Founder

CEO by CryptoNick and AmberWhale

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

$BAS isn't done

My LONG is still running — already +30% since my last call and momentum is building.

Key on-chain data:
33 wallets control 43% of circulating supply — and none of them have started unloading.

Open interest keeps climbing.

First target: $0.0375

This move has room to run 🎯

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

💀 HOW MUCH DID I LOSE ON THE BACKPACK REKT?

I’ve seen a flood of hate toward Backpack in the last 24h.

And honestly?
I get why people are mad…
But I’m NOT one of them. Why?

Let’s break it down.

Backpack launched at around $250M FDV —
far below the $1B expectations people were dreaming about just a month ago.

Do I agree with the crowd?
Yes. The launch was underwhelming.
But here’s the real issue:

“Your expectations — your problem.”

🤔 So why is everyone crying?

Same old story.
People farmed it chasing a life-changing payout…
and ended up disappointed.

But that’s not how I play this game.

I’ve said it before:
Trade to trade. Not to gamble on a miracle drop.

If you look at this drop as a reward for actual activity — it’s not bad at all.

I got 15K $BP, sold at $0.24.
If I was farming just for the drop — yeah, it’s nothing special.
But I didn’t waste capital spinning empty volume.

I basically cashed back all the fees I paid on the platform.

That’s a win.
Stop living in delusion.
No one owes you free money.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

POLYMARKET IS 94% ACCURATE. YOUR FAVORITE ANALYST? NOT EVEN CLOSE

Every major bank, every macro guru — they get it wrong more than they get it right. Polymarket doesn't. Numbers don't lie.

And yet — 99.49% of wallets never made more than $1,000 here. Because they come with opinions. Not probabilities.

$529M flowed into the "US strikes Iran" market. $60-70M/day on 5-minute BTC bets. One engineer ran 3 AI agents against the market —
doubled his stack in 2 months. The inefficiencies are real.

How I use it:
— Watch price movement, not the price itself
— Find divergence between media and market
— Sharp spike in 30 min = someone knows something
— High liquidity = signal. Low liquidity = noise

8 seconds after Powell said "We will adjust policy" — the Fed rate cut contract jumped from $0.65 to $0.78. Market makers were listening
live. If you're not monitoring Polymarket — you're late. That's it.

$7B+ monthly volume. This isn't the future. It's the present.

Go check what the market thinks right now: https://t.co/GOWaZ29YU4

Are you using this or sleeping on it? 👀

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

IS THE RALLY OVER? DON’T TRUST THE NEXT MOVE

On yesterday’s stream I said it clearly:
any impulse from here — up or down — is likely a fake move.
The real play, in my view, is still toward the lower boundary.

For now a simple setup:
Short around $72K, with a strict stop above the local high.

For me the key liquidity target below remains $62K
(short-term level: $68,800).

🤔What about alts?

Right now only low-cap hype coins are moving properly —
stuff like $TNSR and similar names.
Those can sometimes be lightly shorted on impulsive pumps.

Everything else?
Not touching it.

And honestly — neither should you.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

⚡️ ALTS ABOUT TO EXPLODE — OR IS THIS JUST BAIT?

As promised, quick breakdown of key news + ETH + alts.

First — macro.

• Iran has fully blocked the Strait of Hormuz. That directly hits Europe, China, South Korea and other Eastern economies heavily dependent on oil flows.
• Gas supply pressure in Europe is building — same root cause.
• The Iran vs US/Israel conflict isn’t ending anytime soon. That’s reality.

Everything else is noise.

What actually matters now?
Watch March inflation data in Europe — fuel prices have already doubled in some areas.

And $BTC?
Like I said a month ago — it barely reacted to the military escalation.
Why? Because it was already priced in.
Too much talk. Too much anticipation.

🤔 Now $ETH and alts.
ETH has a key liquidity cluster at $2,150–$2,200.
Below, same story as BTC — equal lows at $1,800–$1,835.
Looks sweepable… but not mandatory right now.

Alts can send hard again.
BUT — not all of them.
They move in packs. Always.

Honestly, I haven’t traded alts much this past week.
Scanned them again today — nothing impressive.
Maybe $OP stands out for a potential 20–40% upside move.

Everything else looks structurally the same.
Selective. Patient. No forced trades.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

SPRING RALLY? NO — JUST ANOTHER CROWD LIQUIDATION

Textbook move. Nothing else.

I’ve been holding my $BTC long since February 6th, with a strict stop from day one.
Today I closed most of the position at $73,500 — locking in a 132% move on 10x leverage.

