The Golf Thinker

Explaining what the leaderboard isn’t telling you.

PGA Tour, LPGA, DPWT & LIV. Follow for data you won’t see on TV

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

@Mike_kim714 @JudeStevens57 29.7

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Ryan Gerard leads the Charles Schwab Challenge after an opening 64 despite only once gaining more strokes putting in the last three years.

Fragile

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Cameron Young shot a 63 today at the Truist Championship.

Remarkably, it gained fewer strokes than his opening round last week!

The score was elite.

The form may be even better.

#golf #pgatour

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Rickie Fowler @RickieFowler gained over 7 strokes in Round 2 of the Truist Championship

It is his best single-round strokes gained performance since Round 3 of the 2023 Travelers Championship.

@TruistChamp

#PGATour #GolfTwitter #GolfAnalytics #Golf #TruistChampionship

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Tommy Fleetwood hit 20/28 fairways in the first 2 rounds of the @TruistChamp but barely gained anything off the tee.

He sits 2nd due to his strokes gained putting - his best putting since round 2 of the Masters

Will he hold on this time?

#golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Here he comes 👀

#themasters #golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Tommy Fleetwood is within a percentage point of being the most likely winner of #themasters after a crazy hot start of 3 birdies in a row from hole 2

Unsustainable or his year?

#golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

🚨Big move in win probability for Ludvig Aberg this morning

He doesn’t tee off until later this afternoon but move already started

#masters #golf #themasters

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

💥 #masters Breaking News🤯

Jon Rahm in the last 12 hours has seen his win probability sky rocket to be the most likely winner outside Scottie Scheffler

#golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

🏌️ #ValsparChampionship – Post Rd 1 win %s:

Im – 13.0%
Schauffele – 10.7%
Fitzpatrick – 8.7%
Bridgeman – 6.8%
Thompson – 6.5%

⚠️Im looks vulnerable - gained 4+ strokes putting vs season average including this 43ft monster putt for birdie on Hole 3

#PGATour #Golf #GolfBetting

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

@sironyeka Hello

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

🏌️ Valspar Championship – Pre Tournament Win %

Schauffele – 8.5%
Fitzpatrick – 6.3%
Hovland – 5.1%
Bridgeman – 4.8%
Thomas – 4.1%
Koepka – 3.8%
Spieth – 3.2%
Cantlay – 3.2%
Theegala – 2.9%
Hisatsune – 2.7%

#PGATour #Golf #GolfBetting #SportsBetting #DFS #BettingTips

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

#ThePlayers — Win Probability

Interesting end to Round 3 but Åberg holds more than half of the total win probability heading into Sunday.

#ThePlayers #PGATour #GolfTwitter #Golf #GolfBetting #SportsBetting #DFS #BettingTips #golfthinker

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Russell Henley has moved to the most likely winner of #THEPLAYERs he is now 0.5% more likely to win that Scottie Scheffler

#golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Scottie Scheffler is still the most likely winner of #theplayers despite being 5 back after day 1.

He currently has a 9% chance of victory

Maverick McNealy is the day’s biggest gainer with a 6% improvement to 7%

#golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Akshay Bhatia had a 0.5% chance of victory during his Round One. He reached a 90% chance on the 18th of Round Four.

It is now 50/50 Bhatia/Berger as they head to the playoff

#golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Daniel Berger had an 86% chance of victory on the 17th hole. Are we seeing another collapse for the second week in a row? (Shane Lowry reached 96% win probability last week and lost)

#golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

He now has 6% chance of victory 15 minutes later. 90% evaporated just like that

#golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

Shane Lowry had a 96% chance of victory stood 3 clear with 3 to play…

#golf

[The Golf Thinker @golfthinker]

@KinsfordQuain @kingsfordquain7 IFB