Fossum

Crypto markets through data and reasoning | Not a maxi | Not emotional | Focused on cycles and opportunities

[Fossum @fossumer]

Markets don’t punish fear, they punish denial.

Recognizing a bear phase early means you are positioned and not panicking.

Cash is the most underrated asset when liquidity leaves.

$BTC $ETH $USDT $USDC

[Fossum @fossumer]

@BrandonBBMe The real cost wasn’t the drawdown.

It was the opportunity cost of sitting through entire full bull cycle waiting for salvation from RH.

#PulseChain $PLS

[Fossum @fossumer]

If you recognized that Bitcoin had entered a bear market, you should already be positioned accordingly and not stressing out.

Fear tends to show up only after the signs were ignored.

$BTC $ETH $SOL $XRP $BNB $DOGE

[Fossum @fossumer]

You can cope and hope for $250k $BTC or $30k $ETH, but let’s be real - we’re in a bear market.

You’ll get those 20% relief rallies, but only after 40% dumps.

That’s how downtrends work.

Until $BTC finds its bottom, the market won’t flip.

Accept the phase, not the fantasy.

[Fossum @fossumer]

@MattBBad @cihatozturk_en None of the ratios matter when liquidity dries up and we are in a bear market.

Price finds liquidity, not fairness.

[Fossum @fossumer]

Interesting chart.

Now do Silver vs #PulseChain - same timeframe.

$PLS #RichardHeart

[Fossum @fossumer]

@GwaadaBiznis @TheReaLTBird26 Satoshi disappeared before taking a dollar and before launching multiple tokens.

Disappearing after raising billions isn’t decentralization - it’s dodging accountability.

[Fossum @fossumer]

@TheReaLTBird26 He didn’t disappear before the launch.
He disappeared after the sacrifice.

$PLS $HEX $PLSX

[Fossum @fossumer]

@yourfriendSOMMI Rallies failing isn’t contrarian.
It’s how bear markets establish themselves and $BTC been in a bear market for over few months already.

[Fossum @fossumer]

@RchardHeartLose @RichardHeartWin @hexscout Persistence isn’t a flex when the outcome is -99%.

$HEX

[Fossum @fossumer]

@Hexologist31 If nuking value and calling it “delayed gratification” counts as helping, then sure.

$HEX $PLS $PLSX

[Fossum @fossumer]

@DeFiTriggs @Pulsex_Farm Same founder. Same playbook. Same results.

[Fossum @fossumer]

@StyloIRL Cheaper gas on a chain nobody uses is like free parking at an empty shopping mall.

#PulseChain $PLS

[Fossum @fossumer]

@CVREToken This isn’t about being scared or brave.
It’s about recognizing phases.

Markets don’t turn on conviction speeches.
They turn on liquidity, market structure, and time.

$BTC

[Fossum @fossumer]

How Fed monetary policy and #Bitcoin halvings actually work together - and why they create the 4 year $BTC cycle.

1/13

[Fossum @fossumer]

@yourfriendSOMMI Bear markets don’t wait for consensus.
They begin when liquidity turns - not when Twitter agrees.

$BTC

[Fossum @fossumer]

How Fed monetary policy and #Bitcoin halvings actually work together - and why they create the 4 year $BTC cycle.

1/13

[Fossum @fossumer]

@RchardHeartLose This time isn’t different.

The top is in and $BTC is in a bear market.

It’s hard for many to accept, but cycles don’t care about feelings.

[Fossum @fossumer]

How Fed monetary policy and #Bitcoin halvings actually work together - and why they create the 4 year $BTC cycle.

1/13

[Fossum @fossumer]

@elliotrades The printer doesn’t flip on like a light switch.
Early cuts usually mean something already broke, not that liquidity is flooding back.

Printing shows up months later - markets don’t pump on press conferences, they pump on actual liquidity.

[Fossum @fossumer]

How Fed monetary policy and #Bitcoin halvings actually work together - and why they create the 4 year $BTC cycle.

1/13

[Fossum @fossumer]

@GoingParabolic Cars aren’t free. Taxes are optional if you’re structured. Interest isn’t.

[Fossum @fossumer]

It means Bitcoin succeeded despite its whales - not because of them.

The difference is $BTC didn’t have one founder controlling the narrative, the supply, and the exits.

#PulseChain $PLS $PLSX $HEX $ProveX

[Fossum @fossumer]

So yes - #Bitcoin has a 4-year cycle.

Not because of magic.
But because Bitcoin’s coded supply tightening aligns with the lagged effects of global monetary policy.

Halving sets the supply.
Liquidity sets the demand.
Together they create the cycle.

13/13

[Fossum @fossumer]

How Fed monetary policy and #Bitcoin halvings actually work together - and why they create the 4 year $BTC cycle.

1/13

[Fossum @fossumer]

Which perfectly aligns with Bitcoin’s historical bottom window:
~10-15 months after the cycle top.

If October 2025 was the peak, a bottom in fall 2026 fits the pattern exactly.

12/13