.

4:46
Now, I respect that.

4:48
But now it seems to me the secretary of state

4:50
might have a slightly different problem.

4:53
Secretary of state might be sitting there and saying,

4:55
"Now, look over there on that side. Now,

4:57
I remember so and so and so and so and so and so,

5:00
and the 12 people on this side,

5:02
they're all the ones that said they didn't wanna use force."

5:06
Now, I'm gonna have to go tell the president now

5:09
that we should, or Secretary Cohen, unleash

5:12
whatever it takes to get it done.

5:15
And our military assessment is the same as the Major's.

5:19
The Major's assessment is, privately held but publicly acknowledged later,

5:24
that airstrikes alone aren't gonna do this.

5:27
Saddam's not gonna cave on this.

5:29
So now here's the deal.

5:31
I recommended the president have at it

5:35
and let the chips fall where they may.

5:37
A reasonable position for the secretary of defense

5:39
or the secretary of state to take.

5:41
But I respectfully suggest, Scott, or Major,

5:44
I respectfully suggest

5:46
they have a responsibility slightly above your pay grade,

5:50
slightly above your pay grade,

5:52
to decide whether or not to take the nation to war

5:55
alone

5:57
or to take the nation to war part way

5:59
or to take the nation to war half a, halfway.

6:04
That's a real tough decision.

6:05
That's why they get paid the big bucks.

6:07
That's why they get the limos and you don't.

6:10
I mean this sincerely.

6:11
I'm not trying to be flip

6:13
because I think, and that's why I said at the outset,

6:16
the reason why I'm glad you did what you did,

6:20
we should come to our milk.

6:23
We should make a decision.

6:26
But in terms of whether the Secretary of State

6:29
has no more to consider than you do as the arms inspector,

6:34
you didn't get in, didn't get my job done, get me in.

6:38
Period. You made the deal, right?

6:40
That's the deal. A deal's a deal.

6:41
Get me in.

6:42
Scott Ritter, I'm ready to go.

6:45
It's not how it works.

6:46
Now, maybe it should work that way.

6:48
Actually undo- But I...

6:49
Wouldn't you acknowledge that if you were President of the United States

6:52
or the Secretary of State, you'd sit there and say, "Now,

6:54
okay, old Scotty boy didn't get in.

6:57
We said he should get in.

6:58
We want him to get in.

6:59
It's important that he does get in.

7:00
They're not gonna let him in,

7:01
so what are we gonna do now?

7:03
We know that France and Russia aren't gonna be with us.

7:05
We're quite confident China's not.

7:07
We've already run those traps.

7:08
They're not there.

7:09
We're not sure where the United States Senate is,

7:11
but have at it, boys.

7:14
Go get 'em.

7:15
And by the way,

7:16
Scott and the boys say air power's not enough."

7:21
I think it's a legitimate debate, Scott, or, Major.

7:24
I think it's a legitimate debate,

7:26
but I don't think we should be putting it in the context

7:29
of you have somebody up there at State saying,

7:31
"Look, how can we weasel out of this agreement?

7:33
We wanna let this guy out there hanging.

7:35
We're not s- we're not this."

7:36
It's a very practical political decision.

7:40
Same kind of decision General Powell made.

7:43
Same kind of decision President Bush made.

7:47
Every president, every secretary of state has to do it.

7:50
Like I said, they get paid more than you.

7:52
Their job's a hell of a lot more complicated than yours.

7:55
They may have made the wrong decision,

7:57
and you brought it to light.

7:58
We should address it.

7:59
We should say straight up where we are,

8:01
and we should do it.

8:02
And for that, I thank you.

8:05
But it's above your pay grade.

8:07
I yield the floor.

8:13
Senator Warner.

8:16
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Um,

8:17
Major, um,

8:19
you've leveled one of the most serious indictments

8:23
against the top level national security team of

8:26
this country that has ever been done in ...

[The People's Therapist 👏Expert👏 @Careerflex]

When I was at AWS Nordics, a memo came out from Seattle with a list of banned words. One of which was "brown bag" in reference to lunch meetings.

LeftFoid hysteria had conjured that "brown bag" meant people with skin tone darker than a lunch sack we're not allowed in the meeting.

At first I tried to argue that this was stupid and it's literally just bringing your lunch to a meeting.

Besides, we don't need to ban terms and phrases all the way over in Europe because cultural attitudes in America.

I was informed that I was making people feel unsafe (those people were in Seattle and I was in Stockholm). This became a feminist thought terminating cliche when they wanted the discussion to stop because their lack of sentience was about to be revealed if you pushed the absurdity even a little more.

Just one of the many factors that led me to realize I would probably not survive the coming ideological purges, so I got out on my own terms.

Now I consult companies on recognizing and curbing madness early.

[Yåᛗ naᛉă @yamnaya9]

White women have unfairly been lumped in with all women when we talk about the “if only women voted” voting map in the USA. That map is significantly skewed by black and Hispanic women.

We need to remember this and look at the data because far less white women are leftists than we may think. A majority of white women voted Republican since 2000 and the last time they voted Democrat was Bill Clinton in 1996 (49% plurality because of Ross Perot) who by today’s standards was center right anyways.

