LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp.

Find me @guntrust on most social nets (banned from FB & LI):

#EstatePlanning #Attorney @DaveDuringer (licensed in #CA, #WA & #TX)

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

#2A #RKBA - Regular trusts might not keep guns out of probate in #California. The only way to be sure is with a properly drafted gun trust. I explain here in this rebuttal to misinformation by @CRPAnews:
https://t.co/lzk5Wctvvc

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

@ChuckPfarrer "We're not all just cannon fodder" LOL

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

@ChuckPfarrer I'll never look at the GOP quite the same way. https://t.co/3cl5LJ8NMR

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

@ChuckPfarrer Too bad Candace Owens missed this in Moscow. Maybe if she hangs around a little longer?

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

Hispanics, Blacks, Wealthy, Far Left, Far Right, Republicans, Singles, City Folk, have Highest Rates of Concealed Carry https://t.co/lxkCvIKkkm via @guntrust

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

Looks like it's going to be Hilton and Becerra. Good luck with that LOL. Our only chance was @chadbianco. I'd like to see Mayor @spencerpratt support Bianco to run again in 2030. Had fun posting re Chad here last few weeks but Truth works better (@guntrust). See u folks in 2030.

[Deborah Pauly, Esq. @YnotDebPauly]

Truly. Shame on Steve Hilton for this...among other things.

[Olena Rohoza @OlenaRohoza]

THE UNITED STATES IS PREPARING RECORD MILITARY AID FOR UKRAINE!
The U.S. is reportedly preparing the largest package of air defense systems, missiles, and heavy equipment for Ukraine since the beginning of the full-scale invasion. Following Zelensky’s appeal to Trump, Washington is said to have sharply changed its approach and decided to significantly strengthen Ukraine’s defenses.
According to sources, in the coming weeks Ukraine is expected to receive a large number of modern anti-aircraft missiles, additional air defense batteries, military equipment, and other critical assets.

[RivCo Citizen Reports @RivcoCitizen]

May God bless and protect this man.
@ChadBianco

[🇺🇸SuperBasedInCali🇺🇸 @SuperBasedInCa]

Let’s goooo @CargileForCA35! 🙏🏼

[Shane 𝕏 @ChooseGoodKarma]

“Do not be fooled or swayed by the media or career politicians.

Vote your conscience, vote your values, choose integrity, character and proven leadership over the status quo of politics.”

- Future California Governor, @ChadBianco

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

@ChooseGoodKarma @ChadBianco Very enlightening read, wish she had not held her tongue.

[Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | @ChuckPfarrer]

YOU’RE NEXT: Putin’s new Defense Minister Andrey Belousov gets the usual awards before he earns his ‘parachute wings’. The defenestration lottery continues. 💀 Who’s next on the list? #Russia #Putin #Belousov #WindowTax #Ukraine

[Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | @ChuckPfarrer]

PATHETIC: Russian 'celebrity culture' includes the dregs of western civilization-- including convicted PDF Scott Ritter, action blimp Steven Siegal, and this world famous dancing discount Alpha male wannabe (and s*x pest) Andrew Tate. Another defeat for Russia.

[Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | @ChuckPfarrer]

SPIDER WEB: @Heroiam_Slava reminds us that a year ago, the world watched Russian planes burned — and with them, the myth of the invulnerability of Russian strategic aviation.

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

Share this with anyone who hasn't voted and ask them to vote for @ChadBianco :

[Insurrection Barbie @DefiyantlyFree]

I’ve held my tongue but it’s literally Election Day and clearly Bianco isn’t dropping out so let’s look at what I like to look at. It’s called evidence.

Why would he drop out of the race two days before the day to vote when his name is already on all the ballots? None of the people who have been voting for weeks will have their votes transferred to Hilton if he were to drop out. Those votes would be lost. It makes no sense.

I really don't like when things don't make sense, so I did a little research.

Hilton has the fundraising edge in theory because Hilton raised $7.1 million through over 18,000 individual contributions.

But, Bianco raised $4.4 million through over 10,000 donors. The key nuance and we all know I love nuance and truth: Hilton’s national media profile allows him to tap conservative donor networks beyond California, giving him a more geographically diversified fundraising base. Bianco remains far more dependent on in-state donors. So Hilton’s money doesn’t translate to votes. 100,000 versus 18,000 is a huge difference in a state race.

Bianco’s support is also anchored in the Inland Empire, Riverside County, and parts of the Central Valley areas with reliable Republican primary participation. Hilton shows strength in Orange County and suburban coastal regions.

The Inland Empire and Central Valley are where California Republicans actually live in large numbers and actually turn out. Orange County suburbanites are more persuadable and less reliable primary voters. Bianco’s geography is the GOP base. Hilton’s is the GOP periphery.

The California Republican Assembly endorsed Bianco by a two-thirds supermajority of delegates.

Over 45 county sheriffs including Orange County’s Don Barnes, San Bernardino’s Shannon Dicus, Butte County’s Kory Honea, Kern County’s Donny Youngblood, and San Francisco’s Paul Miyamoto. Also district attorneys Mike Hestrin (Riverside), Vern Pierson (El Dorado), and Dan Dow (San Luis Obispo). PORAC the Peace Officers Research Association of California, the state’s largest public safety organization representing over 86,000 members.

