FleiAnalytics

Analytics @UNC

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

Now introducing: Herbert Island. No other quarterback in the league is close to Justin Herbert in the pressure they have faced. Yet, Herbert just keeps on winning.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

@JustinMacmahan @brndxix Fwiw, Seahawks were +6000 before the season and Patriots were +8000. Though that is probably a once in a lifetime.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

@LombardIsKing_ Haha made another too
https://t.co/da65YDtirG

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

And here is the amount of innings the pitcher would pitch for each team.

Across all MLB teams in 2025, he averaged 164.5 innings pitched. That would rank 47th among all pitchers.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

Many people declaring a 1-run-per-inning pitcher would be extremely valuable for situations where team run differential > pitching innings remaining, so I decided to check how the pitcher would impact 2025 win totals.

The result? Not as impactful as I expected:

[LombardIsKing @LombardIsKing_]

Weird question. Realistically how valuable would a pitcher who only and ever gives up one run each inning he pitches would be? Like he gives up a homer to the first batter then 1-2-3 rest of the inning

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

@tangotiger @bret_hb Here's innings pitched!
https://t.co/da65YDtirG

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

And here is the amount of innings the pitcher would pitch for each team.

Across all MLB teams in 2025, he averaged 164.5 innings pitched. That would rank 47th among all pitchers.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

And here is the amount of innings the pitcher would pitch for each team.

Across all MLB teams in 2025, he averaged 164.5 innings pitched. That would rank 47th among all pitchers.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

Many people declaring a 1-run-per-inning pitcher would be extremely valuable for situations where team run differential > pitching innings remaining, so I decided to check how the pitcher would impact 2025 win totals.

The result? Not as impactful as I expected:

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

@tangotiger Yeah that was poor wording. Saying "only" from a perspective of: I expected more. But definitely makes the pitcher extremely valuable.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

@MearsMeerkat Oh it’s absolutely a big difference in a playoff race. More so saying: I personally expected this pitcher to add more wins on average. Still very valuable, even before considering the numerous other benefits.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

@LombardIsKing_ From a pure team score differential > innings remaining standpoint, this pitcher would only add 3.77 wins to MLB teams in 2025.

Though he would provide lots of other value in bullpen rest + getting out of a jam.
https://t.co/yofMktMuTn

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

Many people declaring a 1-run-per-inning pitcher would be extremely valuable for situations where team run differential > pitching innings remaining, so I decided to check how the pitcher would impact 2025 win totals.

The result? Not as impactful as I expected:

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

Of course, this doesn't take into account the numerous other ways this pitcher is valuable. Bases loaded? Put this pitcher in and you only give up one run.

Not to mention the value in games the teams won. Their other pitchers would be able to rest more and impact other losses.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

In total, 113 games were flipped.

But they usually weren’t locked up early. Across those 113 games, the average lock point came in the 8.32 inning.

Only 9 games were locked before the 6th inning, and the earliest lock came in the 3rd.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

@JonRothstein Massive loss 😔

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

Examining the efficiency of each UNC players' shots. Henri Veesaar has been such a fantastic addition through the portal. Derek Dixon will be fantastic if he improves attacking the basket and in the mid-range. Zayden High 📉📉

(Minimum 20 shot attempts this season)

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

Examining the efficiency of each UNC players' shots. Henri Veesaar has been such a fantastic addition through the portal. Derek Dixon will be fantastic if he improves attacking the basket and in the mid-range. Zayden High 📉📉

(Minimum 20 shot attempts this season)

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

@RossMartinNC Hubert Davis has usually been pretty good after a rivalry game, but Roy Williams was even better.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

After UNC's loss to Miami last night, I wanted to see how UNC and Duke perform in the games before and after their matchup.

Duke has done worse than expectations in all situations. Roy Williams was fantastic after the rivalry game.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

@PointPasserPod Seeing the same thing - UNC hasn’t been at their best after a win vs Duke in the Hubert Davis era.

Also, this below doesn’t include last night yet and does include the 2022 championship game vs Kansas.

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

And how they do after a win vs after a loss:

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

And how they do after a win vs after a loss:

[FleiAnalytics @fleiAnalytics]

After UNC's loss to Miami last night, I wanted to see how UNC and Duke perform in the games before and after their matchup.

Duke has done worse than expectations in all situations. Roy Williams was fantastic after the rivalry game.