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Record: 26-20 (+7.69 U)

⚾️ | WVU vs UNC at 2pm EST

As we continue through Omaha, pitching is beginning to drain out.

UNC has the luxury of some off-days, but that doesn't mean they are set up nicely on the mound today. West Virginia is also nearly out of rested options.

The weather during this game at Charles Schwab Field will only help the offenses.

It's supposed to be 91 degrees at gametime with the wind blowing straight out, which's why this total feels really high, considering the last time these two teams played, the score was 5-2.

The heat should fatigue the pitchers even further than they already are.

Not only did both teams have better arms in that game, but the weather wasn't close to what we have today.

Let's start with the confirmed pitcher in this game: UNC will start Folger Boaz.

His 7.03 ERA is inflated, but he's still not very good. His SIERA is over 4, he's not striking out a batter per inning, and he's walking nearly 4 batters per 9 innings.

West Virginia should have no problem beating him up.

UNC does have Caden Glauber, who is fantastic, but he's pitched in both of UNC's games so far. He will likely throw, but length likely won't be there.

Walker McDuffie is their other elite reliever, but he went 63 pitches on Sunday. With only two days of rest, we likely won't see him, and if we do, it'll only be an inning.

On the West Virginia side, they haven't confirmed who's pitching yet, and I'm not sure what they'll do.

They could go back to Chasen Cole, who is awesome, but was beaten up in his last start and is on four days' rest. Ian Korn threw even more pitches that game.

Yehl and Montesa aren't available, and WVU went to two of their key bullpen arms yesterday.

They have a great pitching staff, but a lot of the key arms have gotten plenty of work, and these starters aren't used to this quick a turnaround, especially this late in the season with miles on their arms.

Factor in gorgeous hitting weather, two staffs trying to piece it together, and it being during the early afternoon, we should see fireworks.

Day games during this tournament are averaging 11.8 runs per game, versus night games at 6.4.

I wouldn't be surprised to see both teams near double digit runs, I would take this to 14.5.

PICK: WVU vs UNC Over 13.5 (-120)
- Risk 0.6 U @BetMGM

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