FPL Tonnta

FPL Data analysis and insights.
Combining human research with AI
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[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

#FPL Defensive Contributions Mega Thread! 🧵
Here we will look at the best players for next season and the best fixtures to earn DC points.

All based off individual match data from 2024-25, NOT per 90 stats
(which are likely to be skewed due to the large scoring range for DC)

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

@LetsTalk_FPL Thanks Andy!

I've added a thread on full individual game analysis (not per 90) across the whole of last season, including which fixtures give the best opportunity to earn DC.

Let me know if there are any players that you want analysed in depth!
https://t.co/vC0U7Dy6Io

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

#FPL Defensive Contributions Mega Thread! 🧵
Here we will look at the best players for next season and the best fixtures to earn DC points.

All based off individual match data from 2024-25, NOT per 90 stats
(which are likely to be skewed due to the large scoring range for DC)

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

#FPL2025 #FantasyPremierLeague #defensivecontributions

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

#FPL Defensive Contributions Mega Thread! 🧵
Here we will look at the best players for next season and the best fixtures to earn DC points.

All based off individual match data from 2024-25, NOT per 90 stats
(which are likely to be skewed due to the large scoring range for DC)

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

Best DC opponents for DEF:
1) Spurs
2) Liverpool
3) Bournemouth
4) Palace
5) Man U

Best fixture for MID: Man Utd away, best home game: Spurs
Best for DEF: Fulham away, best home game: Liverpool

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

Across the season, Paquetá hit the DC threshold in 30% of his starts — better than Bruno Fernandes. 📊
If he gets more consistent minutes, he could quietly become a real asset under the new format. 💎
One to watch. 👀
#FPLDifferential #FPLTips #FPLStats #WHUFC

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

😂 Fair play, Paquetá.

The only #FPL MID or FWD in our analysis to earn Defensive Contribution points as a sub! 🔥

In just 30 mins vs Leicester, he recorded:
1 interception
1 tackle
2 blocks
1 clearance
7 ball recoveries
= 12 DC pts 💪
#FPL2025 #FantasyPremierLeague

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

@FPL_Calle I'd be very wary about using per 90 for the DC predictions as the points spread is so wide within the data for each player.

Bruno for example hit 25 for DC in a single game last year but only went over the 12+ threshold in 25% of his starts

https://t.co/JpgZVWLGMR

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

#fpl Defensive Contributions 🧵We should talk about Bruno...
Bruno shows up very healthily on the per 90 numbers BUT as discussed: per 90 is not a valid measure for DC points predictions

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

This could make Bruno EVEN better as he could be truly fixture proof: DC points in the tough away games and attacking returns against weaker opponents? what do you think, are you talking about Bruno?

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

#fpl Defensive Contributions 🧵We should talk about Bruno...
Bruno shows up very healthily on the per 90 numbers BUT as discussed: per 90 is not a valid measure for DC points predictions

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

his probability to hit the DC threshold in any given start next season is 30.16%

the opponents he returned against last year were Villa (x2), Chelsea, Arsenal, City, Liverpool, Spurs, Forest and that Leicester game. and 77% of returns were AWAY from home

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

@LFC_Hamy @FPLMeerkat No forwards come close other than Bowen and Havertz. Ndiaye would have been ideal, hitting it 7 times last season but is reclassified as a mid now

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

@FPLFocal I make it that Rodi would have received 183 points in 2023-24 with the current system.

You mention Ndiaye, he actually hit it 7 times last season in only 27 matches (60+mins)

https://t.co/yUcTTvMPXc

[FPL Tonnta @fpl_tonnta]

A closer look at the returning Rodri and the impact of DC points using 2023/24 where he last played a full season.

He hit the threshold for points 12 times, resulting in +24 points which, if applied to last season's ranks would place him 6th amongst midfielders

Short thread 🧵