BIG ANNOUNCEMENT🚀⚾️
I have partnered with @TheBsblr for the 2026 MLB season. This is an exciting opportunity for me to both grow my page and have access to resources I did not have before.
So what changes??
Going forward I will be cross-posting on BOTH @BsblrBets as well as my own. Expect 1-2 detailed write-ups per day.
My FULL CARD will be posted on Dabble every day, and all that is required to view is sign up for an account using code BSBLR.
Other than that, everything else is the same! You’ll still get the same Grayson you love❤️
If you want to sign up now, use this link attached below ⬇️
Joc Pederson Over 0.5 H 1u (-116)
Blantant misprice. Very high chance batting leadoff and considering he faced a LHP yesterday I doubt he gets pulled. Hes on a heater. Wtf is this.
MLB MAY 21st FULL CARD📈
Dustin May Under 4.5 K .75u (+111)
-Under in 78% of games this year
-Just faced PIT less than a month ago and only got 2 Ks
-Admittedly better vs LHH but not by a significant margin (21 vs 17 K%)
-Pirates are top 10 at not striking out vs RHP in L30 days
Juan Soto Over 1.5 H+R+RBI 1u (-125)
-Over in 6 straight vs RHP and in both games in Washington this series.
-.353 BA and 1.059 SLG vs RHP since 5/13
-4/5 in 6 PAs vs Cavalli including a HR
-1.001 OPS in Nationals park since leaving the team
Nick Kurtz Over 1.5 TB .6u (+165)
-Kurtz at +165 feels too good to be true.
-Kurtz hitting .353 with .824 SLG vs RHP since 5/13
-Over in 50% of games vs RHP this year
-Soriano has cooled down since starting red hot, .317 xBA vs LHH in May
-Angels pen has 6th worse SLG vs LHH this year, L30 days been even worse
McLean Bump Day‼️📈
Nolan McLean Under 2.5 ER 1u (-130)
Cooked w/ @austinsprops 🐐
McLean is under this line in 6/9 games this year (67%) and in 76% of games across his MLB career. He is one of the elite arms in the bigs currently. The expected numbers back up his success, with an 88th percentile xERA and 86th percentile xBA.
Washington comes into the game very average vs RHP. Their wRC+ over the L30 days sits right at 100.
McLean is coming off a rough start vs Detroit where he allowed 6 H and 3 ER. McLean bounces back after tough starts. In both instances this year where he allowed 3 ER, he followed it up the next game by only allowing 1 ER.
Although a small sample size, McLean thrives in the heat. In 4 games across his career in temperatures over 80 degrees, he has a 0.50 ERA, .167 BAA, and .255 wOBA. It is expected to be 93 degrees at first pitch in DC today. He played college ball in Oklahoma, obviously he is used to it.
A guy like McLean shouldn’t have a 2.5 ER line. Perfect buy low spot here.
May 18th Full Card⚾️
Seth Lugo Under 2.5 ER .75u (+100)
Elly De La Cruz + Cody Bellinger 1+ Hit .75u (-102)
Lugo tends to bounce back after tough starts. Gets an easy BOS lineup. Elly is red hot and Beli mashes LHP. Good sports today.
Going for B2B sweeps‼️
The BEST HRR Prop for Today📈📈
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 H+R+RBI 1u (-120)
Rays ☀️
Aranda is just simply a monster. Over in 14/L20 games vs RHP. Over in 77% of Home games vs RHP. This just feels right.
He doesn’t just hit this line at Home. He blows right through it and gets extra for fun. Vs RHP at Home he is averaging 3.23 HRR/Game.
Since 5/7 Aranda has a .400 BA and .700 SLG vs RHP. Tampa has a 115 wRC+ vs RHP in the Last 14 days, 5th highest in MLB.
Junk for Miami is allowing a .287 BA and .465 SLG vs LHH. This is a slam dunk for Aranda.
With @WizBetz and @LeMaceJames
Trust the Data📈
Tyler Mahle Under 5.5 Hits Allowed 1u (-111)
Giants☢️
It feels like I can’t get a good read on what Tyler Mahle is. One day he goes out there and lays a dud, but then the next outing he looks like an all-star.
After doing some digging in the numbers, thats Tyler Mahle. He bounces back after tough games.
Mahle after games allowing less than 2 ER has a 5.99 ERA across his career. In games following a poor outing (allowing 2 or more ER) his ERA drops to 4.48.
When Mahle has a shutout, the next game he allows on average 2.94 ER. When he allows 3-4 ER, the next game is average ER is 2.14.
When he allows 6 or more HA the previous start, in the next one he’s allowing only 4 on average. The dude bounces back.
5.5 feels high here. Last year he finished under in 88% of games, this year in 63%. He is coming off a game where he allowed 4 ER and 5 HA against PIT. This year following games allowing 3+ ER he has thrown a shutout each time.
