Flauneu

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@MatthewJBar How should we interpret matters if the insiders are completely wrong? They have access to the best information, after all.

FYI: I'm skeptical we will see ASI within a few years. But I don't see what people inside the labs see.

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@KirkegaardEmil Only fivethirtyeight tried to do any serious journalism. The rest were screeching hatemobs or clickbait. Good riddance.

And there's tons of good longform journalism on substack and other places today. The fact that many are not interested in that isn't a problem with the medium.

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@PeterBerezinBCA Most mathematicians who have commented on AI have noted that while it has an incredible range, it hasn't come up with novel ideas. It is mostly recombinating knowledge in different ways. Einstein's idea was truly novel. I don't think this matters in short term, but does in long.

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@KaiserBauch People don´t want it hear it, but Poles and Russians are (almost) the same people. Russia with democracy would be just as chaotic, if not more so.

I don't think anyone thrives in chaos. It's just a sign of a lower organisational capability.

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@KirkegaardEmil Bullies often being bullied themselves surprised me. In my school, it was mostly people who stood out who got targeted. Dressed differently, acted differently - not in a "cool" way.

Bullies were often hypernormies. Makes me think of bullying as a social enforcement mechanism?

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@KaiserBauch Well, let´s agree to disagree then. Thanks for the debate!

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@KaiserBauch This is for the EU. I think this is the cleanest measurement of productivity we have.

https://t.co/YLxEvYxb9N

Very hard to find something for the whole world. So we get to use inferior measurements like World Bank's Atlas method for 3rd world countries.

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@KaiserBauch ... a lot of that is simply on behalf of Western corporations. So a lot of value-add is accrued in other countries. Look at the primary income deficit for many of these CEE EU countries. They export, but the spoils go to others. So quality, not just quantity matters. /end.

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@KaiserBauch Addendum. Meant Atlas method. https://t.co/V3TxUvN9oW

[Flauneu @flauneun]

@KaiserBauch 6) Final point. For 3rd world countries, their large informal sectors makes use of wage data unreliable. Which is why World Bank's Atlas Index is a decent compromise. But PPP really is overrated. Probably only good for measuring extreme poverty.