George Blair @georgesblair - Twitter Profile

Bitcoin’s first dump will happen, and I’m using the surge from 62K to 81K plus prior cycles to prepare for what may happen next. Across earlier rallies, the first major Bitcoin pullback often set the size of the next one, while a third hit was the one that finally damaged confidence. The recent 9% dip still looks gentle beside the 17%–30% drawdowns in the examples I reviewed, so I’m preparing for a much harder reset rather than assuming this time is different. I’m using the TBO transition above the cloud and the rising slow line as the framework, not pretending I know the catalyst or exact timing. Bitcoin could push higher first, but the historical median in these examples points toward roughly a 17%–20% pullback, potentially near 70K if the recent high held. The first major drop can still become a buy-the-dip opportunity when the trend remains strong and price produces the V-shaped recovery seen in earlier cycles. My preparation starts with simplifying the portfolio: enough Bitcoin to act as a crypto buoy, stablecoins reserved for panic buying, and a deliberate altcoin allocation rather than dozens of forgotten positions. If Bitcoin falls 20%, some alts could lose 30%–50%, so I want the exit plan before I enter—buy the dip, sell the rip, and decide whether profits return to Bitcoin, selected alts, or cash. I’m also accounting for cycle degradation, because an old coin’s previous high is not a guarantee that it will make another one. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Rally Raises Bull-Back Risk 03:03 Bitcoin Pullbacks Signal a Series of Three 06:10 Third Bitcoin Pullback Breaks Market Confidence 08:21 Bitcoin Rallies Expose the One-Two-Three Pattern 10:27 Repeated Bitcoin Pullbacks Confirm V-Shaped Recoveries 12:51 Twenty-Percent Bitcoin Risk Defines the Cycle 15:03 TBO Signal Confirms Strong Bullish Mode 17:18 Current Bitcoin Setup Awaits Its First Pullback 19:24 Portfolio Concentration Reduces Pullback Risk 21:28 Bitcoin Buoy Limits Altcoin Drawdown Risk 23:34 Stablecoin Reserves Provide Buy-the-Dip Protection 25:35 Trading Plan Defines When to Sell the Rip 28:01 Altcoin Cycle Degradation Raises Portfolio Risk 30:32 Portfolio Strategy Strengthens Pullback Preparation 📓 Better Traders Planner: https://t.co/AsFJ8lAmcQ 📈 Kalshi Perpetuals Trade Kalshi Perpetuals: https://t.co/qAYXZUoEvo I’m an independent Kalshi affiliate and may earn a commission. Perpetuals trading carries a high risk of loss; availability and eligibility may vary. 🎲 Play Moonin Papa BINGO with today's video: https://t.co/2U5YT0uGn4 💹 Take Your Trading to the Next Level! 🥇 Join the Club Indicators, strategies, alerts, and early video access: https://t.co/tVQObrab0W 📚 Learn Proven Crypto Strategies: Master bot trading, scalping, day trading, and swing trading with our courses: https://t.co/pa1C8hcxPK 🌐 Stay Connected: Follow me for market updates and insights across platforms: https://t.co/SKRamaTZfJ