$$$

[Killa @KillaXBT]

I have cracked the fucking code.

We bottom this year August-September latest. Earlier than previous cycles.

It then takes $BTC just under a year to create a new ATH.

Based on the math, we are 427 days from creating a new all time high.

And we are 120 days from creating a bottom. That means... we form a new ATH precisely between April and August 2027.

Based on this metric, we have completed 75% of the bear market.

In this image, I am measuring the time from each election to the first bull market peak, as well as how long it takes Bitcoin to surpass that peak following the subsequent election day.

The cycles are accelerating, with shorter bear markets and faster recoveries.

In the next 1 year, I’m either going to look like a genius or a complete fool. This is my prediction based on current patterns and their timing.

[Jack’s World 🌎 @itsjacksworld]

Is Paraguay dead for crypto?

A lot of people are asking after the government announced a new reporting requirement 2 weeks ago.

If you're a resident operating with crypto above $5K/year, you now have to file a yearly report showing wallet addresses, transaction hashes, dates, amounts, and USD values on your trades and assets. Full visibility into your onchain activity.

The kind of reporting that goes against the entire reason most people got into crypto in the first place.

Paraguay still has 0% tax on foreign-sourced crypto income. That hasn't changed.

And this move is expected for a growing economy integrating into global financial systems. Dubai regulates crypto heavily and still has 0% tax. Paraguay is following the exact same steps.

But the reporting obligation is real, and it applies to all residents who directly operate with crypto.

The key word is "operate."

Based on the language in the requirements, if you hold and trade crypto under an entity outside of Paraguay, that activity falls outside the scope of the reporting requirement.

You aren't operating. Your entity is.

Not every entity works the same for this. There's a specific type of offshore structure built to separate you from your assets entirely, with no ownership on paper, which is exactly what makes it hold up against this kind of reporting requirement.

The right setup theoretically retains Paraguay's residency benefits while keeping your crypto activity completely out of scope for reporting.

A proper entity setup isn't just solution for Paraguay’s change. It's arguably the smartest way to hold crypto going forward.

The right structure is designed to insulate your assets from reporting obligations, government overreach, and seizure risk as more countries move toward crypto regulation.

The first round of reporting in Paraguay is due early 2027 for activity starting January 1st, 2026. Don't wait to start protecting your assets.

I wrote a full breakdown of the new regulation and the setup we're building for clients to exempt them from reporting.

If you want to read it or get started, everything is at the link in my bio.

[Jaymes R. @jaymesrosenthal]

Sell when VIX is below 17

Do Nothing when VIX is between 18-29

Buy when VIX =/> 30

Do until you retire 20 years before everyone else.

K.I.S.S.