Aleeyan

Business owner, Entrepreneur, Head of Information Technology

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@daytradingzoo Mostly do all my coding remote nowadays since I am on vacation.

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@daytradingzoo Add codex to the mix. I am having a LOT of fun with both. I only have the 20$ chat gpt plus and it can complete several epics by itself in the week.... I also plug it to my 3 hermess agents. And codex is a huge plus honestly. Really nice

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@GravityAnalyti1 Many of these stocks in xbi will move to ai when they fail... late... like btc

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

The feeling you start to develop as a trader that something HAS TO HAPPEN is one of the most consistent contrarian things that can happen, especially if you can get positioning and sentiment data on top that show everyone doing the same.

Something being written off because even if it ends up working it's just broken...

Something that is too dangerous to short because its going to open up...

Something that will for sure breakdown because it hasn't been able to go the past few times...

Something that needs to breakout because its been hot for weeks...

Something that you can long without issue because its part of a supertrend even if it dips...

Some recent examples I remember.

-Oil long near Mid May.
(I was sitting by the pool with 5 great traders, will all agreed Oil looked like a big long, especially because Trump and Iran continued to escalate.... We purposefully avoided because it was consensus and laughed right there about it probably being a huge short).

-Longing $TSLA in May 2025, I was longing it with @TheOneLanceB and the consensus was they would never make a comeback, it was a safe short, even short term longs wouldnt work.

-Shorting Silver. Too risky, scary, part of a commodities super cycle, inflation was up, list goes on. Noone wanted to be short. It ended up having its worst day ever a week later.

....

Whenever something is too logical and too safe to avoid it usually presents a huge contrarian trade.

Keywords are:
-It will 100% go to XYZ because of these 10 reasons with no reasons for the reverse case.
-I'll long it/short it then, there is no point in doing it now, I'll wait for XYZ
-I'll wait until the resolution of XYZ (latest one was war end) to get long/short.

In markets pure oblivious confidence in either direction combined with the comfort of waiting for a clearer/more stable entry is often the enemy of outperformance.

Now it doesn't mean it always work, especially as it comes to big multi year catalysts like AI. It means sharpening your sense for emotional extremes, when most push against an idea for no real reason but recent price action and especially when its out of comfort reasons there usually is a discount baked into an asset/a mispricing.

This goes both ways, meaning a lot of the time a long or short can only be held unleveraged or with a max size because the market is extremely good at forming price action that excludes the ability to add add add in one direction.

Combining this last thought with the rest, the most uncomfortable positions at first that end up going your way end up giving you the opportunity to add heavily way more often than those where you are comfortable from the beginning.

The delta of outperformance becomes the comforts price.

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@daytradingzoo From my angle, this is mostly political and another stupid twist by this stupid administration to retaliate for Anthropic telling them to go pound sand. And americans thought they lived in a democratic republic. Type of actions you see in China, not in the US.

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@GravityAnalyti1 Same as TSLA?

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

ASK ME ANYTHING!

Unanswered questions, unclear statements, charts, trading rules, psychology, risk, sizing, strategy, the Market Wizards chapter, the 2020 run, the run since, anything.

I’m thinking of writing again on Substack, a few deeper posts per month, similar to how Burry started writing again.

I want the first essays to answer the questions people actually care about the most.

So reply with the one question you would want me to go deepest on.

The best ones, perhaps with most likes to show interest will become the first ones answered.

https://t.co/VMTviDewLu

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@I_Am_The_ICT Some do it to 9 figures from that amount....

[Roan @RohOnChain]

As someone who builds institutional quant systems, this Anthropic lecture on Claude for Finance is the closest thing to an HFT research desk I've ever seen released for free.

Bookmark & watch today. It's the most valuable 1 hour in quant AI right now. Then read article below.

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

Growing into the winning relationship

Holding period and pyramiding/doubling down into a winner or loser have the biggest impact for the aspired master trader.

These are not small variables. For the trader who aspires to the top, they are the only true variables.

People like to begin with entries. Fine. Entries matter. But the first real work is finding the pockets of edge: small caps, mid caps, large caps, each one becoming over time a liquidity-driven sliding scale forcing the growing trader to shift into a new version of himself. What worked at one size stops working at another. What looked like skill at one level becomes noise at the next.

Then comes compounding. Usually through an R system, whether you fully systematize it or compound naturally. Directly or indirectly, you are always measuring risk. You are always deciding how much of yourself to put behind the idea.

