For-Exx KriptoEn

Technical and Fundamental Analysis of Cryptocurrencies,Stocks and Financial Instruments
Social Media: @ForExxKripto

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

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[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

🔴 CRYPTO LIQUIDATION REPORT — June 18, 2026

Total: $602.16M — 141,988 traders force-closed Largest single liquidation: $7.40M ETHUSDT on Binance
Coin breakdown: bitcoin:native $196.18M | ethereum:native $147.30M | SPCX $19.81M | hyperliquid:native $17.68M | Others $49.69M

Direction: Long/short ratio 86/14 — Longs $516.52M / Shorts $85.65M

Exchange breakdown:Binance $112.47M (92% long) | Hyperliquid $51.68M | Bybit $35.05M | Bitget $19.27M | Gate $18.65M | OKX $16.20M

BTC price: $62,655 — holding below $63,000

Trigger: Israeli strikes in Lebanon escalated geopolitical tensions; risk-off pressure persisted despite the US-Iran deal.

vs. Yesterday: Liquidations nearly doubled from $337.70M (FOMC-driven) to $602.16M today.

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS

ethereum:0x6985884c4392d348587b19cb9eaaf157f13271cd /LayerZero (Jun 20) — ~$23M, ~4.8% of circulating supply. Partners, contributors, buyback reserves. 🟡 MEDIUM

SPACE ID (Jun 22) — ~$12M, ~16.9% of circulating supply. Ecosystem distribution. 🔴 HIGH — large supply ratio on small market cap; sharp intraday impact possible.

🔭 OUTLOOK Warsh's message: not a rate-cutting Fed, a rate-delaying Fed. Near-term: bitcoin:native under pressure, dollar supported. Tomorrow's Iran ceremony could provide relief — but the hawkish tone remains the dominant headwind. ZRO and base:0x98d0baa52b2d063e780de12f615f963fe8537553 unlocks on June 20 add friction.

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

🔐 CRYPTO REPORT — June 18, 2026

🌐 MARKET OVERVIEW
Despite holding rates steady, Warsh's hawkish tone pushed #Bitcoin below $64,000. Markets are pricing the message, not the decision. Direction remains uncertain.

₿ BITCOIN
Fed members raised their 2026 year-end median rate projection from 3.4% to 3.8%; core inflation now seen reaching 2% only by 2028. Rate cuts pushed further out. $64,000 is the key threshold — sustained breakdown deepens pressure.

🔷 ETH & ALTCOINS
ethereum:native holds on Glamsterdam upgrade expectations but remains under macro pressure. UNI extends yesterday's momentum from Standard Chartered's 2030 price target — a significant institutional DeFi signal.

📋 KEY HEADLINES
Warsh cut the Fed statement from ~350 to ~130 words, removed "additional policy adjustments" language, and ruled out forward guidance. Announced five working groups: communication, balance sheet, data dependence, employment-inflation framework, efficiency. On rate hike questions: "Not raised by any of the 19."

Fed's 2027 year-end rate projection moved from 3.1% to 3.6% — tighter for longer.
Binance added 7,000+ US stocks and ETFs — major crypto-TradFi integration step.

Iran peace signing tomorrow in Switzerland — de-escalation could trim macro risk premium.

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

$LUNC is still managing to hold above the support line, despite yesterday's market turmoil, there doesn't seem to be any problem charting...
It needs to test the 8200-8400 level above...
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

Today is Fed Day, Chairman Warsh takes the helm. Our comments on bitcoin:native , ripple:native , terra-luna:native , Luna 2.0 and USTC are also in the video.

English dubbing option is available

https://t.co/xG3lpuXLSR

[For-Exx Kripto @ForExxKripto]

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[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

terra-luna:native made its upward reaction as we predicted, but it remained somewhat weak. The anticipation of the #Fed decision may have shortened the magnitude of the reaction, I'm not sure, but there's nothing deteriorating or changing on the chart; it's still in a positive state.
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

terra-luna:native has received support from the mini trendline 4 times, buyers are not letting it go down for now, I expect it to consolidate a little more and then the move will start, if the trend breaks, the possibility of 6400 emerges, but there is no reason to think negatively right now. @ForExxKripto
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

Warsh's First FOMC Meeting | June 17, 2026

Current Situation

The Fed has held rates at 3.50%–3.75% for three consecutive meetings. May 2026 CPI came in at 4.2% YoY, well above target, while unemployment remains near 4.3%. However, core CPI rose only 0.2% MoM, below expectations, suggesting most inflation pressure is tied to Gulf-related energy shocks.

