GCA

🇨🇭- Interested in everything

[GCA @gca_ch]

@nationalisnomad Excessive empathy for the perpetrators

[GCA @gca_ch]

@juliet_hall Empatia suicida

[GCA @gca_ch]

@RedPillSayian It appears that USA exist to be taken advantage of

[GCA @gca_ch]

@williameijer Europe is importing stupidity

[Pelagius 🦁 @pelagiusreborn]

It's like getting Napoleon after the French Revolution.

[GCA @gca_ch]

@PWestoff The UAE has found the solution many years ago. You don’t give passports to immigrants. They can stay as long as they have a job and don’t receive social benefits. The can’t vote and can’t shape the future of the country. If they commit crimes you can easily send them home.

[GCA @gca_ch]

@Telegraph Come è cambiato il mondo rispetto a qualche anno fa😍

[Jesse Ezell @jezell]

If Dario wants to slow down the pace of AI, he should just move the company to Europe.

[GCA @gca_ch]

@HugoSerin1991 Mi dicono che l’integrazione fa magie e funziona benissimo!

[BlockHead @blockhead4000]

The sad reality is that this is 90% of the world. Just pointless misery. And the hard lesson taught to us by colonialism is that even if we step in and run things for 50 years the minute we leave its right back to this. All we can do is look away. We cant save them.

[GCA @gca_ch]

I wonder what will happen during a winter week without wind. Gas and Coal power plants will need to spin up the turbines and inevitably set the market price for the entire period.
Prices will be super high (exluding public subsidies) because the fix costs to operate the plants are going to be spread out over a few days/hours of production every year. That’s why plants should ideally produce at maximum power 24/7.
The private sector won’t have an economic incentive to keep the gas/coal plants operating. I think that the state will end up intervening and paying for all. Not great…

[David Sacks @DavidSacks]

Dario has written that we need to “pace the frontier,” and Sam has agreed. People may be surprised by my response: go ahead.

You guys are the frontier. By any reasonable metric — market share, revenue growth, model capability — the two of you have a duopoly on frontier intelligence. You’ve also claimed the lead is widening because of recursive self-improvement.

I don’t see what you see in the lab. If the unreleased models are scary enough that you think you should slow down, I support your decision to be responsible.

But stop pretending you need anyone else’s permission. Stop pretending antitrust law has to be suspended so you can form a cartel. Stop pretending you need a regulatory approval process that supersedes product liability. Stop pretending METR is independent when it is intertwined with Anthropic’s investors and staff. Stop pretending you need those same evaluators to police competitors who aren’t even at the frontier.

Most of all, stop pretending the motivation to slow down is purely altruistic. You face massive product-liability exposure if your products enable a truly damaging cyberattack. The market already punishes models that behave in unpredictable or unauthorized ways. After the Hugging Face episode, it is simply good business for OpenAI and Anthropic to trade some raw power for reliability and predictability. Call it alignment if you want. It is also just giving customers what they want.

Pacing the frontier would also create breathing room for a more intelligent conversation about regulation than Bernie Sanders’ “shut it all down.” China is very unlikely to join a global agreement, as you know, and that has to be taken into account as well.

So go ahead and pace the frontier. You are the ones setting it. The easiest way not to build superintelligence is for you to agree not to build it. Demanding your preferred regulatory framework as the price of that will look like blackmail of the public and the political system. So just do it.

If you do, you’ll buy goodwill for the next conversation. If you don’t, we’ll know this was just another bid for regulatory capture — or an election-season psyop.

[GCA @gca_ch]

@naval It’s easier to scare the masses into believing that regulatory capture and a duopoly are the solution

[Shyam Sankar @ssankar]

EA AI safetyism increasingly looks like Marxism-Leninism for the algorithmic age.

The old vanguard claimed privileged knowledge of the inevitable course of History. The new one claims privileged knowledge of the probabilistic course of Humanity.

Both use an elaborate intellectual framework to reach the same political conclusion: a small group of enlightened people must constrain everyone else for their own good.

That has never lead to anything except monumental human suffering.

[GCA @gca_ch]

@jawwwn_ @L3HarrisTech Interesting

[GCA @gca_ch]

@chamath David Sacks had already envisioned everything 1 year ago. Open source is dangerous for the labs’ business model

[Emil Kirkegaard @KirkegaardEmil]

Hereditarians were right again. For decades egalitarians have disrupted Lynn's ~70 IQ estimate for sub-Saharan Africa. The data were sparse, conditions questionable, samples insufficiently representative, tests possibly biased. All true, but the pattern was clear enough given the limitations. Now in 2025 PISA finally included more African countries.

Using their values and British natives (born in UK + both parents born in UK), these are the IQs:

Kenya 73
Zambia 71
Rwanda 71
Morocco 78

The issue you see on the left is that their performance is at the level of guessing for many students, so the normal distribution becomes compressed and the mean inflated. This is a classic floor effect. I rescored the data for the countries with item-level data using the 3PL model, and this reduces the mean estimates by 2 for Morocco and 5 for Kenya (78→76, 73→68).

[Sterling Snow @sterlingmsnow]

I reread this every year.

I cry like a baby every year.

Todd Beamer died a father, husband, and hero.

Todd: Hello… Operator… listen to me. I can’t speak very loud. This is an emergency. I’m a passenger on a United flight to San Francisco. Our plane has been hijacked.

Lisa: I understand. Can they see you?

Todd: No. There are three that we know of. They have knives — razor knives, like box cutters. Someone announced from the cockpit there was a bomb. It sounded fake.

Lisa: Your name?Todd: Todd Beamer. United Flight 93.Todd: They killed one passenger in first class. They forced most of us back. Fourteen of us here. Five flight attendants. The guy with the bomb ordered us to sit on the floor.

Lisa: Are you okay?

Todd: We’re going down… wait. No. We’re leveling off. We changed directions. We’re flying east again.

Todd: A guy named Jeremy called his wife. She told him two planes hit the World Trade Center. Lisa, is that true?

Lisa: I have to tell you the truth. It’s very bad. Both towers are gone. A third plane hit the Pentagon. Our country is under attack. I’m afraid your plane may be part of their plan.

Todd: Oh God. Lisa, will you do something for me? Call my wife and my kids. Promise me you’ll call.

Lisa: I promise.

Todd: Our home number is… You have the same name as my wife. Lisa. We’ve been married ten years. She’s pregnant with our third child. Tell her I love her. I’ll always love her. We have two boys — David, he’s 3, and Andrew, he’s 1. Tell them their daddy loves them and he is so proud of them. The baby is due January 12th. I saw an ultrasound. We still don’t know if it’s a girl or a boy.

Lisa: I’ll tell them. I promise, Todd.(Lisa patches in the FBI.)

Agent: Todd, your plane is on a course for Washington. Best guess is the White House or the Capitol.

Todd: I understand. I’ll be back.

Todd: Everyone knows this isn’t a normal hijacking. We have decided we will not be pawns in their plot.

Lisa: What are you going to do?

Todd: Four of us are going to rush the one with the bomb. Then the cockpit. A stewardess is getting boiling water. We’ll take them out.

Todd: Would you pray with me?They pray the Lord’s Prayer. Then: Yea, though I walk through the valley of the shadow of death, I will fear no evil, for thou art with me.

Todd: God help me. Jesus help me.Are you guys ready? Let’s Roll.

[GCA @gca_ch]

@DanielKral1 Switzerland is still reducing his debt (in absolute terms) accumulated during the pandemic🙈

[GCA @gca_ch]

@simongerman600 The quality of immigration makes all the difference