Yeah, not worried about cash flow paying for Thailand. Worried this is a reflection of a debt road show not going well. Trying to hang another 250m of debt on a company that already has that with a market cap that might not be over 500m soon. I'm a buried long playing devil's advocate. I mistakenly thought the biggest issue was does it work, didn't really consider that sales could be a problem.
Thanks for sharing, Stan. Is there concern that IF Thailand financing can be completed, you're ending up with half a billion in debt on this thing? And if Irontron can get to breakeven this year, it's still just breakeven. Are folks concerned about Thailand sales given the smaller proof of concept factory isn't yet profitable? And where's the Thailand debt gonna price, 7% best case? Is there concern that there is very little leeway for error, i.e. how much cash is left after another year building with interest costs and little revenue?
Trumpβs policy errors have been catastrophic. He could have been a historic President. He chose grift and paying back Adelson.
Big Beautiful Bill was a disastrous macro miscalculation.
Iran war was a catastrophic strategic and financial miscalculation.
Absolutely, if it were real growth. But, I think, the trillions being spent(fueling nominal GDP) is really just a 'if you build it, they will come' type situation. Except the 'building' is a total circle jerk of financial promises, and we are pretty far in and no one is really coming. The most value is being gained by cost savings from layoffs. That's not growth. Meanwhile, under the hood things are on fire everywhere, but es and nq(due to index construction and passive effects on market caps) are sending a signal that everything is fine. but i could be wrong