Stop moved above entry to $67,400 — just in case price keeps running.
Do I believe in continuation? Not really.

Either way, I captured the full expansion.
Once again proving that discipline > prediction.

And honestly?
Perfect time for some of you to clean up your follow list.
The fairy-tale “gurus” got wrecked. Again.

Why don’t I believe in further rally?
There’s no real fuel here.
This bounce was necessary — I even wrote about it in the last post.
It was built to punish overcrowded shorts and flush weak hands.

As much as I’d love to see $78K–$80K right now…
I don’t buy it.

$ETH, by the way, tagged perfectly into the $2,150–$2,200 zone I mentioned yesterday.
Now?

I’m expecting a slow, boring market with selective alt spikes.

That’s where attention should be.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

⚠️ THE MARKET IS COILING — AND MOST PEOPLE ARE LOSING THEIR MINDS

We’re going nowhere.
I planned to record a market breakdown today — but there’s barely anything to say.
Waiting for the stock market open to see what narrative gets pushed next.

Meanwhile, most “experts” and influencers look completely lost.
Why? Because they keep trying to predict every move…
And price just refuses to move.

❓ Anyway — let’s talk facts.
On BTC, we now have a clean equal low cluster at $62,400–$62,900.
Do we have to sweep it right now? No.
But that zone is now key and must stay on the radar.
Above us? It’s loaded:

• Equal highs
• Short stops
• Imbalances
• Gaps
• Multiple confluences

The more liquidity builds there, the more violent the eventual move.
And let’s not ignore sentiment.
Fear is finally here.
Everywhere I look, people are screaming about $50K BTC.
Some are burying crypto entirely.

That’s exactly what I was waiting for.

Next post — I’ll break down the news backdrop and talk ETH & alts.

And understand this:
A global reversal is never a single candle.
It’s new lows → accumulation → new lows → accumulation…
Only then comes the real uptrend.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

EVERYONE IS SHORTING BTC — THAT’S EXACTLY WHY IT RIPS NEXT

Market bounced exactly from the $62K zone I’ve been hammering for weeks.
Perfect tag. Clean reaction.
My stops survived.
And if we revisit them again — that’s confirmation of a real breakdown toward sub-$60K and new lows.

But here’s the bigger picture.
This is playing out exactly as I outlined on Monday:
First — liquidity sweep below.
Then — expansion upward.

👊 Now let’s talk numbers.

For me, $70K–$72K remains the key liquidity magnet.
That’s where size is sitting.
Add upcoming $75K BTC options expiry — and you have another tailwind for a local squeeze.

$ETH? Same structure.
Alts? Following the script.
What did I do?

On the dip:
• Moved my $ETH entry to $1,930
• Adjusted $SOL entry to $82
• Trimmed the averaged size at $87 — locking first profit from what looked like a dead trade 😮

Stops:
• $ETH & $SOL → moved to breakeven
• $BTC → still at $62K
Now I don’t even need to watch the screen.

And here’s the real takeaway:

Look around.
Everyone is shorting.
Everyone is burying BTC.

Do you really think the crowd gets paid?

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

⚡ STOP ASKING WHAT TO TRADE — THE MARKET IS LITERALLY GIVING IT AWAY

Since my last stream, there were multiple clean setups across the board.

Take $JTO — played out exactly as mapped.
It gave TWO clean short entries.
I took both.
Same story with $BERA — slow bleed, steady downside execution.
😈 The point?

Scan for impulses on 1H / 4H,
spot bearish divergence,
watch for weak volume,
and short into exhaustion.

The market is paying — especially while BTC is ranging.

(Screens had the examples ☝️)
Now about $AZTEC.
While everyone was aggressively shorting it — despite insane funding —
I did the opposite.
Just before writing this post, I opened a long at $0.2491.

Simple thesis:
Farm the funding.
Catch a squeeze against the crowd.

✔️ Trade closed.
+28% raw move

heavy funding collected from shorts.

Think against the herd.
Don’t trade emotions.
And stop trying to catch falling knives.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

🧊 99% WINRATE ON POLY USING THE OLYMPICS PLAYBOOK

Winter Games are on — and that means edge on Polymarket.

I don’t just trade markets and crypto —
I used to be a damn good hockey player too.
Tonight’s Olympic 1/8 finals have clear favorites who should steamroll.

https://t.co/u4JqtV86Av

Here’s the slate I backed:

🇨🇭 Switzerland vs Italy — Swiss win clean
🇩🇪 Germany vs France — Germans are way stronger, led by big stars like Draisaitl & Stützle
🇸🇪 Sweden vs Latvia — Swedes will absolutely crush Latvia

Only game I skipped:
🇨🇿 Czechia vs Denmark — Danes have real upset potential and odds are too tight.

