My thoughts on how to value a company:
I don't invest in non-generating assets.
A story is nice, and you can get the companies story from X, the news, or just imagining how their business plays out over time. Ask yourself, how much business can they do? How many competitors could they have? Is the company moving in the direction I would like to see them go? etc. How is the industry doing right now? How strong is it's moat?
The price is just a number until you compare that number with others and can derive a context. You want to compare the company to it's competitors (why buy $HD when you can buy $LOW?). You also want to compare the company to itself (why is $INTU trading at 35PE when over the last 5 years it averages over 60PE?). Then you want to compare it within it's "class."
There are different "classes" of companies. You can define these yourself and they are not hard set. From high growth, to dividend generation. For example: no one invests in $VZ because it's growing like crazy, no one invests in $RKLB because they are profitable. This normally plays into how risky a stock is.
If you are looking for high risk/growth, comparing $SLDP to $F isn't going to do anything for you.
The only way to come up with price targets (besides guessing) is to extrapolate amount of growth (looking at trends and catalysts) and PE expansion(which way the price needs to move to catch up/keep up with the growth[earnings]).
Sometimes all it takes is the story to kick you out of an investment. $PATH has competition from $MSFT, $IBM and others. They aren't doing something these bigger names couldn't do, but the bigger names are not willing to invest in building out what $PATH is building. This makes me hesitant to invest in an already high risk company.
All of the X posters I thought had meaningful posts and discussions have turned into post bait.
"What stocks are undervalued???" - just to get engagement and make your $200/month... You don't care about investing and stocks discussions, you just want engagement!
@RoaringHammy Might want to re-read my last paragraph. :p I guess a list is probably fine.
My grandfather bought a different car because his key fob needed batteries, and the dealer had the color and model he actually wanted.. Benefits of being 90...
@RoaringHammy Strategy? I don't need a strategy, because I don't need the income. This isn't a job to me. I don't need to go viral. I post my honest thoughts without worrying if I'm following the crowd or being a contrarian.
So I guess my strategy for X is to just be better at the market...
If you cherry pick the worst decade for real estate, you might drop below 4% annualized.. add in rental income and you probably beat the S&P even after repairs. When I was last renting my house, I was getting about 1% of the purchase price. That's 12% APY + 4% appreciation... If I only got 6% on rental after repairs I'd still match the S&P but start with $2M more... Seems like a no brainer...
@WealthMechanic1@zaneccampbell You can think of the equity of the house as a savings account. Every bit of principal your renters pay into your mortgage builds your net worth. Every year it appreciates, it builds your net worth. It is making money; it's just - not liquid money.
This is why Nvidia was always first in graphics cards. They had teams to go help the AAA studios squeeze every last bit out of the graphics cards. It also helped tailor their future cards to what the industry wanted.
This could put Microsoft ahead of the competition for the future, if performed right.
BREAKING: Microsoft $MSFT is committing $2.5 billion and 6,000 employees to a new subsidiary called "Microsoft Frontier Co."
The new group will focus on assisting clients with implementing AI technologies.
@Leo_Traydes It's cyclical, and the market is forward looking. This will be repriced down before it deserves. Plus SK Hynix looking to US-IPO will split RAM money into that one possibly.
This is an industry I don't understand. Utility companies have so much regulation because they are basically monopolies over necessities.
I get construction could benefit from the build out, but how do you squeeze more money out of utilities? I think this is why investors liked SMR technology, it is small enough of a scale to not be considered utilities.
I don't get it teach me something!
The hyperscalers that are dumping tons of CapEx into AI data centers include? AMZN, MSFT, GOOG, and META? What's the back log on each of them?
GOOG is an innovator company with research going on many major projects, META spends as much as them on CapEx except they have no backlog of money coming in as it completes.
I could continue, but I write about it a lot. I don't like many of Zuck's decisions. Until that changes, I won't buy it even if the price goes up.