FastStat

NBA, MLB & NFL prop edges, daily. Hit rates, line value & parlays. Free stat sheets every day 📊

[FastStat @faststat_io]

Perfect L5 Batter Strikeouts (K) for today:

- Willson Contreras (DK: -300)
- Cam Smith (DK: -294)
- Ezequiel Tovar (DK: -362)
- Colt Emerson (DK: -240)
- Coby Mayo (DK: -327)

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@MattyChucks Fair odds: +7713
Win probability: 1.3%

Riley Greene home runs only has a 12% hit rate AND is playing in a pitcher-friendly park (-15% for home runs).

Best leg is Jackson Chourio home runs with a 16% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/q7E7lMSh2b

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@SmartPlaysDaily Fair odds: +8164
Win probability: 1.2%

Ketel Marte home runs only has a 16% hit rate but is facing a weak starter Nick Lodolo (5.51 ERA).

Best leg is Yordan Alvarez home runs with a 29% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/kNvBv8AU3f

[FastStat @faststat_io]

5 straight clears
3/3 vs BAL

Still sitting at -253 DK… hasn’t moved

[FastStat @faststat_io]

This is my favorite data spot tonight

Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits

Too easy…?

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@mattycoverss Fair odds: +13233
Win probability: 0.75%

Riley Greene home runs only has a 11% hit rate.

Best leg is Pete Crow-Armstrong home runs with a 13% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/9J37OHTm5x

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@Lottolocks @Playbook Fair odds: +58724
Win probability: 0.17%

Bobby Witt Jr. home runs only has a 13% hit rate AND is playing in a pitcher-friendly park (-15% for home runs).

Best leg is Pete Alonso home runs with a 19% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/GMMk4dk9K0

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@Bigbetsbrand123 Fair odds: +1738
Win probability: 5.4%

Colton Cowser home runs only has a 11% hit rate but is playing in a hitter-friendly park (+5% for home runs).

Best leg is Matt Olson home runs with a 27% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/iOw2Q3Q6do

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@SaksLikely Fair odds: +24290
Win probability: 0.41%

Ketel Marte home runs only has a 17% hit rate AND is facing an elite starter Tyler Phillips (2.08 ERA).

Best leg is Seiya Suzuki home runs with a 17% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/dKhN4XbVJl

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@Skunkii_Plays Fair odds: +29312
Win probability: 0.34%

Lane Thomas home runs only has a 4% hit rate AND is playing in a pitcher-friendly park (-15% for home runs).

Best leg is Randy Arozarena home runs with a 10% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/2nxfiPN55B

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@MndOvrMny @Playbook Fair odds: +8097
Win probability: 1.2%

Julio Rodríguez home runs only has a 16% hit rate but is playing in a hitter-friendly park (+5% for home runs).

Best leg is Matt Olson home runs with a 27% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/eyOoSU70wh

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@onlyparlays Fair odds: +21639
Win probability: 0.46%

Michael Busch home runs only has a 11% hit rate but is playing in a hitter-friendly park (+6% for home runs).

Best leg is Kody Clemens home runs with a 15% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/wRLDyRg5r4

[FastStat @faststat_io]

Perfect L5 Hits for today:

- Vinnie Pasquantino (DK: -273 | FD: -290)
- Jhonny Pereda (DK: -143 | FD: -155)
- Ryan Ward (DK: -172 | FD: -195)
- Miguel Vargas (DK: -240 | FD: -260)
- Seiya Suzuki (DK: -314 | FD: -330)

[FastStat @faststat_io]

🟢 Green Light for today:

- Julian Champagnie (DK: -212 | FD: -215)
- OG Anunoby (DK: -188 | FD: -215)
- Victor Wembanyama (DK: -197 | FD: -184)
- Stephon Castle (DK: -108 | FD: +100)
- Josh Hart (DK: -110 | FD: -114)

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@BlazinHotBets Fair odds: +1513
Win probability: 6.2%

Zach Neto home runs only has a 19% hit rate but is playing in a hitter-friendly park (+13% for home runs).

Best leg is Hunter Goodman home runs with a 27% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/1SN4l3EQln

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@ParlayHawk Key takeaway: Stephon Castle has a 90% hit rate and has averaged 20.8 pts + reb over the last five games, but is playing against the 5th best points defense against Guards in the league.

Full confidence scores and matchup data ⬇️ https://t.co/f3HtE939N0

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@onlyparlays Best leg: De'Aaron Fox assists (83% likely to hit)
Worst leg: Dylan Harper rebounds (44% likely to hit)

See full analysis breakdown below 👇 https://t.co/roCWEkeeDb

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@CallingOurShot @Playbook Key takeaway: Stephon Castle has a 87% hit rate and has averaged 16.4 points over the last five games, but is playing against the 5th best points defense against Guards in the league.

Full confidence scores and matchup data ⬇️
https://t.co/Fs5FpOX4cM

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@Bigbetsbrand123 Fair odds: +3075
Win probability: 3.1%

Kyle Stowers home runs only has a 7% hit rate AND is playing in a pitcher-friendly park (-10% for home runs).

Best leg is Juan Soto home runs with a 23% hit rate.

See all confidence scores and analysis 👇

https://t.co/Yg7ePPvlPM

[FastStat @faststat_io]

@RioStaysTrue Key takeaway: Miles McBride has a 63% hit rate and has averaged 2.0 3-pointers made over the last five games, but is playing against the 4th best 3-pointer defense against Guards in the league.

Full confidence scores and matchup data ⬇️ https://t.co/NhjU1A4iAi