My #TNF SGP (+465 boosted) | .25U
Jaylen Warren 70+ Rush Yards
Jaylen Warren 3+ Receptions
Quinshon Judkins 50+ Rush Yards
Building this around a physical, run-heavy AFC North game. Warren should see plenty of work on the ground while remaining a reliable outlet for Rodgers, and Judkins has the volume to clear 50 if Cleveland can keep this competitive.
Three legs that all fit the same game script. Let the backs work. 🔨
My #TNF game pick🏈💰
Steelers ML vs Browns (+102 boosted) | 1U
Pittsburgh finally found some offensive rhythm last week, with Jaylen Warren giving Aaron Rodgers a legitimate run game to work behind. The bigger edge is Pittsburgh’s pass rush against a struggling Browns offense and an offensive line dealing with injuries.
Cleveland’s defense should keep this tight, which is exactly why we’re taking the points out of the equation. We just need Pittsburgh to leave Cleveland with the win.
Riding with the Yankees again tonight. Shut this thing out.
Yankees ML (-136) to win 1U
The Yankees are 109-53 on the ML when playing the same opponent they beat in their previous game by 8 or more runs.
Backing my Yankees tonight for a small wager:
Yankees -1.5
Schlittler 8+ Ks
Bellinger 1+ Hits
+698 (DK boost) | .25U
(Betting this with my heart tail if you’d like)
Backing my Yankees tonight for a small wager:
Yankees -1.5
Schlittler 8+ Ks
Bellinger 1+ Hits
+698 (DK boost) | .25U
(Betting this with my heart tail if you’d like)
Hit the SGP last night for +1.79U overall.
Gonna enjoy some Yankees playoff baseball tonight and lock in for the next week of football
Remember to follow me on Action @GGIACBETS will probably be grabbing some early lines. I post plays when I place them on there and post them day of here
Rams/Broncos Under 44.5 (-115) — 1U
Closing out Sunday with an Under in a matchup where I trust both defenses more than I trust either offense to consistently finish drives.
Denver’s defense is the biggest reason for the play. The Broncos have the personnel to generate pressure without constantly selling out with the blitz, which allows them to keep numbers in coverage against Matthew Stafford. That’s especially important with Puka Nacua doubtful after missing practice all week. Stafford and Davante Adams can still create plays, but Denver is one of the tougher environments to ask an offense to sustain long scoring drives.
On the other side, Denver’s offense hasn’t shown enough consistency through two weeks. The Broncos have struggled to stay on the field, converting just 26% of their third downs, and now face a Rams defense coming off a game in which it held the Giants to only 6 points.
I also expect both teams to remain relatively balanced as long as the score stays close. Denver gets J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey back in the backfield, which gives them every reason to lean on the run rather than turn this into a high-volume passing game.
The best part is the number. At 44.5, we don’t need an ugly 13-10 game to cash. Scores like 21-20, 23-17 or 20-17 all comfortably stay underneath.
Two strong defenses, a Denver offense that has struggled to sustain drives, Puka unlikely to play, and a game script that should stay relatively controlled.
9/27/26 #NFL GAME PICKS🏈💸
Chargers +7.5 vs Bills (-122)
Panthers -2.5 vs Browns (-110)
Texans -1.5 vs Colts (-112)
Ravens/Cowboys o51.5 (-132)
Rams/Broncos u44.5 (-115)
All to win one unit💰My reasoning below⬇️
Ravens/Cowboys Over 51.5 (-132) — 1U
We’re heading to Brazil for what I think has all the ingredients to turn into one of Sunday’s highest-scoring games.
The biggest mismatch is Baltimore’s rushing attack against Dallas’ run defense. The Ravens are averaging 5.6 yards per carry through two games, while Dallas has allowed 173.5 rushing yards per game. Derrick Henry already has 212 rushing yards and 4 TDs, and Lamar Jackson adds another dimension Dallas has struggled badly to contain — the Cowboys have allowed the most QB rushing yards in football through two weeks.
That should force Dallas to commit extra resources toward the box, and that creates opportunities for Baltimore through the air. Dallas enters this game with major secondary issues, with Cobie Durant, Malik Hooker and P.J. Locke all ruled out.
The Cowboys should be able to do their part too. Dak Prescott has CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens against a Baltimore defense that has already shown it can be attacked through the air. Dallas is coming off a game where it scored 37 points, and I don’t expect Baltimore to completely shut this offense down.
There are concerns on the Ravens’ side — Ronnie Stanley is OUT and Zay Flowers is questionable — but Baltimore has too many ways to create offense in this matchup, particularly with Henry and Lamar on the ground.
This doesn’t need to become a 70-point shootout. Something like 30-27 gets us there, and that’s right around where I have it.
9/26/26 #NCAAF GAME PICKS🏈💸
Missouri +7.5 vs Mississippi State (-106 boosted)
Texas A&M vs LSU u52.5 (-112)
Tennessee +7.5 vs Texas (-114 boosted)
Iowa +5.5 vs Michigan (-112)
Minnesota +10.5 vs Washington (-112)
All to win/risking one unit💰
9/26/26 #NCAAF GAME PICKS🏈💸
Missouri +7.5 vs Mississippi State (-106 boosted)
Texas A&M vs LSU u52.5 (-112)
Tennessee +7.5 vs Texas (-114 boosted)
Iowa +5.5 vs Michigan (-112)
Minnesota +10.5 vs Washington (-112)
All to win/risking one unit💰