صواريخ غراد اطلقتها "مجاميع عراقية ارهابية تعمل لصالح ايران و مصالحها" استهدفت مطار بغداد سقط احدها على منزل عراقي في العامرية و تسبب باستشهاد واصابة مواطنين في بغداد
الصواريخ اطلقت من هور رجب
Iran has captured American pilots.
Most people think this is new.
It is not.
Iran has done this before and they follow the exact same steps every time.
Here is the playbook.
PHASE 1: PROPAGANDA (First 72 Hours)
Expect the pilots on Iranian state TV.
Blindfolded. In orange jumpsuits. Forced confessions.
F-15E wreckage shown behind them.
Those images will be on every news channel on earth.
Iran did this with 52 Americans in 1979.
Iran did this with 15 British sailors in 2007.
They will do it again.
PHASE 2: DEMANDS (Days 1 to 14)
Iran will demand a ceasefire at minimum.
Then sanctions relief.
Then unfreezing of Iranian assets.
Then a promise to stop the bombing campaign.
Trump cannot negotiate without looking weak.
Trump cannot escalate without risking the pilots' lives.
This is the trap.
PHASE 3: POLITICAL EXPLOITATION (Weeks 1 to 4)
Every US airstrike now gets reframed.
"They are bombing the country that holds their own people."
Anti-war protests will grow.
Military families will demand answers.
2026 midterms become a referendum on the crisis.
Iran gets stronger every single day.
PHASE 4: THE LONG GAME (Months)
Iran held Americans for 444 days in 1979.
Carter got weaker every day.
Iran got more leverage every day.
Hostages were released on Reagan's inauguration for maximum humiliation.
Iran plays this game better than anyone alive.
This is not a prediction.
This is a pattern.
@Asaad_Al_basri هذه هي عقدة السياسي الشيعي دائما في وقت الذروة يبدي يهبّد بالهروش !! بشرفك ايران هسه تقاتل امريكا واسرائيل المفروض تكون موضع افتخار اسلامي عام مو طالع تگول الشيعة اصلها نجف مو ايران !!!
عفية بلد لاتكتيك ولا استراتيجيا عالحمزة 😅