Gunner/Trader96

Engineering CEO, business owner, long term investor & daily options trader. Not financial advice. Be Blessed!

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

“Confidence is silent. Insecurity is loud.”

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

@satymahajan Totally agree. Similarly I made early mistakes in calls, but pulled out an impressive (😂) 2 for 4 scalp win rate for few grand. Left for day by lunch didn’t like the price movement. Overall trend bias was up, but tough intraday. You were spot on.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

My early look for $SPY is chop indecision 740-744. Bullish bias if PDH held. Not sure moves will be huge today so playing it by ear for now. Over 744 looking at 746 750; under 740 looking at 736 to support and lose it for 735 test then 732 target then 728 low target. For me depends on this 740-744 area. Huge week, on vacation next week, no sense in messing that up. Be blessed!

[GEX Edge @GEXEdgeIO]

WHAT JUST HAPPENED:

Trump posted on Truth Social that the US-Iran 60-day ceasefire was locked in and a deal was "coming close."

$SPY ripped from 725 → 745 in hours.

This is HOW it happened:

When geopolitical fear spikes, institutions buy puts en masse to hedge.

Market makers SHORT $SPY to delta-hedge those puts. That synthetic selling pressure keeps a ceiling on price.

One headline flips the fear narrative →
Puts lose value rapidly → dealers UNWIND their short hedges → they BUY $SPY aggressively to stay neutral

That forced buying CREATES the vertical move you saw. This wasn't organic. That was a gamma squeeze dealers as the accelerant, not the cause.

THE CATALYST THAT TRIGGERED IT:

Trump proclaimed on social media that a peace deal had been "largely negotiated" and the Strait of Hormuz would be reopened the single biggest inflation and energy risk variable for 2026.

Markets had been conditioned to fade Trump's Iran optimism. He claimed on March 31 the war wouldn't last much longer, then April 7 a ceasefire. Stocks soared and oil plunged more than 16% on the news.

Each ceasefire headline = dealers repricing vol = gamma fuel ignites.

WHAT'S THE NEXT EXPLOSION?

Here are your 3 live catalysts ranked by gamma potential:

🔴 1. Iran Deal SIGNED — Wildcard/Biggest

A tentative memorandum of understanding is pending approvals from both leaderships, with key factors including verification mechanisms for enrichment limits and regional actors like Israel.

A signed deal = oil collapses + real rates drop + every put hedge in the market becomes worthless overnight. That's your 30-handle $SPY move.

🟡 2. FOMC June 16-17 — Warsh's First Presser

The rate decision itself is priced in. What traders are actually watching is the dot plot, Warsh's press conference tone, and whether the new projections push the first cut of 2026 into 2027 or leave a window open for September.

Dovish dot plot = gamma ignition. Hawkish = vol repricing DOWN.

High event risk = elevated options premium = squeeze potential either direction. Mitrade

🟢 3. $MU Earnings June 24

MU's next earnings release is expected June 24, 2026. Analysts expect EPS of $19.19 vs $12.20 last quarter, itself a $3.01 beat on estimates.

$MU has beaten 3 straight quarters by massive margins. A 4th beat = memory supercycle confirmation = $NVDA $AMD $SNDK all gap up = $SPY gamma loop triggered through semis. coincodex

THE PLAYBOOK:

Dealers are still short gamma above 745.
Any of these 3 catalysts = systematic unwind.
Watch open interest at 750 / 760 strikes.
That's where the next explosion lives.

Don't get left behind. This is history.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

$SPY prep for room. Not bad we go yesterday's range to tee, tad off today had 720-737 but 725 and 740 bottom and top were both levels. Hit early session for $8643 and left for day before the massive run. Have a great one!

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

Really nice morning but needed to leave office and get some things done. $SPY made a helluva run and missed that, but here's some good confluence to see.

Basically 3 hr consolidation into second test of PDC and PDL, which was then demand from 11:00 touch. Gamma squeeze on news to consolidate on ATR in gold, and retested 734 (ATR, R1 pivot, 5m ema ribbon) for move up and tapped 740 fib. 730c went .36 to 10.00. I wasn't around, but still like to see chart and what is provides.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

Data moved premarket a good bit. Set prep for basically 728 -733 chop and indecision range, 728 loss to test 725 pdc then opens down to 723 720 717. Hold 733 area looks like resistance of hourly and ATR through 735 then supply 737 740 747. Could be very volatile today. Range potential 720-737, could extend. Chart is ready, will play as comes. $SPY

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

@TheH0n3stTrader That’s literally 90% of X these days

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

I used to never mention profits or losses. If I say “good day $3000” remember that I trade decent but modest size in 0dte every day. I can easily lose $3000 as well. I don’t take that amount lightly, it’s just a scale. I also don’t really talk about percentage. To this day, I have never bought anything with a screenshot or percentage.

For example, 100 cons at .60 is $6000. 40% win is $2400. My trail may be $1500 on that, maybe market sell at target. It’s all relative.

2 cons at .60 is the same exact trade. $120 trying to hit your target. Make 40%, collect your $48. That might be what you needed to hit for the day. That’s a great trade. Be proud of your work.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

Decent day, not best execution but scraped out $5200. Had range of 725-740 and I think we hit LOD 725 and HOD 739. Not easiest days trading $SPY when smaller level moves are $3-5 and contracts are so expensive, just have to try to use same rules and smaller size and/or scalp and bail. We had opening move (my best of day) pop off 732 to 738 fib to fib into expected hourly resistance, and later the loss of 733 was given as line to move down. Not perfect but not too bad.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

@satymahajan Man sometimes we are in sync. Took same on spy.
Right to trigger and hourly 21.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

Large moves make tight levels with several bucks between each, so gets hairy. Vix > 20 again, post CPI. I think we see chop range early 730-735, maybe more like 729-737. Wide so sniper scalps only for me, or sit. Hourly and supply overhead at 740-738 range. I think 730 can lead to 728 to 722; 732 hold can lead to 738 741 744. Chart has precise levels, will play the flow as comes. Expecting a bit choppy but has room on moves due to wide ranges today. $SPY

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

@gif223 I feel that

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

$10k day on $spy, positions went 10x but I was long out like a pansy. My hold game today was weak sauce.

[Trading Composure @TradingComposur]

Decide that you're a professional.

And every day, think and act like one.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

@AndrewHiesinger You were busy, assuming like I did you didn’t hold and were scalping. Hard to trust such a huge move both directions to hold any size but scalps work well too. Good work.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

@AndrewHiesinger @Jon08763677 @QuantData As it should be, love that. Set up scenarios no need to alert, plus it’s illegal. You have a great service.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

That’s 2 days in 3 sessions that a play went 2000%. Of course I didn’t hold it all, but those moves are massive. Not too often… don’t chase without a retest setup, don’t reverse without a verified setup, and don’t believe some guy held size for 1000% and will sell you alerts. Just do you, and let it be. Be blessed!

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

@ripster47 They are. I always have the daily and hourly on my 5m charts. Today we opened gap up into the ribbon with divergence. Very nice action.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

@SPYderMomTrades Nice work, it happens to us all. Keep doing what you’re doing and let it build…both the account and the confidence. Before you know it you will trail $1000, then $5000 will be your max loss goal.

[Gunner/Trader96 @gunnerbean]

@satymahajan You got me into divergences and I can’t now unsee those lol