🚨 ADVANCED ANALYTICS MYTHS 🚨
Advanced analytics is simply the interpretation of large data sets to predict outcomes.
It is no different than a basic P&L model in business.
- Advanced analytics is not a ‘system’. Princeton/Triangle/Flex are systems.
- Advanced analytics is NOT ‘shooting lots of 3’s’. Advanced analytics is shooting quality (catch and shoot) 3’s because 3 > 2 and gives a higher EV (expected value).
- Advanced analytics is not playing as fast as you can. It’s hunting the first, best available shot.
- Analytics isn’t a ‘belief system’ or ‘philosophy’, the data just exists whether you embrace it or not.
- Advanced analytics is tilting the total possession and/or EV in your favor, PARTICULARLY when there is a skill disparity. This increases variance.
For example : Instead of losing 70/100 games by 10 points, you will lose 55 out of 100 games, but when you lose, you will lose by 25 points on average.
As everyone has heard the data shows the rim, the free throw line and the catch and shoot 3, give the best EV (expected value).
Systems are optimized based off of this data set. ALL SYSTEMS. 1990s and 2000s basketball did the exact same with the LIMITED amount of data they had at their disposal.
Buzzwords like ‘dawg’ and ‘pure hooper’ do not counteract data. Every professional/college team you cheer for, and every player you see as a ‘pure hooper’ fully embraces, or plays in a system that fully embraces, advanced analytics. EVEN if they don’t shoot a lot of 3’s.
NCAA Champion - Dusty May is one of the most forward, innovative, data dependant coaches on the planet. Todd Golden is probably second in the country in this regard.
NBA - Mark Daigneault and OKC do EVERYTHING based off data (including Presti in the war room). The Dynasty Warriors were built on data, Bud and the Bucks, Malone and the Nuggets, etc etc. These are all teams built on advanced analytics.
I'm not necessarily "pro-tanking," because I'm aware it's an imperfect strategy that often doesnt work.
But it annoys me that 90% of Anti-Tankers sound like this:
"Smart teams dont NEED lottery luck. For example, look at this team that got incredibly lucky in a different way..."
So funny seeing this discourse constantly being repeated in a bunch of major sports worldwide. "NBA players don't shot middies anymore""QBs ain't what they used to be""football has no creativity"
Then you turn on the TV and see Shai, Lamar Jackson, Palmer lighting up the screen
The NBA ratings discourse is the most exhausting, disingenuous discussion I've seen on here.
The solution clearly isn't as simple as everyone makes it out to be since no one can agree on the problem.
the top offenses last year
pacers
celtics
thunder
nuggets
76ers
Clippers
bucks
knicks
warriors
pelicans
suns
EVERY single one has a different style bruh
@htomufc The realization once he’s gone that everything we miss and love about the game came in the form of a player everyone spent years complaining about instead of appreciating