1/ I get the frustration, but when survival is at stake, strategy is often building capacity, not making grand declarations. Under siege, strategy isn't PR about 'marching to Addis' or 'independence'. It is about resilience, cohesion, and keeping all political outcomes possible.
The TPLF’s latest Weekly Message is distressing. A textbook example of very clumsy propaganda, and above all an admission of powerlessness for an umpteenth time. It once again proves that the TPLF is incapable of providing leadership: 1/4
A short sentence sums up the article’s bias: “Pretoria Agreement’s implementation was a work in progress.” Progress toward what, exactly? A blockade of fuel, medicines, and cash? The suspension of federal funding transfers? 1/2
@rene_renelefort He means, the federal government denied communication channel to the only signatory of the Pretoria agreement, the TPLF. On top, the TPLF is denied of legal status and Tigray striped of its constit. right for budget and what makes a regional state partner as part of a federation.
5/ In all honesty, they are operating in a zero-option environment: roads blocked, politically made non-existent, and aid drying up as agencies scale back. In that vacuum, the pivot to internal unity and irrigation is not regression, it is a rational, harsh adaptation to reality.
1/ I get the frustration, but when survival is at stake, strategy is often building capacity, not making grand declarations. Under siege, strategy isn't PR about 'marching to Addis' or 'independence'. It is about resilience, cohesion, and keeping all political outcomes possible.
The TPLF’s latest Weekly Message is distressing. A textbook example of very clumsy propaganda, and above all an admission of powerlessness for an umpteenth time. It once again proves that the TPLF is incapable of providing leadership: 1/4
4/ If the international system turns a blind eye, self-reliance and a long resistance economy are not propaganda, they are strategic leadership. Unity is not a mantra, it is the condition for any effective negotiation, deterrence, or recovery.
Ethiopia should therefore open a military base in Benishangul for the RSF. For a mountain of arguments, this is madness. It could add the opening of a new front, this time in the West. But there is only one possible major reason behind this decision: the UAE has vassalized Abiy.
Tigrayans continue to suffer. The vast majority of those who were forced to leave Ethiopia’s Western Tigray region remain in squalid camps beyond its borders. For those still in the area, the situation is arguably worse https://t.co/XCehCVEqSE
You know @elonmusk, I really feel sorry for you and your family to have been infected by a mind virus.
But the best defense against a mind virus is intelligence, knowledge, and science.
Fighting a mind virus by promoting other mental pathogens, like Trumpism, conspiracy theories, and attacks on science and the media, is not a good idea.
This is like trying to cure diabetes by spreading ebola: it will certainly stop your diabetes, but not without killing you.
The cure against mind viruses is the expansion knowledge through science, and the dissemination of reliable information.
Disinformation causes mind viruses to spread.
Distrust in decent media outlets causes mind viruses to spread.
Distrust in science and scientists cause mind viruses to spread.
The political movements you are currently supporting are squarely on the wrong side of history here.
@rene_renelefort Do you know Tigrigna or consulted a translator or based your understanding from auto- translate? Also, does working to restore their survival as a political party mean monopolizing Ethiopia? Where do you get that? Aren't they working for recognition by the electoral board?
A good friend and colleague, Miftah, often told me this in a manner that was sarcastic and dismissive of theist ideas about prayers and God's intervention when I was at Mekelle University, Mekelle, Tigray (2005 - 2012).
@rene_renelefort Unlike Tigray, Amhara has ample resources. They enjoy widespread support, an ext. web of sympathizers, & distributed engagements. They'll likely last longer, & reforming their political goals could lead to rapid progress. Many underestimated them, but the 1st two factors r signi.
@rene_renelefort He's readable, echoing Shiwan&Neo-Derg expansionist dreams. He employs what I call "smart fascism" to mislead foreign diplomats & posture himself as an environmentalist, liberal, & women's advocate while acting contrarily. To Ethiopians, he's been shamelessly revealing his intent
Early on, April 2018, Abiy's intent was clear, preaching the classic imperial 'unity', church rule, & undermining regional autonomy. It echoed a shadow of the empire & the Derg's military might, a cloud of darkness. An evident gathering of a neo-Derg group in the Menelik Palace.
... a pure power conflict between those who had just gained access and those who would have wanted to reconquer it. It was fake. TPLF didn’t want to re-establish its hegemony, but to assert its constitutional autonomy. 2/4
@MiTiBennett He ignores that the basic principles of how nuclear weapons function are open. The science is taught in university courses and is available in the public domain. In AI, we don't even know the underlying principles to build [truly] sentient machines.