#Halalan2022 Analysis

Vote wisely. Our future and the future of our children lie in our mighty hands.

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

USA 2024 Presidential Elections - Predictions

Electoral College:

Harris 286
Trump 252

Popular Vote

Harris 49.9% (+2.5)
Trump 47.4%

Margins - Swing states

Arizona - Trump +2.6

North Carolina - Trump +1.3

Nevada - Trump +0.4

#Elections2024

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Margins - Swing States continued:

Georgia - Harris +0.5

Wisconsin - Harris +0.7

Pennsylvania - Harris +0.9

Michigan - Harris +2.9

#Elections2024

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

USA 2024 Presidential Elections - Predictions

Electoral College:

Harris 286
Trump 252

Popular Vote

Harris 49.9% (+2.5)
Trump 47.4%

Margins - Swing states

Arizona - Trump +2.6

North Carolina - Trump +1.3

Nevada - Trump +0.4

#Elections2024

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

@BitecoferStan Harris 49.9% (+2.5)
Trump 47.4%

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Georgia runoff prediction:

Warnock 52% (+4)
Walker 48%

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Republicans flip the house, though it's far below their expectations.

[Political Polls @Politics_Polls]

BREAKING Republicans have won a majority in the U.S. House

@DecisionDeskHQ projects

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

US elections would be far less predictable if Republicans come to terms with mail-in voting.

[Steve Kornacki @SteveKornacki]

NBC News calls Nevada for Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D), ensuring continued Democratic control of the US Senate

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Democrats keep control of the US Senate. Wow.

[Jon Ralston @RalstonReports]

CLARK!

CCM gains 6K

She is well ahead now.

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

One day before the elections. Prediction stands.

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

One week before the US midterms. These predictions might change as the week passes by but for now, here are my projections:

Senate

Democrats 50
Republicans 50

Democratic hold (VP is tie-breaker)

House

Republicans 230 (+25)
Democrats 205

Republican flip

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

One week before the US midterms. These predictions might change as the week passes by but for now, here are my projections:

Senate

Democrats 50
Republicans 50

Democratic hold (VP is tie-breaker)

House

Republicans 230 (+25)
Democrats 205

Republican flip

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Brazil Presidential Elections

100% reporting

Lula retakes palace, denies Bolsonaro a second term!

Lula 60,345,999
Bolsonaro 58,206,354

Margin: 2,139,645

Percentages:

Lula 50.9% (+1.8)
Bolsonaro 49.1%

BIG WIN FOR THE LEFT.

#Eleicoes2022
#BrazilElections

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Brazil Presidential Elections

93.1% reporting

Lula cops Brazil's presidency; all hope is lost for incumbent Bolsonaro

Lula 55,945,998
Bolsonaro 54,605,117

Margin: 1,340,881

Percentages:

Lula 50.6% (+1.2)
Bolsonaro 49.4%

Projected Winner: LULA

#Eleicoes2022

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Brazil Presidential Elections

Preliminary results

82.1% reporting

Lula winning, but race far closer than expected

Lula 49,016,680
Bolsonaro 48,342,996

Margin: 673,684

%:

Lula 50.4% (+0.8)
Bolsonaro 49.6%

Projection: LULA IS BRAZIL'S NEXT PRESIDENT

#Eleicoes2022

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Brazil Presidential Elections

Preliminary results

67.7% reporting

Lula takes the lead!

Lula 40,084,172
Bolsonaro 40,075,683

Margin: 8,489

Percentages:

Lula 50%
Bolsonaro 50%

Projection: TOO EARLY TO CALL

#Eleicoes2022
#BrazilElections

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Brazil Presidential Elections

Preliminary results

52% reporting

Lula slowly inching closer in the past hour

Bolsonaro 30,789,113
Lula 30,472,574

Margin: 316,539

Percentages:

Bolsonaro 50.3% (+0.6)
Lula 49.7%

Projection: TOO EARLY TO CALL

#Eleicoes2022
#BrazilElections

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Brazil Presidential Elections

26.88% in

Bolsonaro 16,149,345 (+738,273)
Lula 15,411,072

Percentages

Bolsonaro 51.17% (+2.34)
Lula 48.83%

#Eleicoes2022
#BrazilElections

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Few days left before Brazil's runoff election.

Here are my vote share predictions.

Lula 52.5% (+5)
Bolsonaro 47.5%

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Republicans are on track to steal the House and the Senate, with the ever increasing possibility of a trifecta in 2024.

Democrats need to act fast before it's too late.

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

As the midterms approach, the trend now is inflation > abortion. Inflation in the United States has helped Republicans offset almost all Democratic gains from Roe v. Wade reversal.

[#Halalan2022 Analysis @halalan2k22]

Lula's lead now ranges from mid-to-low single digits, according to latest polls, with the worst being Futura's October 10-12 survey.

Futura, 2,000 respondents

Lula 46.9% (+0.4)
Bolsonaro 46.5%

Datafolha, meanwhile, shows no movement in a week as polling remains 49-44 Lula.