Glokta

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@LizzosDietician yes, women obviously don't divorce for money, if it was really about money then not divorcing would be a better strategy
although i will note that divorce does impact men much more negatively health and happiness-wise

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@estherzelda0514 Considering CBS ratings, bari weiss does seem to be a remarkable failure

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@iwl2ke95 nonsense, if the west did believe russia would "take the bait" and that it would be followed by a long lasting war they would have prepared
instead, initially they expected ukraine will fall quickly, and later that sanctions will break russia and ukraine will regain its territory

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@akarlin are you sure the war won't effectively stop with frontlines freezing when russia takes donbas? this looks more likely to me, even if a Ukrainian collapse is not impossible

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@RWApodcast @VicV13270 Sorry but that sounds like projection

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@becktonpeddy @mattyglesias Agree

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@GoyaGokou @phl43 no, Germany doesn't really need to do this for itself, although it can be useful for maintaining good relationships with neighbours who actually have better reasons to be afraid of Russia

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@MT_6226 polls don't show this at all

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@policytensor nonsense.
He did get some things right, but also he* also didn't believe putin would attack in 2022 and regularly made very wrongheaded predictions about the war later
*unlike for example say burns who advised agains 2008 declaration but saw what russia is preparing for in 2021)

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@failure1991 russia is a nuclear power so same cannot happen with them
i agree 2008 nato declaration was a huge mistake though
but even then, without russian annexation of crimea&support of separatists, ukraine would have remained neutral. russia worrying about ukraine is self created issue

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@failure1991 @DanielM19432539 so then why are you surprised if many westerners display the exact same attitude towards russia?
anyway russian security concerns were not treated seriously because it was thought "every country should choose its path" at the time of liberal ascendancy

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@BrankoMilan without stalin's industrialization the nazis may have won the war against the soviets though

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@AngelicaOung ship wouldn't even be in the cards (Ukraine would remain neutral)
reality is Ukraine is in this path because Russia and its supported men always choose the bloody and tyrannical path (2013, 2014-15, 2022) which, in the eyes of ukranians, proved ultra nationalists correct

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@AngelicaOung the second best way to prevent ukraine going on western orbit would b for russia to not annex crimea or at least not support separatist bloody war (which turned ukranians against russia)
likely pro russian candidate can win in 2019 and EU integration is stopped, while NATO member

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@phl43 @Gitgitgitgit that of the RN or FPÖ (around 40%), because they can reach >50% margins in the east and 35-40% in the west if their normalisation happens and they can somewhat moderate (although second seems far from certain to occur, intra-party democracy incentivises the opposite)

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@phl43 @Gitgitgitgit but was the difference so large in france? it seems to me that there is a stronger divide in germany, with west germany having closer to a western european, and eastern germany an eastern european political culture
this actually means that the ceiling of AfD may be higher than

[Kaiser Bauch @KaiserBauch]

Today I read an interview with a board member of Škoda Auto (Czechia’s most important car manufacturer). He was asked how it is possible that Volkswagen (Škoda’s parent company) is going through a severe crisis, yet Škoda Auto is highly profitable.

One of his answers:

“Very constructive cooperation with our trade union … we can get even more than 100% output from a factory that is often already running at full capacity.”

A union with too much power, as at VW’s German plants, is not a good thing for business, especially in times of growing competition and the need for hard decisions.

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@markoah The logical parallel would be the English stoking hatred against the indigenous Welsh, Scottish and Irish, which is not happening at all
I could see UK dissolved which would be economically ruinous and create bad blood, but it would happen in a peaceful way

[Glokta @Glokta2]

@eugyppius1 in 2013 they did have the chance to form a coalition and declined
also an SPD-Green-Left coalition in 2029 is the best way to make an AfD-CDU coalition very plausible in 2033