While the Athletics can be a tough matchup, only 4/12 RHP starters have allowed 6+ HA in Sacramento.
5/13 Full Card⚾️
Going for B2B sweeps 🧹✅
Jo Adell Over 1.5 H+R+RBI .7u (+120)
Jo Adell Over 1.5 TB .3u (+165)
Shohei Ohtani Under 1.5 BB 1u (-120)
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 H+R+RBI 1u (+108)
Matt Olson Over 1.5 H+R+RBI 1u (+103)
Brandon Marsh + Bobby Witt Jr 1+ Hit 1u (-104)
Monster card today‼️ let’s gooo
Fade the Giants Again📉📉
Shohei Ohtani Under 1.5 BB 1u (-120)
-Ohtani’s command this year has been legit. His 6.2 BB% ranks in the 84th percentile across MLB.
-Giants have worst walk rate vs RHP at only 5.5%
-Only 6/L25 RHP starters have 2+ BBs
-Assuming a 5% chance of walking each hitter, with Ohtani facing somewhere between 23-27 batters, we can calculate his chance at under 1.5 ranges between 60.6%-67.9%. That would put implied probability between -153 and -211. Good value here.
Aranda Respects our Cash🎯🤝
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 H+R+RBI 1u (+108)
Rays ☀️
This is the first time we’re betting on the GOAT not in the system of Home games vs RHP. That’s because Aranda is RED HOT in Toronto right now:
Monday: 2/3 - 3 RBI - 2 Runs - 1 Home Run Tuesday: 2/4 - 1 RBI - 1 Run - 1 Walk
So why are we getting this at a plus value?
No, I don’t care that Cease is pitching at all. Aranda got on base 2 of 3 times in the last game against Cease. ON top of that, Cease has given up 5+ base runners in all 8 games this season, with 4 games of 8+ base runs and 2+ Earned Runs scored. His K% might be high, but he’s an Angels/Athletics merchant.
Facing the #1 K% team in baseball, Cease should struggle enough to let Aranda get on base once and score a run. Just can not believe we’re getting a plus money line for Aranda here.
With @WizBetz and @LeMaceJames 🪄👑
This Dude MASHES🔥
Jo Adell Over 1.5 H+R+RBI .7u (+120)
Jo Adell Over 1.5 TB .3u (+165)
Angels 😇
-.333 xBA and .798 xBA vs LHP in the L30 days
-2+ HRR in 69% of games vs LHP this year
-2+ TB in 50% of L20 games vs LHP
-Messick is slightly worse vs RHH
-Messick across 4 day games in career has performed poorly. Small sample size but worth noting.
-LAA has 8th highest wRC+ vs LHP in the last month
Gl if tailing🫡
MLB 5/12 Recap🧹
Sweeeep🧹🧹
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 1.5 BB ✅
Walbert Urena Under 4.5 HA ✅
James Wood Over 1.5 TB ✅
Matt Olson + Brice Turang 1+ Hit ✅
Dabble Parlay of the Day🚀✅
Roughly 4u of profit today. Absolutely needed a day like today for the program.
Dabble Parlay of the Day🚀
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 TB✅
Colin Rea Over 2.5 ER✅
Don’t wait to sign up on Dabble, these parlays are so hot🔥🔥 check the link below⬇️
MLB 5/12 Full Card‼️
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 1.5 BB 1u (-125)
Walbert Urena Under 4.5 HA 1u (-105)
James Wood Over 1.5 TB 1u (+120)
Matt Olson + Brice Turang 1+ Hit 1u (+112)
Love the spots today. Hopefully our players don’t suck.
Fade the Giants 📉
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 1.5 BB 1u (-125)
Yamamoto’s 2026 has had its ups and downs, but one area he has improved on from 2025 is the BB%. His 5.9 BB% ranks in the 85th percentile. So far this year he has walked 1 or fewer batters in 5/7 games (71%).
While Yamamoto’s command is nice, we are mainly targeting the San Francisco Giants offense. Their 5.6 BB% vs RHP is dead last across MLB. Of the last 25 RHP starters they have faced, only 6 have 2+ BBs.
I believe we are getting this price because on 4/21, Yamamoto faced SFG and walked 2 batters. I think we have to trust the data of the Giants offense here with the fact that they don’t work counts.
The Morning Wood ☀️🪵
James Wood Over 1.5 TB 1u (+120)
With Wood at + money we have to take this again.
Over the last week he had a .382 xBA and .917 xSLG. On the year he has 2+ TB in 70% of games vs RHP.
Brady Singer has struggled vs LHH this year. He is allowing a .374 BA and .517 SLG. At home its been worse, .394 BA and .545 SLG.
Wood loves hitting at Great American Ballpark. Over 12 ABs he has 6 hits from last year’s series. GABP is also one of the most hitter friendly parks in MLB.
While the history of Wood vs Singer is limited with only 2 PAs, he does have one double. This has no business being plus money