I’ve taken the first three favorites, and I’m watching them resolve toward the chalk.

When do opportunities like this show up again? 👀

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

📉 WHAT’S NEXT FOR THE MARKET? SAME GAME, SAME TRAPS

Nothing really changed for BTC.
We finally tapped $86,100 — the exact level I called in the previous post as a reaction zone.

• Upside: nothing new. $91,700 is still a clean area to continue the sell-off.
We could do it via $90k, but $91.7k looks way better to me.
• I’m still skeptical about $94k — but the scenario must be respected.
Key upside reversal/liquidity zones remain $91,700 & $93,500.
• Downside: key level at $83,300, then a sweep of the $80k low.

ETH moved perfectly into $2,784, reinforcing the lower liquidity block at $2,782–$2,721 — that zone is getting taken, no doubt.
On the upside, I’m interested in fresh shorts from $3,166.

As for alts — closely watching $PYTH and $JUP for short setups, only after confirmation.
Solana coins are popping right now — worth keeping an eye on.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

90% WINRATE ON POLYMARKET

I’m pulling ~90% winrate on Polymarket right now.

I closely track the Top-3 money-printing bots.
Yeah, I hate bots too — but if the system allows it, you either adapt or get farmed.

Below are 3 Polymarket traders abusing this strategy better than anyone else:

> https://t.co/sHWVvlFw1p
> https://t.co/TT5wAP3MS7
> https://t.co/XooinHSRZL

These bots monitor Binance in real time and wait for impulse confirmation.
Risk? Almost none.

They’re making ~$15,000 per day by exploiting a clear system loophole.

You should learn how to do the same — while it still works.

Do you think this needs to be fixed?

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

MARKET ON SURVEILLANCE — LIQUIDITY IS THE TARGET

So, how do you like this market?
Yeah… same here.

I already said it on my last stream that after a local push up, we could get stuck for a while.
Main reason? Equal liquidity sitting both above and below on lower timeframes.

The market clearly wants to tag $91,700, and if bulls get lucky, even $93,500 is possible — but that’s only for believers.
Mid-term view stays unchanged.

The main liquidity pool is still below, packed with multiple blocks pulling price down:

• $86,100
• $83,300
• And especially the local low around $80K

My current tactic is patience.
Right now, I’m only holding my ETH short from $3,361 — everything else has already been played.

That means I’ll only re-enter locally from the zones mentioned above:
$91,700 and $93,500

What about ETH and alts?
I keep repeating this — and won’t stop:
BTC runs the market. Always.

First I watch BTC, then everything else.
If BTC hits $91,700, I overlay alt charts.
If an alt is also in a reversal zone — I look for shorts.

Example:
BTC at $93,500, while $SOL hits $137 →
I open a local short with a hard stop near $143.5.
Just an example — logic should be clear.

The key here is stacking confirmations.
For me, the market remains short-biased.

And remember:
If the market didn’t give you the entry the first time —
the second one might be a trap.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

OLD COINS ARE WAKING UP — AND MOST PEOPLE WILL MISS IT

Everyone is chasing new narratives, while forgotten dinos are quietly moving.
Metaverse & gaming OGs like $AXS, $SAND, $MANA, $IMX are printing +30–40%.
Not moonshots yet — but momentum is real.я

Let me be clear 👇

This isn’t a call to ape blindly.
It’s a signal to watch old gaming & metaverse coins that everyone buried years ago.

Names worth tracking:
$GALA, $ILV — and plenty more sleeping ones.

📉 As for me — I’m positioned short $BERA from 0.9147.
Clean entry, stop can sit above the high or even at BE. Very comfortable trade.

Also closely watching $OP
A local push to $0.52–$0.60 looks likely — it’s clearly stronger than most L2s right now.

Markets rotate.
The crowd reacts late.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

LIFE-CHANGING MONEY ON POLYMARKET

One wallet just made $6,000,000 in 6 months on Polymarket.

Over 1,400 bets placed.
That’s roughly $4K profit per bet on average.

Crazy detail?
The wallet tag is “kch” — Krasnodar, and 123 is literally Krasnodar’s license plate code.

Respect the grind. 👏

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

🔥 Weekend volatility incoming? This is where traders get punished.