Scenario Analysis

SCENARIO 1 — Rates Unchanged + Hawkish Tone (~85%)**

Base case. Warsh avoids signaling easing, while the dot plot may push back the timing of future cuts.

🟡 BTC/Crypto → Neutral to mildly bearish, leverage flushed out

🔴 Stocks → Slight decline, "higher for longer" pressure
🔴 #Oil → Downward bias from a stronger dollar
🔴 #Gold → Weakness as real yields stay elevated
🟢 DXY → Higher
SCENARIO 2 — Rates Unchanged + Dovish Surprise (~10%)**

If Warsh opens the door to a September cut, risk assets could rally.

🟢 BTC/Crypto → Strong upside, altcoins outperform
🟢 Stocks → Broad rally led by growth names
🟢 Oil → Higher on weaker dollar and stronger risk appetite
🟢 Gold → Sharp gains as real yields fall
🔴 DXY → Lower
SCENARIO 3 — Surprise Hike / Extremely Hawkish (~5%)**

Low probability but potentially the most disruptive outcome.

🔴 bitcoin:native /Crypto → Sharp selloff, liquidation risk
🔴 Stocks → Significant decline, led by tech
🔴 Oil → Lower on demand concerns
🟡 Gold → Initial drop, then recovery
🟢 DXY → Strong rally

⚠️ The key focus is not the rate decision itself, but the dot plot and Warsh's tone during the press conference.

Decision: ~21:00 (UTC+3)

Press Conference: ~21:30 (UTC+3)
@ForExxKripto

[For-Exx Kripto @ForExxKripto]

https://t.co/KHwywiRm5c

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

📋 KEY DEVELOPMENTS

🔹 Iran's peace agreement was signed yesterday, while the formal treaty is expected this week. A permanent reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could keep pressure on oil prices and support risk assets, including bitcoin:native

🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS

ethereum:0x66a5cfb2e9c529f14fe6364ad1075df3a649c0a5 (ZKsync) — June 17
• 770M ZK (~$39.4M), equal to 3.67% of circulating supply
• 397.2M to investors, 372.8M to team members
• Selling Pressure: 🔴 High
The unlock exceeds 20% of market cap and coincides with the FOMC decision, creating potential double pressure.

ethereum:0x4d224452801aced8b2f0aebe155379bb5d594381 (ApeCoin) — June 17
• 15.38M APE (~$10.5M), 1.54% of circulating supply
• Selling Pressure: 🟡 Medium

🔭 OUTLOOK

Two major catalysts dominate this week: the expected Iran peace treaty and Warsh's FOMC press conference. If both developments are positive, Bitcoin above $70,000 could quickly become a market discussion again. The large ZK unlock remains the main short-term risk to watch.

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

🔐 CRYPTO REPORT — June 16, 2026

🌐 MARKET OVERVIEW

#Bitcoin briefly reached $ 67,000 before consolidating near $65,700. The Fear & Greed Index improved from 20 to 23. SpaceX gained another 20% on its second trading day, marking back-to-back strong sessions.

₿ BITCOIN

The FOMC meeting began today. The rate decision is due June 17–18, with Fed Chair Warsh's press conference scheduled for June 18. If the Iran peace process continues to pressure oil prices, it could give Warsh room for a more dovish tone. These two catalysts remain the market's primary focus.

Meanwhile, the CFTC is considering blocking CME's proposed 24/7 crude oil contract, which would integrate crypto-style trading hours into traditional commodity markets, highlighting regulatory concerns over market convergence.

🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS

#Ethereum is leading the recovery among major cryptocurrencies this week.

Congress is also preparing a crypto theft task force following the DOJ's decision to dissolve its dedicated crypto enforcement unit.

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

ripple:native tested 1.29 yesterday and was then pushed back down to 1.21, but I think it will re-enter the 1.28-1.52 range it has been fluctuating in for the past 4 months...
#ripple
@ForExxKripto

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

terra-luna:native has received support from the mini trendline 4 times, buyers are not letting it go down for now, I expect it to consolidate a little more and then the move will start, if the trend breaks, the possibility of 6400 emerges, but there is no reason to think negatively right now. @ForExxKripto
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

🔐 CRYPTO REPORT — June 15, 2026

🌐 MARKET OVERVIEW

The U.S. and Iran signed a ceasefire agreement, with a formal peace deal expected this week. Stocks, gold, oil, and crypto rallied together. Bitcoin opened at its highest level since early June, trading near $66,600, while Ethereum gained 2.6%.