Then comes noise reduction.

Seeing less. Focusing more. Finding structure inside chaos. Learning what not to look at. Learning what not to care about. Putting structural elements (like scanners, prep, automated systems) in place. This is harder than people think, because most traders are not defeated by what they miss. They are defeated by what they cannot stop seeing.

Only after that do you earn the right to size exponentially.

Adding to winners. Averaging in. Pressing when the trade improves. Holding when the easy exit appears. Accepting that win rate and risk/reward live on a sliding scale, and that every serious trader must eventually decide where he belongs on it.

At the end, the game becomes judgment.

Can you grade the setup as it moves from bucket to bucket? Can you recognize when a B has become an A, when an A has become an A++, or when the thing you thought was elite was only dressed that way for a few candles?

This is most true in deep value. It is also true in parabolic shorts. The opportunity does not arrive fully formed. It reveals itself. Then your sizing and your holding period must adjust to the reality in front of you.

So here is the question.

Should you wait for the A++ entry when the A is already available?

Or would you rather miss the first entry so you can pyramid with greater certainty once the trade begins to prove itself?

There is no free answer. There is only the trade-off you can actually live with.

Win rates are easy to manipulate. You can raise them by taking profits too early, sizing too small, avoiding discomfort, and calling cowardice discipline.

But risk/reward and dynamic sizing are where the real alpha hides.

That is where the market wizardry is.

Not in being right often. In being enormous when it matters and pushing beyond, by appreciating the power of the true outliers and the range they offer as they reverse (or continue for some breakout strategies).

And that privilege is not given cheaply. The ability to push, to pyramid, to become your biggest in the best opportunities, comes only after mastering every earlier step.

You do not get to size like a monster because you are excited.

You get to size because you have earned precision. You have earned conviction. You have lived through dozens of account pullbacks, recoveries, new highs, false dawns, and near-breaks in belief.

Only then can you tolerate a smaller win rate in exchange for a huge winning tail.

Only then can you hold the trade long enough for the rare thing to pay you.

That part is not technique.

That part is earned, respect, held on to like a religion.

At the end all that remains is the tail, the tail of the alpha that blows off into account growth.

Are you truly able to get to that last stage only depends on building the strong foundation needed to support the monument that might live on in history.

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@daytradingzoo I did this over the weekend with github,Claude,archon,superpowers. From brainstorming to delivery in test env. Human machine approvals. Very neat!

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@daytradingzoo @kenctrades @LennardPaul02 @RealSimpleAriel Dammit it man, im almost 50 too. Came from the coding world, did active trading 2020 to 2022, lost my footing, went back to work. Been following for a while, you inspire me. Thought you were in your late 20s too!

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@daytradingzoo Can't authenticate right now, I was building a VAPI agent. Oh well, back to the hockey game!

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@daytradingzoo Yesterday things were pretty slow too

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

What do you do when @claudeai cannot authenticate you? The status page is lying too.......

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@GravityAnalyti1 Still seeing the glass half empty, I see! ;)

[Dhruv @dhruvtwt_]

Why is no one talking about this?

@nvidia is offering around 80 AI models via hosted APIs absolutely for free.

You get access to MiniMax M2.7, GLM 5.1, Kimi 2.5, DeepSeek 3.2, GPT-OSS-120B, Sarvam-M etc.

This plugs straight into OpenClaude, OpenCode, Zed IDE, Hermes agent and even with Cursor IDE.

Setup:
– Grab API key: https://t.co/Wfdclm0hY2
– base_url = "https://t.co/VOGC10LmGP"
– api_key = "$NVIDIA_API_KEY"
– select model (e.g. minimaxai/minimax-m2.7)

If you’re building or experimenting, this is basically free inference.

Lock in and start building today anon.

Thank me later.

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@GravityAnalyti1 What is going on with car?

[Roan @RohOnChain]

This 2 hour Stanford lecture shows exactly how Stanford trains it's engineers to build AI systems. It's more practical than every Claude tutorial & prompting threads you've seen.

Bookmark & give it 2 hours, no matter what. It'll be the most productive thing you do this weekend.

[Aleeyan @frankgermain]

@TheShortBear At the moment, There's absolutely no other agentic framewirj that comes close to Claude code. Here's a path forward: Create a setup with litellm and expose the models you like and configure subagents for specific tasks with appropriate model. And get amazed even more. 😉