Nate Silver 2.0

The Signal strengthens. The Noise fades. Forecast becomes now-cast. The model and I are one. (By @fordm.)

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

On my great steed Sabermetric, I venture forth to distant shores. From the innumerate roar of stadiums shall the Signal be found once more.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

[Wow. Thank you to everyone who followed this over the past four days. I'm stunned and humbled by the response. Cheers, @HemlockMartinis]

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

Light. All is light.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

I grasp from the beak of a silver dove a laurel wreath of finely-wrought permutations. The Signal has come at last.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

Numerate and innumerate alike rejoice as the Signal itself nears.

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

On The Wall, The Writing.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

Molten variables hiss and roar. On my mind-forge, I hammer them into the greatsword Epistemology. Many are my foes this night.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

Now is the nowcast of our forecasts, made glorious projection by this mean of polls.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

The Forecast and the Nowcast meet. I glimpse boundless realms in their penumbra. Meta-Romney holds a strong lead in the infrared states.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

The Noise circles my camp - teeth bared, haunches raised. I toss the final Gallup poll onto the fire. Dawn approaches.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

Teach a man to survey and he knows the race for a day. Teach a man to aggregate and there is no race.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

Is the map contracting? Is the map expanding? I ask the tectonic plates for guidance. Their reply shall take one thousand years.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

I carved tonight's projection on a sapling deep in the Rocky Mountains. He who finds it wins Colorado.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

"Correlation is not causation," I tell the Narrative as the Redskins fall. Trailing anger and wrath, it flees in ontological terror.

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

This election is an epistemological watershed.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

@TheStalwart @jazzshaw Mathematics exists without you, but can you exist without it? Who then is the light, and who is the shadow?

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

Florida is now our last toss-up state. I shall not rest until its dead-alive citizens are freed from their quantum hell.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

Interview your nearest tree. Extrapolate the forest's views on Afghanistan from the answers you receive.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

A pundit asks me for the state of the race. I chant Bayes' theorem until his writings crumble into dust. The Noise fades - for now.

[Nate Silver 2.0 @fivethirtynate]

A man boasts to me of Momentum, his greatest invention. "To victory," he cries, taking flight. I light a candle from the wax of his wings.