GOLDMAN: IG spreads will rise to 115 bp and HY to 400 bp in 2025.
That kind of widening has never been bullish for stocks.
It means tighter financial conditions, rising default risk, and pressure on earnings.
Still early but keep an eye on credit spreads.
That pesky monthly MACD crossover is taunting us again—just like 2018, 2020, and 2022.
Each time, it signaled more downside.
But sure… “It’s different this time.”
Congratulations to @PeteHegseth on the nomination!
Did you know that NSA made Pete’s short-list of colleges that he would like to send his kids to? Visit: https://t.co/2vOLFFNx2K to see how we graduate leaders to shape culture.
#Build#Fight#SaveCulture
TRUMP: "I am here tonight to deliver a simple message to Christians across America: It is time to stand up and SAVE YOUR COUNTRY. On November 5th, Christian voters need to turn out in the largest numbers ever."
Every time we see an inverted yield curve paired with a flattening Fed funds rate, the U.S. economy is heading into a recession.
When the Fed starts cutting rates and the yield curve flips positive, we're on the brink of a recession and a major market crash.
This market currently has an 85% correlation to the summer of 2007.
This time is no different.
This would destroy securities markets! Equities would be worse than debt but still.
How are retirement accounts going to survive? There’s no point if taxes are deferred.
Also, if you think this stops at the top 1% you need to stop doing whippets.
If Kamala wins and gets these tax laws...There's no reason to run a business or try to improve your life in the west.
The future is in the east. The end.
Hope for the best, but you SHOULD be getting passports, residencies and basing your businesses in eastern countries.
Dubai, singapore, japan, eastern european, el salvador and tons of other countries WANT the best people and they want them to win.
They are already absolutely smoking American cities as well.
Hopefully America doesn't go down this path, but if it does its no longer even a remote option for anyone that isn't already massively wealthy or wants to grow wealth.
Anyone voting for this is just either brainwashed or a extremely greedy short sighted person.
You simply just cannot make it paying 50% taxes on long term gains (aka your companies exit) and paying 25% on unrealized gains on your business/assets.
If Kamala wins and gets these tax laws...There's no reason to run a business or try to improve your life in the west.
The future is in the east. The end.
Hope for the best, but you SHOULD be getting passports, residencies and basing your businesses in eastern countries.
Dubai, singapore, japan, eastern european, el salvador and tons of other countries WANT the best people and they want them to win.
They are already absolutely smoking American cities as well.
Hopefully America doesn't go down this path, but if it does its no longer even a remote option for anyone that isn't already massively wealthy or wants to grow wealth.
Anyone voting for this is just either brainwashed or a extremely greedy short sighted person.
You simply just cannot make it paying 50% taxes on long term gains (aka your companies exit) and paying 25% on unrealized gains on your business/assets.
Taking a crap in a porta-John is an act of desperation. No one was ever like “ehhh I could wait…but I’ll just just pop a squat in this crap-baking oven, on a seat that probably has AIDS on it.”