@markyiverson Hi Mark read some of your tweets about cricket lately and liquidity issues. Could you DM me as may have ways around it but would like to discuss with you, thanks
@steffandancy@SakaryBako@sport_oliver@eachway@RowleyfileRRR Just checked absolutely all political markets have that disclaimer (brexit, other elections etc) so yeah you can discard. Suggest you focus on the paragraph in bold instead which is specific to this marker
@steffandancy@SakaryBako@sport_oliver@eachway@RowleyfileRRR This is a standard disclaimer they use all the time. Check popular vote rules and explain to me why it’s 1.04 (both markets move together, usually 2 ticks apart) and how trump can win the popular vote with these rules ?
@SakaryBako@eachway@sport_oliver@RowleyfileRRR To me I’m safe harbour date you can still only project what the electors will vote the next day right, and ignore faithless electors si it does still work very well with their rules
@SakaryBako@sport_oliver@eachway@RowleyfileRRR Yes yes ok but their only way out of this is to settle on December 8th of Biden does get the EC college majority - if he doesn’t by some miracle then keep the market open is what they’ll do
@SakaryBako@eachway@sport_oliver@RowleyfileRRR In their only communication betfair said they wanted clarity on the projected number of EC votes, the day all electors have been chosen on safe harbour date there is full clarity there... could argue that for now the “projection” isn’t all that clear
@SakaryBako@eachway@sport_oliver@RowleyfileRRR Hang on faithless electors would happen if electors are actually sent. If by some miracle trump manages to prevent states from sending electors at all its a different discussion and his only way of winning with betfair