Since the War began on Feb 27th, the S&P 500 (black) is up 7.34%. But the S&P 500 without AI stocks (blue) is effectively unchanged. So, the entire S&P 500 Index rally since February has been driven by AI stocks.
But look at what happened on Friday, June 5th!
The S&P 500 was down 2.6%, its biggest daily loss since last October.
The S&P 500 without AI was up 0.02% (call it unchanged).
So, the entire sell-off on Friday was AI stocks. The "normal world" did nothing on Friday.
This chart comes the @WSJ article on “The Risk Premium for Holding Stocks Over Bonds Is Vanishing: Gap between market’s earnings yield and bond yields has narrowed, a measure that has at times predicted subpar stock returns.”
What investors should do about this is far from straightforward. It underscores the unusual challenges currently facing the construction of model portfolios due to complications to the core asset allocation inputs that underlie them—specifically, expected returns, volatility, and correlation.
#investing #investors #markets #economy