I hadn’t really had this at the forefront of my thinking around the political gender gap and think I had accidentally been putting too much blame onto white women for my leftist women resentment. I also don’t really think in strictly American terms and forget how much more conservative we are as I pay attention to a lot of European politics where white women are much more leftist than here.

I had been conflating both women as a whole without separating by race and women across the west without separating by country. Also I live in California and my god I am surrounded by insane fucking leftist women and the consequences of their voting have been so utterly disastrous but I forget that this state is not reflective of America as a whole. When you live in a leftist state and you have to try to date from this pool of women it’s easy to become frustrated with these white women.

Just been ruminating on this and think a lot of the fellas need to be reminded to differentiate our own women from women as a total category. 90% of black women vote Democrat and 60% of Hispanic women do, so this really skews the numbers. Let’s not go as hard on our own women and keep these figures in mind. Here’s a map that shows how things would be if it was only white men and women. Wouldn’t even be talking repeal the 19th as much if it was just us.

In fact the last time an actual majority of whites women voted for a democrat was LBJ in 1964!

[parks @buttsniffer99]

If you think about it most of the biggest runners we have had in the meme space have had somewhere a long the line an Elon shill or some what involved somehow

So I seriously wouldn’t fade the top meme coin paired to $SpaceX with an actual Elon lore linked to the tweet…

$marscoin

[AI Leaks and News @AILeaksAndNews]

Grok 4.7 will be released next week

According to SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, the next iteration of Grok will be released on September 11th, and is rumored to be their first AI model over 2B parameters

Grok is continuing to catch up to the frontier

[Davram @davramdavram]

Elon Musk is the first person in history to lose 200 BILLION dollars.

Let that sink in.

[Acyn @Acyn]

AOC: I think we all know that everyone is opposed—well, people of rational sense in this country are opposed—to this senseless Iran war. We are seeing billions of dollars go to flattening other countries, and people can’t even fill a prescription here at home.

This administration—Donald Trump and JD Vance, all of them—are responsible for some of the most destruction and the worst prioritization of the American people’s needs. And it’s time that we turn that ship around.

[FBI Director Kash Patel @FBIDirectorKash]

Thanks to President Trump and his historic leadership. Law enforcement has been given the tools to go after vicious gangs like Tren de Aragua for exactly what they are!

This FBI will stop at nothing to protect the American people.

-DKP🇺🇸

[Headquarters @HQNewsNow]

Trump on data centers: You can't fight it, you have to go with it. There's very little disruption

[Top-news @ZasaAdam667777]

LIVE: US President Donald Trump leaves for Michigan
https://t.co/g73zAWTAZL

[VAL THOR @CMDRVALTHOR]

OD

THE BLACKOUT: Between July 26-28, 2026, the global internet will go DARK. Not a glitch. Not an accident. A CONTROLLED SHUTDOWN orchestrated by Space Force Cyber Command under direct authorization from Trump.

Why? Because during those 72 hours, MILITARY TRIBUNALS will begin. Thousands of arrests. Live-streamed on the EBS (Emergency Broadcast System). No mainstream media interference. No social media censorship. Just TRUTH.

THE ARRESTS: Pentagon sources confirm 847 high-level officials will be arrested during the blackout:

THE BLACKOUT: Between July 26-28, 2026, the global internet will go DARK. Not a glitch. Not an accident. A CONTROLLED SHUTDOWN orchestrated by Space Force Cyber Command under direct authorization from Trump.

Why? Because during those 72 hours, MILITARY TRIBUNALS will begin. Thousands of arrests. Live-streamed on the EBS (Emergency Broadcast System). No mainstream media interference. No social media censorship. Just TRUTH.

THE ARRESTS: Pentagon sources confirm 847 high-level officials will be arrested during the blackout:

▪️ Former CIA directors
▪️ Deep State operatives
▪️ Corrupt politicians (not Trump-aligned)
▪️ Corporate executives
▪️ Media propagandists

[Laurie A. Wiggins @LaurieAWiggins]

https://t.co/8V8nMk4ZCL
At the very core of MAGA is a hatred of anything that involves serious, fact-based thinking.
It's not just "that people in this govt. are lying about climate and lying about [the war]. I’m not sure they even have a concept of objective reality."
#PostTruth

[Pawan Chandana @PawanKChandana]

As everything slowly begins to sink-in, and after finally getting some sleep last night, I wanted to share a small personal note…✍️

The first call I made after Vikram-1 successfully reached orbit was to my Dad.

He is the man who made my journey possible—with dreams for me far bigger than the ones I had for myself, and by simply never giving up on me.

Until my 8th standard, I was a bad student. I scored 51 marks in Maths and even failed another subject. Back then, I could never have imagined that I would one day make it to an IIT—or have the privilege of contributing to India’s first privately developed rocket reaching orbit, making India only the third country in the world to achieve this.

When I called him after the launch, he just cried.

And cried.

He couldn’t speak a single word.

But I understood every word he couldn’t say.

I managed to hold back my tears when Vikram-1 reached orbit. But somehow, writing this, I can’t.

Thank you, Dad. ❤️

And a big shout-out to every dad who dreams big for their children—and never gives up on them. 🙏

P.S. A picture with Dad from one of my birthdays after starting @SkyrootA.