🔬Taco Inspection🌮
Paul Skenes projection tonight vs. San Diego: ~5.7 strikeouts.
I’d set it as:
Median: 6 Ks
Likely range: 4–7 Ks
Projected workload: about 5 innings / 20–22 batters faced
MORE 3.5: 🟢 Strong
MORE 5.5: 🟡 playable but much tighter
MORE 6.5: 🔴 I’d lean Under
The reason the projection isn’t 7+ despite his elite 29.8% K rate / 11.1 K/9 is the recent shortened leash plus a Padres lineup with only about a 21.8% K rate. A workload-based model centers him around 5.6–6.1 Ks, and another current projection has six as the median.
So for that 3.5 line, we have roughly a +2.2 K projection cushion.
DAWG KID YALL NOT NEVER SEEN HER PLAY THIS LAZY AND WITHOUT ANY PASSION BEFORE! SHE LITERALLY DIDN’T ATTACK THE GLASS ON SHOT ATTEMPTS NOR GO FOR A STOCK IDK WHATS UP WITH HER TONIGHT BUT SHE CAUSED US COIN 🤦🏾♂️