@outside_the_cup@NoLayingUp This is right. If you play 1000 Ryder cups the team that has the optimal pairings will win more times (assuming overall skill is equal). But over a few rounds it’s indistinguishable from noise
@rwohan Do you think a keeper outperforming his expected goals against is more sustainable than a striker outperforming his expected goals? It does seem like Allison does it year after year
@GraceOnFootball It’s concieveable that because of his position (I.e., a right back) he may have a larger negative impact on the defense than KDB. But still, the net impact is going to be better than almost every midfielder in the league (and 20x better than any right back)
@TheM_L_G If xg models discount a “weak” footed shot and the player is more effective shooting with their weak foot than the average, wouldn’t you expect that player to outperform xg ?