¿Alguna vez te han enviado ese vídeo de Pumari rodeado de maletas electorales, denunciando fraude? ¿Sabías que el día siguiente Pumari desmintió esta denuncia? (Horas después, incendió el TED de Potosí.)
https://t.co/URTmKqgtv8
And once again, Almagro is perpetuating straight up lies about Bolivia's 2019 elections. Here is our big report from last year documenting the myriad misrepresentations and factual errors in the OAS' "audit" of the vote. https://t.co/qAD2Nuscbb
Yo escribiría una respuesta punto por punto, pero sé muy bien que mis contribuciones, por muy buenas que sean, no tienen la menor posibilidad de afectar el debate público. Si eres periodista y quieres investigar estos temas, avísame. Te los explicaré en minucioso detalle.
Will any mainstream outlet, in Bolivia or abroad, ever attempt to write about these issues in detail, or will it forever be left to the OAS to maliciously frame them for the public? What a headache.
Almagro's written testimony in the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee today. Still pushing the fraud narrative in #Bolivia & the lack of an impartial justice system. Grab some Alka Seltzer, folks. https://t.co/bsNk00I82A
@OsitaNwanevu Even if Biden ekes out win, he’ll have slim or no Senate majority to govern with. Dem position likely erode in 2022, etc. They also underperformed down-ballot. All in all, looks like it’s another decade of hostile maps, legislative gridlock, a conservative Supreme Court, etc.
@taseenb In fact, she was finally granted home arrest a month ago, but the interim government filed a formal complaint against the judge who made the decision, then weeks later her home arrest was cruelly revoked and she was sent back to jail.
https://t.co/UMv5QfbXjd
@taseenb Antonio Costas has had home arrest for a while, which he got because he was a right-winger, was excluded from key decisions, and resigned from the TSE in protest shortly after the election. But María Eugenia Choque has been in jail for the past year, and needs to be released now.
@HiragaApau@PopulismUpdates In the end, it does seem the MAS's claim was the one which won out, but this large chunk of their voter base that went undetected by polls was unusual because last year's polls really weren't bad. Some were unusually high but the final result fell somewhere in the middle of them.
@HiragaApau@PopulismUpdates There were theories that each side presented about why their support on Election Day would exceed that predicted by the polls. The MAS claimed they had a 'hidden vote' (people who supported them but were afraid to say it), and Mesa claimed he would gain strategic anti-MAS votes.
@HiragaApau@PopulismUpdates The quick counts in 2019 underestimated the final margin too, and the discrepancy between those quick counts and the final result helped to undermine confidence in the election. I think the issue was their sample or model, but it's been impossible to obtain that data.
@HiragaApau@PopulismUpdates It's astonishing how bad the polls were compared to the result. The highest one was, uh, CELAG's, which predicted a MAS win a shade over 10 points. I think I can show from their own data that the quick counts underestimated the margins too but I have to wait for end of the count.
#CartoEbol20 Se lee en las redes que hay cierta desconfianza del cómputo de #EleccionesBolivia2020 que realiza el @TSEBolivia
Algunas personas cuestionan el cambio de tendencia en el voto y para esas personas tenemos algo especial: DATOS de https://t.co/sRFZ1pGB2Z
(hilo)
@PopulismUpdates The final result will outpace both of those quick counts, just like it did back in 2019. Part of this is because those projections don't include the overseas vote, but I suspect it's also because of deficiencies in their sample or statistical model. People won't care, though.