Fred

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@AgWxMan1 Especially against 10 year stale 30 year climo.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@SPaulsonKTVU Directory URL for their grib files changed. Probably didn’t get updated.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@MeteoMark

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@FibChartsPro @Paulgas9 200 HDDs is only about 1 StDev for Dec-Feb. 10 winters since 2000 have had greater than a 200 HDD departure. 2014 was 447 above the 10YN. So the odds are actually pretty respectable.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@DiveBomb321 @RealJohnGolt The vast majority of model initialization these days is satellite based, not nearly as dependent on synoptic balloon data. If you look at verification stats, the 6z runs have nearly identical skill to the 12z at any time horizon. It is no more trash than any other cycle.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@LeopoldHeinrich It doesn't have to, and anomaly you are referring to the stratosphere. That air does not just magically transport to the surface unmodified. What happens to the temperature a parcel of air when you move it from 30mb to 1000mb? Hint.. look up adiabatic warming.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@LeopoldHeinrich This is 10mb. Your density calculation is off by a factor of almost 100. I still cannot tell if you are a dedicated troll, or at the peak of mount stupid on the Dunning-Kruger chart. Look up adiabatic warming/cooling. Then delete everything you have ever written.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@LeopoldHeinrich Over a period of decades. https://t.co/K5UHVZcC7M.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@LeopoldHeinrich It can last a long time. If you reduce the heat escaping the troposphere through the greenhouse effect you would expect an attendant cooling impact in the stratosphere. We have been seeing long term cooling trends in the stratosphere as the troposphere has warmed.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@LeopoldHeinrich Global warming is in reference to temperatures in the troposphere. You keep posting Stratospheric temperatures. Read a book.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@LeopoldHeinrich I particularly love that you don’t know the difference between the troposphere and the stratosphere.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@AgWxMan1 Probably when they start plotting against climo that isnt 15 years old. Who is still using 81-10 climo?

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@kiteandkeymedia Fun fact.. the coconut palms shown in the start of this video, which it claims are associated with the state, do not actually grow in California at all (they do in Florida).

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@SuperStorm93 @MeteoMark @CoastalJm Mark failed out of the Penn State meteorology program. He holds a bachelors degree in Earth & Environmental Sciences from Wilkes University. Mark does not hold a degree in Meteorology or Atmospheric Science.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@firehouse32100 @MeteoMark Yeah, I am starting to understand that even being wrong is just proof of future correct-ness.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@MeteoMark

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@MeteoMark Very well..

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@MeteoMark What happened to posting the 12z/25th temperature anomalies from the GFS op every 12 hours? Confused as to why you might have stopped.

[Fred @GeostrophicFred]

@MeteoMark I recon all of these solutions are also incorrect? I mean technically a torch is 2000 degrees F, so this is nowhere near that, but still appear pretty warm to me.