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CRYPTO MONTHLY REPORT
❇️Basic info:
Daily flipped bearish 6 days ago
2D flipped bearish tonight
3D & 5D should follow
Weekly & 2W are bearish
Monthly, 2M & 3M are bearish
**LTFs can turn bullish
❇️Cycle Analysis:
Now Let’s Start with a deep analyse on all the $BTC cycles since the very beginning up to today:
1° CYCLE (Bitcoin Launch):
January 2009 to November 2011
Price went from $0.05 to $31.91
Took 29 months to reach peak price, 63,720% gains from bottom to top
Duration of cycle: 34 months
Accumulation Period before next cycle: 9 months
2° CYCLE (Nov 2011): Went from $2 to $1,156. Took 16 months to reach top, 57,700% gain.
Duration of cycle: 38 months
Accumulation Period before next cycle: 15 months
3° CYCLE (Jan 2015 ): Went from $170 to $19,783. Took 28 months to reach top, 11,535% gain.
Duration of cycle: 47 months
Accumulation Period before next: 11 months
4° CYCLE (Dec 2018): Went from $3,122 to $68,789. Took 29 months to reach top, 2,105% gain.
Duration of cycle: 47 months
Period of accumulation before the next cycle: 12 months
5° CYCLE: (Nov 2022): Went from $15,479 to $126,000. Took 36 months to reach top, 714% gain
Duration of cycle: 44 months **so far**
Accumulation period before next cycle: **6 months so far**
❇️RSI Analysis:
Every cycle it drops a little more than previous cycle! We still need to drop below previous cycle measure!
To simplify my findings, we have at least another 2 months of downside, making up to 47 months like previous cycles! But if we only have a 6 months accumulation for now, another 2 months means a total of ONLY 8 months of accumulation! If that resumes & becomes the end of the bear market, we most certainly won’t have an ATH in the next bullrun! A good Accumulation phase is a must have to bring a great upside!
If this is a Reset Cycle as I’ve been saying since 2024, then it would be longer than the other cycles, and in the next Bull cycle we would have an explosive upside for BTC & for Altcoins.
❇️Conclusion:
Option 1: We have at least another 2 months of hell leading to October, and the new bull cycle starts there. A new ATH shouldn’t be expected due to a poor accumulation phase of only 8 months!
Option 2: If it is the actual Reset Cycle, then we should have a longer accumulation period of least another 7 months, adding to a total accumulation of 13 months. Longer than the 2 previous cycles, meaning the bottom would be reached around Jan/Feb 2027.
In 2 months I will analyse all the fresh data again, and check if bottom is in or not! How does that sound to you?
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