Liquidus

Actually making a living trading markets

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

We might get a capitulation like the last cycle, which would be nice. But we need an event for it. Can MSTR offer something on that front? And if not, we shall see how it's gonna play out this time around.

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

Thoughts on BTC:
We've been in a downcycle since October of last year, when BTC broke tail per our signal. Since then, we've been selling every retracement, even the last one from 65k to 80k. It was clear that this trending move higher leads nowhere.

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

So there again might be a time when BTC will outperform even in a regime it is not necessarily supposed to. Our plan for this cycle pivot in the fall is to start accumulating LEAPS and buying more HOOD, which has a nice Beta kicker to it as well.

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

@LukeGromen @glimmer0 @TotemMacro @LexTweetr So in the end, how does it impact Gold?

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

@TotemMacro Thank you. And last question, please. Do you think Warsh will actually do this? There is a right thing to do, and there is reality.

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

@TotemMacro Can we actually afford a real recession?

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

@TotemMacro With debt to GDP where it is? Forgive me If am being unclear.

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

@TotemMacro Makes sense, exactly what Warsh wants. But who is gonna buy the debt if the Fed starts to reduce the balance sheet? Do they deregulate banks into holding more Treasuries?

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

@TotemMacro So what do they do then? Trump wants/needs a lower front end.

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

@WarrenPies Gold?

[Liquidus @gut_nick333]

Good trade. Out of NEM short strangles. +17.1%