BTC bounced from $94,600, but don’t relax yet.
If we hold here, a push toward $98.5k–$102.3k is on the table — my main short zone.
Until we break $90k or tag $99k, I’m doing nothing.
Weekends need chaos to move. 👇

BTC reacted cleanly from the nearest support at $94,600.
If we don’t lose this level soon, I expect my $98,544 limit to get filled — we almost tapped it already.
From there, price could extend as high as $102,350, which is the primary short zone I mentioned earlier.
For now, I’m taking no action.
I’m waiting for either $90k or $99k — nothing in between.

Weekends usually stay dead unless something wild hits the headlines.
A sudden US operation or any major geopolitical news — that’s the only real catalyst right now.

📈 As for my trades:

Anyone who was on yesterday’s stream knows I was holding shorts on $DASH and $ETH.

$DASH gave the expected push toward $92, which I mentioned as the final possible move.
I averaged in at $92 and again at $96, moved my average to $89, and closed the trade around $87 with a small profit.
For now, I’m leaving $DASH alone — I expected a much sharper move.

My $ETH position is opened against USDC, and funding alone paid me +$214 in the last 24 hours — about +24% with leverage.
I’m not closing it yet.
Even if price moves higher, I’ll consider adding around $3,500 — I’ve got plenty of size to work with.

Bonus trade:
I finally caught a $RIVER short today.

Missed the move yesterday, but today I got in at $34, funding was –2%, and closed at $28.

That’s +132% with leverage in just a couple of hours.
Solid trading day overall.
I’ll break these trades down on the next stream.

For now, the only open position I have is ETH — and it’s sitting in green P&L.

Final reminder:
Don’t oversize your trades.
Lower risk = clearer decisions.

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

🤡 “Just buy & hold.”
That advice wiped out millions.

Since 2021, nearly 12 MILLION tokens vanished, scams exploded 4,000x, and most alts are sitting at –99% forever.

HODL wasn’t a strategy.
It was a trap.

And let’s be honest:
most of those coins will never come back.

Only a handful — like SOL or HYPE — actually trended higher and made real money after listing.

Buy & hold wasn’t a strategy

[Founder @founde_er]

@amber_whales @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade thx bro

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

📉 The market is primed for an impulse.

Looking at BTC, it honestly feels like it has zero real strength left.
Yes, we got a reaction from the block I mentioned yesterday — both in the post and the video around $89–90k.
But that move likely marks the local ceiling.

There’s a lot of unfinished business below,
and only one obvious zone left above — $97k.

Everyone is waiting for it.
That’s exactly why it won’t be given easily.

📉 I’m very short-biased right now.
I’m not building longs and don’t plan to.

We might see one more small push up —
and that’s where I’ll be looking to add short-term shorts.
As I said yesterday:
if we lose $89k, a move to $85,500 is very realistic.

Key levels I’m watching:
• BTC: $92,300 – $93,200 → looking for new short entries
• ETH: $3,200 – $3,230 → another short zone
If you’re holding a mid-term ETH short from $3,300:
move stops to breakeven and relax.
The position can be held at least down to $2,860 without partials.

Altcoins are following BTC perfectly.
Below, there’s a cluster of equal lows, imbalances, and liquidity magnets —
all likely to get taken during a broader market dump.

Keeping a close eye on: $WLD, $SUI, $ENA

[CryptoNick @cryptonick0x]

Most Prediction Market strategies fail for the same few reasons.

1. Terrible entries kill good ideas.
These markets move fast.

Add bots, copy traders, and hype — prices get distorted instantly.

If you market buy, you’re already late.

Basic survival rules:
• limit orders only
• read the order book
• scale in, never full size

Small trades hide mistakes. Big trades expose them brutally.

And remember: the displayed price is fantasy — fills happen at the ask.
That’s why I calculate risk using real execution prices, not midpoints.

Discipline > hopium.

2. Poor research.
If you don’t understand why a market is priced the way it is, you have no edge.
Buying outcomes without deep analysis = lottery tickets.

What I actually do:
• map what can move the market
• rank which variables matter
• assign real-world probabilities
• stress-test outcomes

If you can’t quantify risk, you’re guessing — not trading.

3. “Set it and forget it” is a myth.
Prediction Markets are not passive income.

People buy a range, disappear, and hope for the best.

Meanwhile:
• prices overshoot
• exits appear early
• opportunities get missed

Monitoring the market lets you:
• lock profits early
• adjust exposure
• react to breaking info

New data = new reality.

The TIME Person of the Year market proved this perfectly. Polymarket