₿ BITCOIN

A permanent peace deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could support further upside for crypto.

Last week, Bitcoin dropped from $73,000 to below $60,000 before recovering to around $63,500. Saylor's sale of 32 BTC briefly pressured sentiment but was negligible compared to his 845,000 BTC holdings. Progress in Iran talks and SpaceX's IPO helped fuel the rebound.

RSI stands at 36.34, indicating neutral momentum. Key support levels are $64,385, $63,001, and $62,309.

🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS

Ethereum's market cap has recovered to $233 billion, still far below Bitcoin's $ 1.33 trillion. SpaceX's MSCI inclusion is also supporting activity in Hyperliquid's SPCX synthetic market.

📋 KEY DEVELOPMENTS

🔹 Polymarket's "Bitcoin price in 2026" market has generated $ 42.8 million in volume, with bullish expectations rising after the ceasefire announcement.

🔹 The June 16–17 FOMC meeting will be Warsh's first as Fed Chair. Lower energy pressure could give the Fed more room for a dovish stance.

🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS

vana:native — June 16
• 5.19M VANA (~$35.3M)
• 4.33% of supply
• Selling Pressure: Medium

ethereum:0x66a5cfb2e9c529f14fe6364ad1075df3a649c0a5 — June 17
• 770M ZK (~$41.6M)
• 3.67% of max supply
• Investor + team allocation
• Selling Pressure: High
🔭 OUTLOOK

The Iran peace process and FOMC meeting are the week's key catalysts. A formal agreement combined with a dovish Fed tone could push Bitcoin back toward the $70,000 discussion. The large ZK unlock remains a short-term risk.

bitcoin:native

[For-Exx Kripto @ForExxKripto]

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(Manuel kod: HAZIRAN50)

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

$LUNC appears to be preparing for an upward move that could extend to the 8400 level; every minute it stays above 7200 increases the probability of reaching 8400. @ForExxKripto
#lunc

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

Could the Peace Agreement Trigger a Rally in Cryptocurrencies, Especially Bitcoin? Analysis of terra-luna:native , bitcoin:native , ripple:native , USTC, and Luna 2.0 is in the video.

English dubbing option is available

https://t.co/VCud0UavII

[For-Exx KriptoEn @ForexxKriptoEn]

June 15–20, 2026 | Weekly Risk Calendar

🎯 Main Theme

Markets have been waiting for this week. Warsh is holding his first Fed meeting as Chair after May CPI jumped to 4.2% and May NFP reached 172K, nearly double expectations. Rates are expected to remain unchanged, but markets are focused on the dot plot and how far Warsh will push his strategy of uncertainty. The BoJ and BoE will also announce decisions, putting three major central banks into the same 48-hour window.

📅 Economic Calendar (UTC+3)

Wednesday – June 17

🇯🇵 05:00–06:00 — BoJ Rate Decision

No change is expected after rates were left at 0.75% in May. The Hormuz energy shock has increased Japan's import costs and pressured the yen. Ueda's comments could influence global risk sentiment through JPY and carry-trade positioning.

🇺🇸 21:00 — FOMC Rate Decision + SEP + Dot Plot

🇺🇸 21:30 — Fed Chair Warsh Press Conference
The week's key event.

→ How many hikes does the 2026 dot plot signal?

→ Will inflation forecasts rise while growth forecasts fall?
→ How different will Warsh's communication style be from Powell's?
Thursday – June 18

🇬🇧 14:00 — BoE Rate Decision + MPC Minutes

No rate change is expected. The vote split and tone of the minutes could shape July expectations. GBP moves may have indirect effects on crypto markets.

⚡ Crypto & Market Risks

• Warsh (21:30): If the dot plot signals two hikes, the dollar and Treasury yields could rise, increasing pressure on crypto. If guidance remains vague, sharp two-way volatility is possible.

• BoJ: A hawkish surprise during low-liquidity hours could strengthen the yen, disrupt carry trades, and trigger downside wicks in BTC and ETH.

• FOMC + BoE: Similar messages may reinforce moves in the dollar and risk assets. Conflicting guidance could create a difficult, highly volatile trading environment.

bitcoin:native ripple:native

[For-Exx Kripto @ForExxKripto]

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