@andreas_krieg “Sovereignty”is apparently whichever Gulf capital you like this week. Abu Dhabi diversifies across four continents — that's 'closer to Israel.' Riyadh and Doha hedge — that's autonomy. The framework's doing the work, not the evidence
@andreas_krieg Of course. The region just collectively hallucinated decades of proxy warfare and ideological destabilization. Thankfully you’re here to explain it properly.
Macron's condemnation of the Iranian attack on the UAE and the deployment of the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier to the Red Sea reflect a European attempt to forge an independent role in maritime security. The Strait of Hormuz is transforming from an energy corridor into a test of Europe's ability to protect its interests without becoming entirely subservient to the American approach.
@Reuters Framing commercial continuity and energy market stability as “hungry to sell” says more about the framing than the facts #UAE_أمن_الطاقة#Uae#IranWar
@andreas_krieg “Several senior sources” + “solid evidence” + “I still find it hard to believe” all in one post is elite analytical discipline.
A conspiracy theory, anonymous sourcing, and plausible deniability wrapped into one thread — impressive.
@suwaidi_jamal صحيح، لكن التوطين الفعلي يبدأ بمواجهة حقائق مؤلمة: مواطنون يعيقون مواطنين، برامج تدريب لا نهائية فخ مصمم كسقف لا كسلّم، واشتراط خبرة ٢٠ سنة و فوق احيانا لكثير من الوظائف في دولة عمرها ٥٤. الخبرة تُستعار مؤقتاً والمواطن يُوظّف فعلياً — القدرات تُبنى بالممارسة لا بالانتظار
@GerardAraud Ambassador, that deal excluded ballistic missiles entirely, imposed zero limits on proxy funding, and had sunset clauses. UNSCR 2231 only "called upon" Iran on missiles—not binding. Every non-nuclear threat left untouched. Hundreds of hours on zilch #UAE#IranWar
@GeorgeDeGeorge@avavidan Disruptive now but also an accelerator. Alternatives are up and running and will only expand. The chokepoint they seek to control is their own chokehold. The fact of the matter is, the IRGC needs to go. Enough is enough.
@andreas_krieg Leave it to you to find some fancy theory to distract from the fact that the only actor who weaponised anything is Iran. When your neighbour assaults you Dr. Krieg, do you call the police or write a peer-reviewed paper about it? Common sense, not so common eh?