Congressman Darrell Issa, Congressman Ken Calvert, Assembly Republican Leader Heath Flora, Assemblyman Phillip Chen, Assemblyman Joe Patterson, and Assemblyman Tri Ta.

49% of the GOP to 44% of the GOP support Bianco.

Now onto the polling.

Becerra had just 5% support in September 2025, dropped to 3% in March 2026. Then Swalwell dropped out in mid-April and suddenly Becerra jumped 7 points almost immediately. Then he kept climbing 10%, 13%, 19%, 23%, 25%, 28% —all within roughly six weeks.

That is a 25 point jump within five weeks. Before Swalwell entered the race he was at 3%.

When Swalwell was in the race he was polling at roughly 14-17%. When he dropped out, those votes had to go somewhere. The question is why did almost all of them go to Becerra specifically?

The first Emerson poll after Swalwell's exit showed Becerra gaining 15 points among Democrats without Swalwell on the ballot.

But Swalwell only had about 14-17% overall. For Becerra to gain 15 points among Democrats, you'd essentially need every single Swalwell voter plus additional new voters to break for Becerra and nobody else. Steyer only gained 2-3 points. Porter gained almost nothing. That kind of one-sided consolidation in a multi-candidate race is statistically very unusual.

This is the sharpest discrepancy of all. The Cal Poly Pomona poll the only major poll that directly measured voter enthusiasm found:

Bianco voters: 52% very excited
Hilton voters: 48% very excited
Porter voters: 28% very excited
Becerra voters: only 19% very excited
Steyer voters: only 11% very excited

Voter enthusiasm is very telling.

Among California's likely voters as defined by PPIC's own methodology, 47% identify as Democrats, 27% as Republicans, and 24% as independents. That 47-27 split is the foundation every poll is built on. But here's the catch "likely voter" in California polling means "people who voted in recent California elections." Recent California elections have been dominated by Democrats because Republicans have been demoralized and disengaged for years. The moment Republican enthusiasm spikes like right now the model becomes instantly outdated because it's measuring a different electorate than the one that's about to show up.

Pollsters have increasingly found evidence of partisan nonresponse particular types of Republicans are just less likely to take surveys, so these voters' opinions are not reflected in survey data.

Hilton's voters are more likely to be Orange County suburban Republicans, more educated, more coastal the type of Republican who has historically voted in California primaries and therefore shows up in likely voter models. Bianco's voters are Inland Empire, Central Valley, rural conservatives precisely the profile of voters who are chronically under sampled in California polls because they've been most alienated from the process. So even within the Republican undercount problem, Hilton gets overcounted relative to Bianco.

An enthusiasm case study: Ken Paxton

The University of Houston poll had Paxton leading Cornyn by just 3 points 48% to 45% calling it a close race. Paxton defeated Cornyn by 28 points. The pre-election polls pointed to a Paxton victory, but his margin vastly exceeded their estimates.

Finaly democrats want Hilton. They think he's easier to beat in a general that is not disputed.

Democrats have a documented playbook here. They did it in 2024 with Garvey. They knew it worked. And they ran it again.

CNN confirmed that top Democrats were talking to major donors about funding "Greater Golden State," an independent expenditure campaign that the Democratic Governors Association helped set up explicitly designed to boost Hilton's viability.

There was a semi-secret drive underway by Democratic operatives to trumpet Hilton's ties to a very unpopular President Trump, hoping that would spark Republican support for him and boost him into one of the two top finishes thereby avoiding a Democrat-vs-Democrat showdown. This is exactly what happened in the 2024 U.S. Senate race when Democrat Adam Schiff helped Republican Steve Garvey qualify for November, avoiding a faceoff with Democrat Katie Porter.

The Democratic Governors Association sent mailers emphasizing Hilton's conservative credentials essentially running ads FOR a Republican candidate.

Democrats wanted Hilton because they thought they could beat him. They didn't want Bianco because they weren't sure they could. So they ran a covert operation to help Hilton while polls whether deliberately or structurally were simultaneously showing Bianco collapsing.

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

@DefiyantlyFree wish you hadn't held your tongue!

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

The Dumbs must be really excited about Swalwell.

(And when do we take our color back? actually it's navy blue, but definitely not red)

[OSZ @OpenSourceZone]

Early in person vote in California Per Decision Desk HQ

🔵 207,937 (42%)
🔴 197,768 (40%)
🟡 87,940 (18%)

(Total: 493,645)

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

The Sheriff can run for president. Not sure if he'll want to, but it's important he can. Hilton is not eligible for the presidency, never will be: https://t.co/ftBfopFqa1

[Sheriff Chad Bianco @ChadBianco]

California isn’t a temporary home I strolled into. California is the state I’ve devoted over 30 years to saving.

[LawNews.TV - Protective Law Corp. @guntrust]

@ChadBianco The Sheriff can run for president. Not sure if he'll want to, but it's important he can. Hilton is not eligible for the presidency, never will be: https://t.co/ftBfopFqa1